Heritage Insurance: El Nino Lowers the Storm Odds — A Cheap, Conditional Long with a Clear Exit
Heritage Insurance (HRTG) looks like a classic insurance recovery trade: cheap on earnings and free cash flow, high ROE, and positioned in Florida where El Nino should reduce Atlantic hurricane activity in 2026. I outline a long trade with entry at $28.54, a $40 target tied to a modest re-rating and continued underwriting discipline, and a $23.50 s…