Stock Markets July 31, 2026 08:45 AM

Amadeus Sees Bookings Rebound After Iran-Related Disruptions; CEO Says Worst May Be Behind Firm

Travel technology group reports stronger-than-expected Q2 core earnings despite a 7.6% hit to bookings from Middle East turmoil

By Derek Hwang
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AMA

Amadeus said air travel bookings have shown signs of recovery following disruptions tied to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran, which weighed on second-quarter volumes. The company reported a 7.6% decline in quarterly bookings but posted adjusted core earnings that beat analyst expectations, and management said the steepest impact from cancellations and route and capacity adjustments appears to have passed.

Amadeus Sees Bookings Rebound After Iran-Related Disruptions; CEO Says Worst May Be Behind Firm
AMA
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Key Points

  • Amadeus reported a 7.6% drop in quarterly bookings due to cancellations and air traffic disruptions tied to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran.
  • CEO Luis Maroto said bookings have been progressively improving since June and suggested the worst of the cancellations and capacity adjustments may have already occurred.
  • The company posted adjusted second-quarter core earnings of 2672.8 million ($774.2 million), which beat analyst expectations according to LSEG data; travel technology and airlines sectors are directly impacted.

Amadeus said on Friday that bookings for air travel have begun to recover after a period of disruption linked to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran, which dented the travel technology group's second-quarter performance. Management reported that cancellations and route disruptions across the region led to a 7.6% fall in quarterly bookings earlier in the day.

Speaking with analysts, CEO Luis Maroto characterized the recent developments as having delivered the most severe effects early on. "Our feeling is that the worst has happened already with all these cancellations, adjustments of routes, adjustment of capacity of the airlines," he said, noting a progressive improvement in bookings since June.

Maroto told the call that the conflict's repercussions have extended beyond the immediate Middle East theatre, affecting bookings in some domestic markets, including the United States. He said airlines reacted to the turmoil by rearranging capacity and raising fares in affected routes, which contributed to the decline in bookings recorded during the quarter.

Despite the drop in bookings, Amadeus reported adjusted second-quarter core earnings of 2672.8 million ($774.2 million), a result that exceeded analyst expectations based on LSEG data.

Management cautioned, however, that the recent lift in reservations may reflect different underlying dynamics. It remains uncertain whether the uptick represents a catch-up effect from travelers who postponed purchases while adopting a wait-and-see stance, or whether it signals the start of a sustained rebound in demand.

The company's remarks underline the mixed signals facing travel-related markets: an easing of the immediate shock from regional conflict coupled with continuing uncertainty about customer behaviour and airline capacity decisions. For travel technology providers and carriers alike, that ambiguity has direct implications for near-term revenue trajectories and capacity planning.


Context and implications

Amadeus' comments emphasize that operational disruptions - cancellations, route changes and capacity adjustments - were the main drivers behind the quarter's booking decline, and that management is monitoring whether recovery is durable or transitory. The stronger-than-expected adjusted core earnings provide some cushion to the headline bookings weakness but do not eliminate the ongoing uncertainty described by the CEO.

Risks

  • Uncertainty whether the recent improvement in bookings is a short-term catch-up from delayed purchases or the beginning of a sustained recovery - this affects revenue outlooks for travel technology providers and airlines.
  • Ongoing airline capacity rearrangements and higher fares in some markets could continue to suppress booking volumes and passenger flows in affected routes, impacting airline revenue and travel distribution services.

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