Commodities

Price movements and fundamentals across major commodities.

Analysis and reporting on commodities such as oil, natural gas, gold, industrial metals, and agricultural products. Focuses on supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical risks, inventory trends, and macro drivers affecting commodity markets.

Articles

1,590 total articles

Jobs Surprise Recalibrates Rate Expectations and Shifts Market Focus

Jobs Surprise Recalibrates Rate Expectations and Shifts Market Focus

U.S. January employment data showed payrolls rising by 130,000 versus a 70,000 forecast, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly declined to 4.3% as labor force participation increased and average earnings growth accelerated. Markets reacted by re-pricing expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, with two cuts still implied for the year but the …

Transit of Russian Oil to Eastern Europe Suspended After January 27 Strike

Transit of Russian Oil to Eastern Europe Suspended After January 27 Strike

Ukraine's foreign ministry says oil transit through the Ukrainian stretch of the Druzhba pipeline has been stopped since January 27 after a targeted Russian strike that ignited infrastructure at the site. Images circulated by the ministry show emergency crews fighting the blaze. State oil and gas company Naftogaz also reported an attack on one of i…

IEA Sees Slower Oil Demand Growth in 2026 as Supply Fluctuations Persist

IEA Sees Slower Oil Demand Growth in 2026 as Supply Fluctuations Persist

The International Energy Agency reports a pullback in global oil supply in January driven by U.S. winter storms, an outage at Kazakhstan's Tengiz field and export constraints in Russia and Venezuela. The IEA now expects 2026 oil output to increase to 108.6 million barrels per day, but forecasts slower demand growth and anticipates a sizeable supply…

Oil edges higher as Middle East tensions and US data shape market risk premium

Oil edges higher as Middle East tensions and US data shape market risk premium

Oil prices climbed modestly in Asian trade as market participants priced in a higher risk premium tied to renewed U.S.-Iran tensions. Gains were limited after U.S. data showed stronger-than-expected payrolls and a surprise 8.5 million barrel build in weekly crude inventories, while attention turns toward Chinese travel demand for the Lunar New Year…

BCA Research: Gold Vulnerable to Short-Term Drop if Asian ETF Flows Reverse

BCA Research: Gold Vulnerable to Short-Term Drop if Asian ETF Flows Reverse

BCA Research warns that gold prices could suffer a meaningful near-term decline if the recent momentum-driven inflows into gold ETFs from China and other Asian markets unwind. While the firm highlights the tactical vulnerability created by regionally concentrated investment flows, it also says longer-term structural factors - including global inves…

OPEC Predicts Q2 Drop in Demand for OPEC+ Crude; Q1-to-Q2 Cut of 400,000 bpd

OPEC Predicts Q2 Drop in Demand for OPEC+ Crude; Q1-to-Q2 Cut of 400,000 bpd

OPEC's monthly report projects world demand for crude from the broader OPEC+ coalition will decline by 400,000 barrels per day in the second quarter compared with the first quarter, with quarterly and annual forecasts left unchanged from the prior report. The group paused additional production increases in Q1 2026 and will face a March 1 meeting wh…

China Signals Countermeasures Against French Wine if Paris Pursues EU Tariffs

China Signals Countermeasures Against French Wine if Paris Pursues EU Tariffs

A social media account linked to Chinese broadcaster CCTV warned that China could investigate French wines or impose reciprocal tariffs on EU goods if France pushes for sweeping tariffs on Chinese products. The warning followed a French government strategy report that recommended a 30% across-the-board tariff on Chinese imports or a 30% euro deprec…

EU Leaders to Tackle Economic Dependence on US and China at Summit

EU Leaders to Tackle Economic Dependence on US and China at Summit

European Union leaders will meet to discuss measures aimed at reducing the bloc's economic dependence on the United States and China. The agenda, set out by meeting chairman Antonio Costa, identifies five priority areas: cutting bureaucratic trade barriers, enabling EU firms to scale, protecting strategic industries, maintaining openness to trade w…

Retail Weakness Adds to Labor-Report Jitters as Markets Reprice Fed Outlook

Retail Weakness Adds to Labor-Report Jitters as Markets Reprice Fed Outlook

A softer-than-expected December retail report has heightened concerns about consumer spending just as markets await the January payrolls print and benchmark payroll revisions. Traders have pushed Fed cut odds forward, the dollar slid, yields fell amid heavy issuance, and equity sentiment cooled. Developments in AI and chipmaking continue to reshape…

Kremlin to Seek Clarification from Washington Over U.S. Venezuela Oil License

Kremlin to Seek Clarification from Washington Over U.S. Venezuela Oil License

The Kremlin said it will request clarification from the United States after Washington issued a general license to enable oil and gas exploration and production in Venezuela that explicitly bars transactions involving Russian and Chinese nationals or entities. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov highlighted Russia's investments and long-term projects i…

Gold and Silver Tick Higher After Weak U.S. Retail Sales; Eyes on Payrolls

Gold and Silver Tick Higher After Weak U.S. Retail Sales; Eyes on Payrolls

Gold and silver gained in early Asian trading after U.S. retail sales for December came in softer than expected, boosting speculation that economic momentum is easing. Markets are looking to upcoming nonfarm payrolls for clearer signals on the labor market and potential Federal Reserve policy shifts. Despite the uptick, metals remain volatile and r…

White House to Formalize Rescission of Obama-Era Greenhouse Gas Finding

White House to Formalize Rescission of Obama-Era Greenhouse Gas Finding

The White House said on Tuesday that President Donald Trump will formally rescind the 2009 federal finding on greenhouse gases at an event on Thursday, joined by Environmental Protection Agency administrator Lee Zeldin. The administration, which proposed the move in July, describes the action as a significant rollback aimed at easing regulations on…

Carney Says U.S.-Canada Dispute Over Detroit-Windsor Bridge Will Be Resolved

Carney Says U.S.-Canada Dispute Over Detroit-Windsor Bridge Will Be Resolved

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney told reporters that a diplomatic disagreement over the $4.7 billion Gordie Howe International Bridge will be resolved after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to prevent the new crossing from opening. Carney said he discussed the bridge and other issues with Trump and emphasized that ownership is shared betwe…