Stock Markets July 13, 2026 07:05 AM

Stocks Edge Higher Ahead of Key Inflation Readings and Bank Earnings

Megacap tech lifts major indexes as markets prepare for CPI, PPI, retail sales and the start of Q2 bank reports

By Nina Shah
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U.S. equities finished the week modestly higher, powered by gains in several large technology names. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq posted weekly advances while the Dow lagged slightly. Investors now shift focus to a packed macro and corporate calendar, including June CPI, PPI, retail sales and a slate of major bank results that will formally open second-quarter earnings season.

Stocks Edge Higher Ahead of Key Inflation Readings and Bank Earnings
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Key Points

  • Major U.S. indexes closed higher on Friday, with the S&P 500 up 0.42%, the Nasdaq up 0.29% and the Dow up 0.29%.
  • Mega-cap technology stocks, including Nvidia and Meta Platforms, were among the largest contributors to the S&P 500's gains; SK Hynix surged in its U.S. debut but was marked by volatile subsequent premarket trading.
  • Investors will focus on June CPI, PPI, retail sales and the start of Q2 earnings season led by major banks, all of which could influence market direction.

U.S. stock benchmarks closed higher on Friday, driven mainly by strength among a small group of mega-cap technology companies, and wrapped up the week with net gains. The S&P 500 ended the session up 0.42% at 7,575.39. The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.29% to finish at 26,281.61, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 149.60 points, or 0.29%, to close at 52,637.01.

Among notable movers, Nvidia and Meta Platforms were significant contributors to the S&P 500's advance, climbing approximately 4% and 6%, respectively. Their performance helped offset volatility elsewhere in the market and kept the major indices near record territory by the close.

Chipmaker SK Hynix attracted substantial investor attention on its U.S. market debut on Friday. The South Korean firm opened at $170 on the Nasdaq and ended the trading day roughly 13% higher. Market data noted that the stock was positioned to relinquish a substantial portion of that initial gain on Monday, sliding about 8% in premarket trading.

Over the five-day period, the S&P 500 recorded a gain greater than 1%, despite pronounced swings in semiconductor stocks and renewed tensions between the U.S. and Iran that have revived concerns about the conflict's potential to lift energy prices. The Nasdaq also rose more than 1% for the week, while the Dow slipped about 0.5%.


Markets now confront a compact schedule of macroeconomic releases, corporate earnings and Middle East developments that could test the durability of the rally. The policy backdrop remains in focus after last month’s Federal Reserve meeting, and upcoming inflation data may influence expectations for monetary policy.

Inflation readings and other economic data

Investors will be watching June's consumer price index, due Tuesday, for indications of inflationary pressure. In particular, the core CPI reading - which excludes energy - will be examined to assess the extent to which higher oil prices this year are feeding into broader price pressures.

The producer-price index is scheduled for release on Wednesday, and retail sales data due on Thursday will provide a read on consumer spending during the period. These releases together will shape near-term market expectations about growth and price stability.

Rising interest rates typically weigh on equities by increasing borrowing costs for households and businesses. Expectations for additional rate increases rose following the Fed meeting last month, which was the first chaired by Kevin Warsh and delivered a tone that market participants interpreted as more hawkish than expected.

Minutes from that meeting, released last week, indicated that policymakers were growing increasingly concerned about inflation. Warsh is slated to give his first congressional testimony on monetary policy this week, an appearance that market participants will monitor for further guidance.


Q2 earnings season set to begin with major banks

Corporate reporting will add another layer of focus as second-quarter earnings season gets underway. Major U.S. banks are scheduled to report results on Tuesday, which will provide an early read on corporate profitability for the period.

Among the lenders reporting Tuesday are JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Bank of America and Wells Fargo. Analysts expect results across the banking group to be strong, and the early reports could set the tone for broader earnings expectations for the quarter.

Outside of financials, several high-profile companies are also due to report this week, including Netflix, BlackRock and Johnson & Johnson, adding further potential market-moving disclosures.


Market commentary from strategists

Market strategists and research teams offered assessments of current market dynamics and the potential drivers for equity performance in the months ahead. A selection of their views follows:

JPMorgan: "Despite the spike in geopolitical uncertainty in Q2, it is encouraging that 2026 EPS projections kept moving higher, something which is seen in all regions, and is not solely the result of IT and Energy. In fact, the majority of sectors in MSCI AC World have seen net upgrades ytd. Iran conflict is flaring up again, but we think one keeps using the dips driven by this to add, the same stance we had since 2nd half of March."

Goldman Sachs: "Earnings growth should determine the overall direction of equity market travel, but we would expect stocks to struggle in the short term if the Fed were to hike. Three reasons: First, while growth is more important than rates for equities, Fed tightening would weigh on the market outlook for growth. Second, the AI boom has made the current cycle particularly capital-intensive, increasing the likely sensitivity to changes in the cost of capital. Third, Fed tightening is one of the conditions that has marked the peaks of past high-valuation, high-concentration bull markets."

Evercore ISI: "The Bull Market remains intact with SPX set for 7,750 by YE, led by AI centric O/P rated Info Tech, Comm Svcs, Cons Disc. Upside earnings surprises should catalyze share prices higher as positioning is cautious. 'Beaten-Down Beat & Raisers' – underperformers with elevated short interest but strong fundamentals – are expected to outperform. NVDA, GOOGL, NFLX, BKNG among them. Conversely 'Darling Earnings Disappointers' – outperformers with weaker revisions/low beat rates – could underperform. Negative Beta stocks remain attractive for offsetting portfolio volatility in a world increasingly tied to AI."

Citi: "With geopolitical risks easing (until recently) and signs of rotation away from crowded AI trades, many of our conversations are returning to the likelihood of 'broadening' performance in 2H26. The success of broadening relies on: (1) sustained cyclical improvement in macro/EPS revisions, and (2) a sustained pause in Tech outperformance. On cyclical recovery, we are encouraged by upside surprises in economic data and more broad-based EPS upgrades. However, Tech continues to screen highly in our models, supported by standout earnings growth/momentum and attractive valuations. While AI volatility may remain elevated over the coming quarter, we maintain our Overweight stance on global IT and the US with a medium- term view."

Jefferies: "David Zervos remains bullish despite rise in oil and potential for rate hikes later in year. GREED & fear sees a sudden realisation by investors that hyperscalers will not be able to make a return on their AI-related investments will trigger a sudden unwillingness to fund investments. Desh sees momentum now only driven by AI, could see unwind on adverse sentiment. When Mo unwinds, prefer quality stocks with low-momentum for summer."

RBC Capital Markets: "There’s been no change to our 12-month price of 8,150, and the list of risk factors we’re monitoring is essentially unchanged. We said in our last Pulse report two weeks ago that the broadening trade probably had some room to run based on what we were seeing in our valuation work, but that we still thought of these as trades rather than longer-term shifts in leadership given better earnings dynamics for mega cap Growth and a lack of follow-through for the broadening on funds flows. Our valuation work isn’t yet sending a clear reversal signal. But given the sideways move in U.S./non-U.S. performance that has emerged plus the return of Growth/Value, high price momentum/low price momentum, and top 10/rest of S&P 500 relative performance to levels close to past inflection points, we are on guard for a shift back into traditional mega cap Growth leadership."


What to watch this week

Investors face a concentrated set of potential catalysts as weekly market activity resumes. Key inflation metrics, producer prices and retail spending data will influence expectations for interest rates and economic momentum. Bank earnings early in the reporting season will offer an initial read on corporate profitability, loan performance and capital dynamics for the quarter.

At the same time, geopolitical developments have reemerged as a source of market volatility, with flare-ups raising the prospect of higher energy prices. Semiconductor equities have shown pronounced swings, and the performance of large-cap information technology and communication services names continues to be a driver of headline index moves.

Against that backdrop, market participants will likely weigh macro releases, corporate results and geopolitical news in assessing both near-term positioning and the sustainability of recent gains.


Indices and selected movers (as cited in market data):

  • S&P 500: 7,575.39, up 0.42%.
  • Nasdaq Composite: 26,281.61, up 0.29%.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: 52,637.01, up 0.29% (149.60 points).
  • Nvidia and Meta Platforms were notable contributors, rising roughly 4% and 6%, respectively.
  • SK Hynix opened at $170 on the Nasdaq in its U.S. debut and finished the session up about 13%; it traded down roughly 8% in premarket action the following Monday.

This article summarizes market moves, upcoming economic releases and analyst commentary to provide context for investors as the week ahead includes key inflation data and the opening of second-quarter earnings season.

Risks

  • Geopolitical tension between the U.S. and Iran could push energy prices higher, thereby creating upward pressure on inflation and weighing on sectors sensitive to energy costs, including consumer-facing industries and industrials.
  • Stronger-than-expected inflation readings from CPI or PPI could increase expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening, which could hurt equities by raising borrowing costs for households and businesses and affect interest-rate-sensitive sectors.
  • Concentration in mega-cap technology names means that sharp swings in those stocks or a pullback in AI-related momentum could generate outsized volatility for indices and affect performance of tech-heavy portfolios.

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