Commodities November 9, 2026 11:00 PM

China's October Crude Imports Climb to Highest Since March amid Middle East Disruption

Monthly crude intake rises versus September despite year-on-year decline as refined product flows shift

By Marcus Reed
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China imported 41.94 million metric tons of crude oil in October, equal to 9.88 million barrels per day, marking a monthly increase from September and the largest monthly intake since March. The rise followed disruptions to Middle East supplies linked to the US-Israeli war on Iran. Refined product exports fell month-on-month while product imports rose; natural gas inflows edged higher year-on-year in October but remain lower over the first ten months.

China's October Crude Imports Climb to Highest Since March amid Middle East Disruption
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Key Points

  • Crude imports in October were 41.94 million metric tons (9.88 million bpd), down 13.3% year-on-year but up 9.4% in daily import rate from September and the highest monthly level since March - impacts oil supply and refining sectors.
  • Refined product exports fell to 5.18 million tons in October from 7.16 million tons in September, though were 14.6% higher than a year earlier; first 10 months refined exports totaled 46.59 million tons, down 2% - relevant to refining margins and trade balances.
  • Natural gas imports rose 2.4% year-on-year to 10.01 million tons in October, while January-to-October gas imports totaled 99.22 million tons, down 2.8% - affecting LNG market flows and gas-fired demand sectors.

China's crude oil arrivals in October reached 41.94 million metric tons, or 9.88 million barrels per day (bpd), official customs figures show. Although the October total was 13.3% below the level seen a year earlier, the daily import rate rose 9.4% from September and represented the highest monthly intake since March.

Authorities and market observers noted the timing of the increase came after supply disruptions from the Middle East tied to the US-Israeli war on Iran, which affected regional crude flows. The October surge in daily imports contrasts with the year-on-year decline recorded for the month.

Refined oil products saw contrasting movements in October. Exports of refined fuels - covering gasoline, diesel, jet fuel and fuel oil - fell to 5.18 million tons from 7.16 million tons in September, but remained 14.6% higher than a year earlier.

Over the first ten months of the year, shipments of refined oil products totaled 46.59 million tons, a decline of 2.0% compared with the same period last year. At the same time, imports of oil products into China rose to 3.15 million tons in October, up from 1.85 million tons in September. For January through October, product imports were 27.15 million tons, down from 34.19 million tons in the prior-year period.

Natural gas inflows also moved higher in October. Total natural gas imports - inclusive of liquefied natural gas and pipeline gas - were 10.01 million tons in October, an increase of 2.4% versus October last year. However, cumulative January-to-October natural gas imports stood at 99.22 million metric tons, a decline of 2.8% from the same period a year earlier.

The monthly data highlight a mix of stronger crude arrivals on a monthly basis alongside softer year-to-date volumes for both refined products and gas. The interplay between elevated October crude throughput and the shift in refined product trade - lower exports month-on-month but higher than a year earlier, and elevated product imports compared with September - underscores the uneven patterns visible in China's energy trade flows.


Data notes: All figures cited are from the General Administration of Customs and refer to reported monthly and year-to-date volumes for the periods stated.

Risks

  • Continued or renewed disruptions to Middle East supplies could create volatility in crude arrivals and affect downstream refining throughput - risk to energy supply chains and oil markets.
  • Year-to-date declines in refined product exports and in cumulative natural gas imports point to demand or logistical shifts that could alter trade balances and pressure margins in refining and gas sectors.
  • Monthly swings between higher crude inflows and changing refined product trade patterns introduce uncertainty for inventory planning and freight/logistics operations in import terminals and coastal refineries.

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