Stock Markets April 29, 2026 04:14 PM

Qualcomm Shares Drop After Third-Quarter Guidance Misses Expectations

Q2 results marginally beat estimates, but revenue and EPS guidance for the current quarter disappointed investors amid memory supply constraints and Chinese handset weakness

By Nina Shah QCOM
Qualcomm Shares Drop After Third-Quarter Guidance Misses Expectations
QCOM

Qualcomm reported second quarter fiscal 2026 results that largely met analyst expectations, posting adjusted EPS of $2.65 and revenue of $10.6 billion. Despite the quarter's modest beats, the company provided third-quarter revenue and EPS guidance below consensus, sending the stock down 4.5%. Management cited memory supply constraints and continuing weakness in Chinese handset demand, while diversification gains in automotive and IoT supported growth in other segments.

Key Points

  • Q2 adjusted EPS of $2.65 beat consensus by $0.10; revenue was $10.6 billion, slightly above the $10.58 billion estimate but down 3% year-over-year.
  • Management issued Q3 revenue guidance of $9.2 billion to $10 billion (midpoint $9.6 billion) and adjusted EPS guidance of $2.10 to $2.30 (midpoint $2.20), both below analyst expectations.
  • Business mix shift is evident: record automotive revenue of $1.33 billion (up 38% YoY) and combined automotive and IoT growth of 20% YoY, while handset revenue fell 13% to $6.02 billion; company returned $3.7 billion to shareholders and authorized a new $20 billion buyback.

Qualcomm Inc (NASDAQ:QCOM) delivered second quarter fiscal 2026 results that were largely in line with Wall Street forecasts, but investors focused on cautious forward guidance and pushed the shares lower. Reported adjusted earnings per share came in at $2.65, beating the consensus by $0.10, while revenue totaled $10.6 billion, narrowly above the $10.58 billion estimate and down 3% from $10.98 billion a year earlier.

The company flagged continued headwinds tied to memory supply constraints that have weighed on handset demand for several original equipment manufacturers. Those constraints were cited as a primary factor behind year-over-year revenue declines and contributed to a conservative outlook for the coming quarter.


Guidance and market reaction

Qualcomm's outlook for the third quarter projects revenue between $9.2 billion and $10 billion, which implies a midpoint of $9.6 billion. That midpoint falls short of the analyst consensus of $10.26 billion. The company also guided adjusted EPS to a range of $2.10 to $2.30, with a midpoint of $2.20, below the $2.43 estimate.

Following the guidance release, the stock declined roughly 4.5% as investors reacted to the lower-than-expected revenue and EPS midpoints for the upcoming quarter.


Segment performance and diversification

Qualcomm highlighted progress in diversification away from its traditional handset revenue base. Automotive revenue reached a record $1.33 billion, up 38% year-over-year. When combined with IoT, automotive and IoT revenues grew 20% year-over-year.

By contrast, handset revenue declined 13% to $6.02 billion, pressured principally by weakness in Chinese markets. Management expects handset revenue from Chinese customers to bottom in the third quarter and then return to sequential growth.

The company’s licensing arm, QTL, generated $1.38 billion in revenue, up 5% year-over-year.


Capital allocation and shareholder returns

During the quarter Qualcomm returned $3.7 billion to shareholders, comprising $945 million in dividends and $2.8 billion in share repurchases. The company also announced a new $20 billion share repurchase authorization.


Management commentary

“We are pleased to deliver results in line with our guidance, reflecting solid execution as we navigate a challenging memory environment,” said Cristiano Amon, President and CEO. “We are in a period of profound industry transformation - the rise of AI agents is reshaping our roadmap across every platform we develop.”


What this means for markets

The quarter illustrated a split performance across Qualcomm’s portfolio: robust growth in automotive and IoT offset by declines in handset revenue driven by supply constraints and regional weakness. The guidance shortfall rather than the reported quarter appears to have been the primary driver of the immediate market reaction.

Risks

  • Memory supply constraints are reducing handset demand for several OEMs, posing downside risk to handset and overall semiconductor revenue.
  • Guidance that falls short of analyst expectations may pressure the stock and investor sentiment in the near term, affecting equity markets tied to semiconductor exposure.
  • Ongoing weakness in Chinese handset markets could extend revenue pressure in the handset segment until management’s anticipated bottoming in the third quarter.

More from Stock Markets

Brockman Reveals Near-$30 Billion OpenAI Stake and Financial Links to Altman During Musk Trial May 4, 2026 California Launches Probe into Federal Deal That Scrapped Central Coast Offshore Wind Project May 4, 2026 Pilots Union Praises Kirby’s Merger Vision, Stops Short of Endorsing Deal May 4, 2026 Embraer Sees Follow-On Middle East Defense Sales After UAE C-390 Agreement May 4, 2026 Intel hires long-serving Qualcomm executive to oversee PCs and physical AI unit May 4, 2026