Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
7,188 total articles
A Reuters poll finds all economists expect the Bank of Korea to hold its policy rate at 2.50% on April 10 and maintain that level through the remainder of the year as officials assess the inflationary and growth implications of a sharp rise in oil prices since the start of U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran. The currency's decline and renewed upside risk…
A survey of nearly 100 central banks responsible for over $9.5 trillion in reserves shows geopolitical tensions are now seen as the primary global risk, displacing U.S. trade protection. Over the medium term, inflation and interest rates remain central concerns but their prominence has declined. Confidence in the U.S. dollar and U.S. sovereign bond…
Agilian Technology, an electronics contract manufacturer based in Dongguan, China, endured frozen U.S. orders, surging levies and client pressure to relocate production during a turbulent 2025. The company temporarily pursued alternative sites in Malaysia and India, but the combination of China’s export controls, shifting tariff rates and the speed…
President Donald Trump said he will delay planned military strikes against Iran for a two-week period after mediation from Pakistan, contingent on Iran immediately and safely reopening the Strait of Hormuz. The announcement, posted on Truth Social, followed discussions with Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir and wa…
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission said it obtained orders for $17.9 billion in monetary relief during fiscal year 2025 and filed 456 enforcement actions in that period. Fiscal year 2025 concluded on September 30. The figure marks a substantial rise in financial remedies compared with $8.2 billion recovered in fiscal year 2024, when the ag…
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said short-term interest rates are currently set at a level that allows the central bank to react to uncertain effects from rising energy costs and the conflict in the Middle East. He warned of downside risks to the labor market and upside risks to inflation, while describing the Fed's policy stance as ap…
Global markets paused on heightened geopolitical uncertainty as U.S. President Donald Trump set an 8 p.m. ET deadline for Iran to lift its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Equity indices finished largely unchanged after early losses, while oil, currencies and bond markets moved unevenly. Data and forecasts showing rising price pressures added to m…
U.S. short-term credit markets are showing early signs of stress as the war in the Middle East drags on. Spreads on commercial paper and bank floating rate notes have widened in recent weeks, signaling increased funding costs for issuers and greater caution among investors. Data from the Federal Reserve and market strategists point to broader credi…
Mexico's headline inflation is estimated to have accelerated in March for a third consecutive month to 4.63% year-on-year, while the core measure likely eased to 4.46%, according to a Reuters poll. The results, if confirmed by official data, would keep inflation above the central bank's 3% target range and support expectations for further monetary …
Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee cautioned that the war involving Iran has pushed oil prices up at a time when tariff-driven inflation had yet to fully fade. Speaking at the Detroit Economic Club, he said the combination risks embedding higher inflation even as it slows the U.S. economy, creating a difficult policy choice for …
New working paper from the Dallas Federal Reserve models the inflationary impact of a prolonged shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz. A closure lasting one quarter would generate a sharp, but short-lived, spike in headline inflation; a three-quarter interruption would raise year-end inflation materially and lift oil prices to roughly $167 a barrel. The…
A Dallas Federal Reserve working paper finds that if the Strait of Hormuz remains shut for an extended period amid the Iran War, the shock to oil markets could lift headline inflation above 4% by year-end under severe disruption scenarios. Smaller disruptions raise inflation sharply in the near term but have more muted effects by the fourth quarter…
Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee said in Detroit he is worried the Iran war will push oil prices higher and slow the economy, producing a stagflationary shock that leaves the Fed without an obvious policy playbook. He said the job market is steady but not strong, expressed concern high inflation could become entrenched, and de…
World Bank President Ajay Banga warned that the war in the Middle East will slow global economic growth and push inflation higher no matter how quickly the conflict ends. Speaking at an Atlantic Council event ahead of the World Bank and IMF meetings, he outlined possible magnitudes for GDP and inflation impacts and described the institution's abili…
New York Federal Reserve President John Williams told Bloomberg TV that leadership of the Fed’s interest-rate-setting committee will remain uninterrupted even if Kevin Warsh is not confirmed to replace Jerome Powell before Powell’s term ends. Williams addressed the stalled succession process, the Justice Department investigation related to renovati…
Bank of America analysts say the U.S. economy now responds less strongly to oil price spikes than in past decades, driven largely by a marked decline in oil intensity. The report finds that a 10% rise in oil prices now induces a much smaller inflation response in the U.S. versus the 1970s, while Europe remains more vulnerable due to higher househol…
A sustained disruption to oil supplies tied to the conflict with Iran is pushing commodity and input prices sharply higher, forcing manufacturers to consider contract breaks, shuttering plants in energy-dependent regions and squeezing household budgets. With Brent crude trading near $109 a barrel and supply from the Gulf sharply curtailed, analysts…
U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said negotiations to recalibrate the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) will aim to resolve as many issues as possible before the July 1 deadline, but he warned discussions are likely to continue past that date. Greer indicated the administration may need to invoke steps to exit the pact to preserve flexib…
The executive heads of the International Energy Agency, the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank will meet next Monday to coordinate a response to the energy crisis sparked by the Iran war, IEA executive director Fatih Birol said. The three institutions have agreed to form a coordination group to assess financing needs, offer targeted pol…
Global markets entered a tense phase as a deadline set by U.S. President Donald Trump for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz approached. With no public indication that Tehran will comply, traders are bracing for scenarios ranging from a last-minute deal to a major military escalation. Commodities, currencies and risky assets are already moving on …
An observable rise in vape labels touting American manufacturing or origin has emerged as U.S. authorities step up enforcement against unlicensed products and as tariffs reshape trade economics. Industry observers and company filings indicate several new brands are emphasizing U.S. ties even as key production and trademark links trace back to China…
Chile’s peso led losses among Latin American currencies as markets reacted to ongoing Middle East hostilities and a broadly stronger U.S. dollar. The currency slid even after Chile recorded a $3.06 billion trade surplus in March. Analysts point to structural vulnerability to combined oil and dollar shocks, while regional equities also fell amid hei…
The World Bank says Nigeria's economy is expected to expand in the first half of 2026, but higher fuel prices tied to the U.S./Israel-Iran conflict have pushed inflation upward and threaten household incomes and poverty reduction. The Bank highlighted ongoing business expansion, recommended policy measures, and noted improved external buffers along…
The White House on Tuesday denied that Vice President JD Vance indicated the United States would employ nuclear weapons against Iran, responding to a social media assertion about his recent remarks on military capabilities. The exchange occurred amid heightened tensions after President Donald Trump issued a public warning tied to a deadline for a c…
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York's March Survey of Consumer Expectations found a notable rise in one-year inflation expectations to 3.4% from 3.0% a month earlier, driven in large part by a sharp increase in anticipated gasoline prices. Longer-term inflation expectations remained more muted, while households reported worsening views of their pe…
