Overview
Options pricing suggests Intuit Inc. shares may move approximately 8.3% when the company releases earnings on May 20 after the market close, according to options data compiled by Bloomberg.
Recent earnings reactions
The stock’s behavior around prior earnings has varied. In five of the last eight reporting periods, Intuit’s actual share moves exceeded the options-implied magnitude; in the other three, the stock’s change was smaller than the options market had suggested.
- On February 26, shares increased 5.0%, which was below the options-implied move of 10.3%.
- In November 2025, the stock rose 0.6%, also falling short of the 5.7% implied by options.
- In August 2025, Intuit shares declined 6.9%, a larger move than the 5.5% implied by options.
- The stock surged 10.3% in May 2025, exceeding the 5.7% implied move.
- In February 2025, shares were up 6.5%, above the 5.7% options-implied figure.
- In November 2024, the shares fell 9.4%, a move larger than the 6.0% implied by options.
- The stock dropped 2.7% in August 2024, which was smaller than the 5.3% implied move.
- In May 2024, shares declined 7.3%, surpassing the 5.2% options-implied move.
What the options signal means
The 8.3% figure comes from how options are priced ahead of the May 20 report and represents the market’s expectation of potential volatility around the earnings release. Historically, actual responses to Intuit’s earnings have sometimes been larger than the options market predicted and sometimes smaller, as documented above.
Market context and scope
This options-derived expectation and the record of varied historical outcomes are relevant to equity investors and options traders watching Intuit around its earnings date. The data cited here are limited to the options-implied move and the company’s share-price reactions in the eight prior reporting periods noted above.
Limitations
These observations are descriptive of market pricing and past share movements; they do not forecast a specific direction for the stock at the upcoming report.