Why Higher Dayrates Aren't Enough to Fix Noble's Earnings — A Short Trade Setup
Noble (NE) benefits from improving dayrates and a $7B-ish backlog, but trailing EPS, fleet mix, and reactivation costs keep margins constrained. EV/EBITDA sits at ~8.5x while P/E is near 45x, a mismatch that creates a tactical short opportunity. Trade plan: short at $42.00, target $36.00, stop $46.00 — mid-term (45 trading days), high risk.