Stock Markets June 26, 2026 11:58 AM

Morgan Stanley: Apple’s Large Price Rises Aim to Preserve Margins Amid Memory Cost Spike

Bank says 15%–25% increases on Macs, iPads and accessories are an unusual move to defend gross margins; demand resilience could still support revenue and EPS upside

By Derek Hwang
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Morgan Stanley told investors that Apple’s recent 15% to 25% price increases on Mac, iPad and accessories signal an extraordinary effort to protect gross margins in the face of record memory cost inflation. Analyst Erik Woodring said the magnitude of the hikes appears oriented toward margin defense rather than merely passing through higher component costs. The bank noted the size of these increases is rare over the last 15 years outside isolated model-level adjustments, and it flagged demand elasticity and the company’s iPhone margin strategy as key uncertainties.

Morgan Stanley: Apple’s Large Price Rises Aim to Preserve Margins Amid Memory Cost Spike
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Key Points

  • Apple raised prices on Macs, iPads and accessories by about 15% to 25%, which Morgan Stanley interprets as an effort to defend gross margins amid record memory cost inflation.
  • Morgan Stanley could not find comparable price hikes of this magnitude in the past 15 years except at individual model level, and its prior 5%–10% like-for-like pricing assumptions for non-iPhone products may have understated actual pricing.
  • Demand elasticity is central to outcomes; Morgan Stanley notes Apple’s ecosystem supports relatively resilient pricing power, and it continues to model a $100 like-for-like starting price increase for the iPhone 18 while flagging uncertainty around iPhone margin strategy.

Apple has implemented price increases of roughly 15% to 25% across Mac, iPad and accessory lines, a move Morgan Stanley describes as an unprecedented attempt to defend gross margins amid unusually high memory cost inflation. In a note distributed to investors on Friday, analyst Erik Woodring argued the scale of the adjustments suggests Apple is focused on preserving margins rather than only offsetting higher input costs.

Morgan Stanley said it could not identify comparable price adjustments of this magnitude over the past 15 years, except for changes limited to specific models. The bank contrasted this latest action with its prior pricing assumptions, noting that its earlier expectation of 5% to 10% like-for-like increases on non-iPhone products likely underplayed the actual pricing Apple enacted.

"We have shielded our customers from these increases so far, but we have now reached a point where we need to begin raising prices on a number of products," an Apple spokesperson said, according to the note.

The research team highlighted that demand elasticity will determine how much these higher prices affect sales, yet emphasized that Apple's ecosystem and customer lock-in historically support relatively steady pricing power and some degree of demand inelasticity. Morgan Stanley illustrated this point by noting that a $200 to $300 one-time increase translates to approximately $4 to $6 per month when spread over a four-year replacement cycle.

Regarding the next iPhone generation, Morgan Stanley continues to model a $100 like-for-like starting price increase for the iPhone 18, but the bank acknowledged uncertainty about Apple’s margin approach for its most important product. Industry checks cited by Morgan Stanley have not shown reductions in iPhone build plans, which the bank said could indicate Apple may apply more modest price increases to its flagship device.


Contextual analysis

Morgan Stanley’s revised view implies potential upside to its revenue and earnings-per-share estimates for Apple, driven by higher-than-anticipated pricing on non-iPhone devices. At the same time, the firm flagged open questions about how consumers will respond and how Apple will balance pricing with margin targets on the iPhone.

Risks

  • Demand elasticity remains uncertain - higher prices could reduce unit demand if customers react more sensitively than Morgan Stanley anticipates (affecting consumer hardware and retail sectors).
  • Apple’s margin strategy for the iPhone is not settled - uncertainty around pricing on its key product could alter overall corporate margins and earnings outcomes (impacting tech hardware and investor expectations).
  • Record memory cost inflation is the stated driver of the pricing action - further swings in memory costs could continue to pressure component-supplier margins and product pricing strategies (affecting memory and semiconductor supply chains).

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