Commodities

Price movements and fundamentals across major commodities.

Analysis and reporting on commodities such as oil, natural gas, gold, industrial metals, and agricultural products. Focuses on supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical risks, inventory trends, and macro drivers affecting commodity markets.

Articles

2,522 total articles

Iran-Linked Oil Spike Falls Short of What Russia Needs to Close Budget Gap

Iran-Linked Oil Spike Falls Short of What Russia Needs to Close Budget Gap

Global oil benchmarks climbed to their strongest levels since July 2024 after U.S. and Israeli strikes against Iran, but the uptick does not make up for steep discounts on Russian crude nor the heavy fiscal strains from elevated defence and security spending. Calculations show that Russian Urals prices and the rouble would need to move substantiall…

Wolfe Research: Iran's Capacity to Disrupt Oil Flows Appears Limited

Wolfe Research: Iran's Capacity to Disrupt Oil Flows Appears Limited

Wolfe Research analysts contend that Iran’s current capability to significantly interrupt crude shipments looks limited and may weaken further over time. Their assessment comes as military exchanges spread across the Middle East, with strikes and retaliations touching Iran, Lebanon, Israel, and Gulf states. Oil benchmarks rallied sharply on the hei…

UK Weighs Warship Deployment After Drone Strike Damages Cyprus Air Base

UK Weighs Warship Deployment After Drone Strike Damages Cyprus Air Base

Britain has not yet decided whether to dispatch a Royal Navy warship to protect its RAF Akrotiri base in Cyprus after an Iranian-made drone strike damaged the base runway. The report that ministers had discussed deploying HMS Duncan follows confirmation that UK assets were targeted. France has indicated plans to send anti-missile and anti-drone sys…

Tens of Thousands Seek Shelter in Lebanon as Cross-Border Fighting Intensifies

Tens of Thousands Seek Shelter in Lebanon as Cross-Border Fighting Intensifies

United Nations agencies report that at least 30,000 people have been registered in collective shelters across Lebanon since hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah escalated. The number of displaced is expected to grow, 21 government-run shelters are open, and aid agencies are preparing contingency plans as some Syrian refugees return to Syria. UN…

Hormuz Haze Sends Energy and Markets Reeling

Hormuz Haze Sends Energy and Markets Reeling

A widening Middle East conflict has driven energy prices sharply higher, prompting volatile moves in global equities, sovereign bonds and currencies. Market participants are weighing the fallout for inflation and central bank policy as regional attacks target shipping and energy infrastructure, with natural gas prices and crude benchmarks at multi-…

Carlyle: Oil Prices Must Price in a 'Security Premium' as Iran Tensions Rise

Carlyle: Oil Prices Must Price in a 'Security Premium' as Iran Tensions Rise

Carlyle analysts say oil markets will need to factor in a persistent "security premium" amid heightened risks stemming from the Iran conflict and threats to the Strait of Hormuz. While a recent surplus in supply may blunt the immediate impact of any shipping disruption, the firm expects prices to remain high and volatile due to broader structural c…

Oil rally intensifies as Strait of Hormuz risks escalate

Oil rally intensifies as Strait of Hormuz risks escalate

Crude oil futures have surged roughly 15% since last Friday after U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran heightened concerns of supply disruptions in the Middle East. Escalating tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, including Iranian threats to close the route and warnings about attacks on vessels, have pushed prices to their highest level since June of …

Shipping Costs for Oil and LNG Spike as Iran Says Strait of Hormuz Is Closed

Shipping Costs for Oil and LNG Spike as Iran Says Strait of Hormuz Is Closed

Freight rates for very large crude carriers and liquefied natural gas tankers have climbed sharply after Iran attacked ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz and declared the waterway closed. The route, which carries roughly one-fifth of global oil and substantial LNG volumes, has seen activity largely halted, driving record-high tanker charter rate…

Israel Moves Additional Troops into Southern Lebanon, Citing Defensive Needs

Israel Moves Additional Troops into Southern Lebanon, Citing Defensive Needs

Israeli forces advanced additional units into southern Lebanon overnight to occupy defensive positions intended to protect civilians and key locations from potential attacks by Hezbollah. A military spokesperson described the deployment as limited to the borderline area and defensive in purpose. Defence Minister Israel Katz authorised the move afte…

Saudi non-oil private sector growth eases in February, PMI shows

Saudi non-oil private sector growth eases in February, PMI shows

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil private sector continued to expand in February but at the slowest pace in nine months, with the Riyad Bank PMI dipping to 56.1 from 56.3. Strong domestic demand and new project approvals supported activity, while employment rose and staff cost inflation reached a record high for the survey. Regional security incidents have di…

Gold Climbs on Escalating Middle East Conflict; Strong Dollar Restrains Gains

Gold Climbs on Escalating Middle East Conflict; Strong Dollar Restrains Gains

Gold extended gains into a fourth consecutive session in Asian trading as investors reacted to an expanding conflict in the Middle East, while a firmer U.S. dollar limited how far prices could rise. Spot gold and U.S. futures advanced, supported by safe-haven flows after heavy military action in West Asia and rising oil-price risks that bolstered i…

U.S. Pump Prices Top $3 as Middle East Hostilities Push Oil Higher

U.S. Pump Prices Top $3 as Middle East Hostilities Push Oil Higher

Average U.S. retail gasoline prices climbed above $3 per gallon for the first time since November amid intensified conflict in the Middle East that has disrupted oil flows. Brent crude rose more than 5% to nearly $77 a barrel as strikes and retaliatory actions affected production sites and shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Analysts warn higher crud…