Stock Markets April 30, 2026 10:35 AM

Chinese Automakers Report Sharp March Rise in Overseas Registrations

BYD, Geely and Great Wall Motor post double-digit month-on-month gains in key foreign markets as firms target oil-driven EV demand

By Leila Farooq
Chinese Automakers Report Sharp March Rise in Overseas Registrations

Morgan Stanley data show BYD, Geely and Great Wall Motor each posted substantial month-on-month increases in overseas vehicle registrations in March 2026. Growth was concentrated in specific regional markets, with BYD’s gains led by the UK, Brazil and Australia, Geely bolstered by Russia and Mexico alongside Europe, and Great Wall Motor showing strong performance in Russia and Brazil. The broker said automakers are pushing to capture oil price-driven electric vehicle demand overseas while managing weak domestic demand and annual targets.

Key Points

  • BYD’s overseas registrations rose 35-40% month-on-month in March 2026, with the UK, Brazil and Australia making up about 54% of its overseas sales.
  • Geely’s overseas registrations increased 30-35% month-on-month, with Russia, Mexico, Australia and Thailand accounting for roughly 65% of its overseas sales.
  • Great Wall Motor’s overseas registrations climbed 30-35% month-on-month, with Russia, Brazil and Australia representing approximately 76% of its overseas sales.

Chinese auto manufacturers BYD, Geely and Great Wall Motor recorded pronounced increases in their overseas vehicle registrations in March 2026, according to a Morgan Stanley analysis. Each company reported sizable month-on-month growth in registrations, with different regional mixes driving the gains.

BYD saw its overseas registrations rise by an estimated 35-40% month-on-month in March. The company expanded sales across Europe, Oceania and Latin America. Collectively, the UK, Brazil and Australia accounted for roughly 54% of BYD’s overseas sales during the month. In particular, UK registrations jumped to 15,000 units in March, up from 2,000 units in February, reflecting a fourfold monthly increase in local demand. Brazil sales climbed 43% month-on-month to 16,200 units. Thailand sales recovered to nearly 1,000 units after a decline in February.

Geely reported a 30-35% month-on-month increase in overseas registrations for March, with especially strong growth in Europe. Russia, Mexico, Australia and Thailand together made up around 65% of Geely’s overseas sales. Russia sales rose 27% month-on-month to 7,400 units, while Mexico increased 31% month-on-month to 4,600 units. Thailand shipments grew 63% month-on-month, supported by deliveries of the EX2 model.

Great Wall Motor (GWM) posted a 30-35% month-on-month increase in overseas registrations in March, with notable strength in Russia and Brazil. Russia, Brazil and Australia represented approximately 76% of GWM’s overseas sales. Russia registrations climbed 43% month-on-month, and Brazil sales increased 33% month-on-month.

Morgan Stanley commented that these automakers are seeking to capture oil price-driven electric vehicle demand overseas while remaining on track to meet annual targets amid weak domestic demand. The broker’s assessment attributes the push into foreign markets to a strategy of offsetting softer home-market conditions by pursuing growth where EV demand is being stimulated by higher oil prices.


Market context and implications

The reported month-on-month registration increases indicate that each manufacturer is leaning on foreign market momentum to support overall sales objectives. The regional concentration of sales also suggests that performance for these automakers in March was materially influenced by demand shifts in a handful of countries rather than broadly uniform global growth.

Note: All percentage changes and unit figures reflect the data provided by Morgan Stanley for March 2026 and compare month-on-month developments from February 2026.

Risks

  • Concentration risk: The companies’ overseas sales gains were concentrated in a small number of countries, exposing results to localized demand shifts - relevant to the automotive sector and international sales strategies.
  • Domestic weakness: Automakers are relying on overseas demand to offset weak domestic markets, which adds uncertainty if foreign demand softens - impacting corporate revenue forecasts and supply-chain planning in the auto sector.
  • Dependence on oil price dynamics: Morgan Stanley linked the push to capture oil price-driven EV demand, implying that changes in oil prices could alter the attractiveness of EVs in some markets - affecting EV adoption trends and related markets such as energy and commodities.

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