Stock Markets May 6, 2026 06:39 AM

Corn Planting Matches Last Year; Soybean Progress Runs Ahead

USDA weekly report shows corn at parity with 2025 pace while soybeans lead; crop emergence and prices move higher amid input cost pressures

By Maya Rios

The USDA weekly Crop Progress snapshot shows corn planting 38% complete, level with last year and modestly ahead of the recent average, while soybean planting is at 33%, outpacing last year by 5% and the recent average by 10%. Emergence for both crops sits at 13% and futures have rallied, with corn contracts reaching multi-month highs and soybeans trading above $12 per bushel. Elevated fertilizer and diesel costs tied to Middle East tensions remain a factor heading into the May WASDE report.

Corn Planting Matches Last Year; Soybean Progress Runs Ahead

Key Points

  • Corn planting is 38% complete, matching last year and 4% above the recent average; corn emergence is 13%, up 3% year over year.
  • Soybean planting is 33% complete, 5% ahead of last year and 10% above the recent average; soybean emergence is 13%, up 7% year over year.
  • Prices have strengthened: December 2026 corn futures reached $5.00 per bushel with cash near $4.70, May and July 2027 corn just under $5.35, and soybeans trading above $12 per bushel; fertilizer and diesel costs remain elevated due to Middle East tensions.

Planting activity for the nation's principal row crops continues to advance, according to the latest USDA weekly Crop Progress update. Corn planting is reported 38% complete - the same rate recorded in the comparable period last year and 4% ahead of the recent average. Corn emergence is documented at 13%, an increase of 3 percentage points from a year earlier and 4 points above the recent average.

Soybean fields are moving faster. Planting of soybeans has reached 33% completion, which is 5 percentage points ahead of last year and 10 points above the recent average. Soybean emergence also stands at 13%, up 7 points year over year and 8 points above the recent average.

Industry supply estimates through the fifth week of planting show divergent acreage trends. Baird's figures indicate corn acres are running slightly behind the prior year, while soybean acreage is tracking more than 20% above the prior year benchmark.

Weather patterns this week are expected to be mixed across key production states. Forecasts call for generally light rain across much of the corn and soybean belt, while Iowa, Wisconsin, and Michigan are projected to remain dry. Heavier rainfall is anticipated in Missouri, Tennessee, and Kentucky. Planting in Tennessee and Kentucky is reported to be nearing completion.

Market prices have responded alongside planting progress. December 2026 corn futures recently touched $5.00 per bushel, with nearby cash-level prices near $4.70 per bushel - the highest in over a year. May and July 2027 corn contracts are trading just below $5.35 per bushel. Soybean prices have rallied above $12 per bushel.

Costs for key inputs remain elevated. Fertilizer and diesel prices are described as high, a condition the report links to persistent tensions in the Middle East. Looking ahead, the May WASDE report will publish initial production, yield, and price estimates for the 2026-27 season, providing the first formal government outlook for the coming marketing year.


Data notes - Planting and emergence percentages are drawn from the USDA weekly Crop Progress report. Acreage tracking through week five is based on Baird estimates. Price references reflect recent futures and cash levels cited in the report.

Risks

  • Weather variability - light rain is expected in many areas but Iowa, Wisconsin, and Michigan are forecast to stay dry while Missouri, Tennessee, and Kentucky may receive heavier rainfall, which could influence planting progress and emergence - impacts are relevant to crop yields and supply.
  • Elevated input costs - higher fertilizer and diesel prices, linked in the report to ongoing tensions in the Middle East, create margin pressure for growers and affect production economics.
  • Market uncertainty ahead of official USDA outlook - the upcoming May WASDE report will provide the first government estimates for 2026-27 production, yield, and prices, introducing potential volatility for commodity markets.

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