Stock Markets September 15, 2026 01:18 AM

Resona Shares Slide After BofA Warning, Japanese Banks Weighed Down by Global Trading Concerns

Bank of America revenue caution and a rare simultaneous policy-week for the BOJ and Fed tighten the outlook for Japanese lenders and FX carry trades

By Marcus Reed
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Resona Holdings shares dropped 3.6% on Tuesday, leading declines across major Japanese bank stocks after comments from Bank of America’s CEO on the U.S. bank’s trading and investment banking revenue outlook triggered sector-wide concerns. The move came as markets prepared for back-to-back central bank meetings in Tokyo and Washington, a convergence that is narrowing the yield differential between U.S. and Japanese rates and raising the risk of forced unwind in yen carry trades.

Resona Shares Slide After BofA Warning, Japanese Banks Weighed Down by Global Trading Concerns
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Key Points

  • Resona Holdings fell 3.6% on Tuesday, leading losses among major Japanese bank stocks after remarks from Bank of America.
  • BofA CEO Brian Moynihan warned third-quarter sales and trading revenue would be roughly flat year-on-year and signaled a drop in investment banking fees, stoking sector-wide caution.
  • A rare concurrence of BOJ and Fed meetings this week is narrowing the USD-JPY interest rate spread and increasing the risk of carry-trade unwinds that could affect banks and FX markets.

Resona Holdings led losses among Japan’s big lenders on Tuesday, with its stock falling 3.6% as investors reacted to remarks from Bank of America that unsettled trading and banking sector sentiment.

Overnight, Bank of America Chief Executive Brian Moynihan told investors the firm expects third-quarter sales and trading revenue to be roughly flat compared with a year earlier, and he flagged a decline in the bank’s investment banking fees. Those comments fed worries that weakness at BofA could be mirrored across the broader banking and trading complex, prompting widespread selling on Wall Street and spilling over into other markets.

Japanese banks tracked the move lower in the United States, and the sector’s cautious tone was compounded by an approaching Bank of Japan two-day policy meeting set to conclude September 17-18. Market pricing ahead of that meeting has largely converged on a near-certain 25 basis point rate increase to 1.25%.

At the same time, the U.S. Federal Reserve is holding its own September meeting in the same week - the first occasion in this tightening cycle that both central banks are issuing decisions within the same seven-day window. That simultaneity is compressing the interest rate spread between the yen and the dollar and amplifying concerns of a forced unwinding of carry trades that rely on the differential.

Market moves were reflected across several indicators on Tuesday. U.S. dollar to Japanese yen was up 0.34% as traders adjusted positions in FX markets. The Nikkei 225 pared earlier gains and was trading roughly flat by the middle of the session. Bank of America shares were also weaker, with the stock down in the session, while Resona’s listed code showed a mid-session decline in the high single digits percentage-wise relative to its prior close.

Investors and market participants remain attentive to both central bank outcomes and follow-through in trading revenue for major banks, factors that are likely to continue shaping sector performance in the near term.

Risks

  • Spillover of weakness in U.S. banks' trading and investment banking revenue could depress global banking sector stocks - impacting lenders and trading desks.
  • Simultaneous central bank decisions by the BOJ and the Fed compress the yen-dollar interest rate spread and raise the chance of forced carry-trade unwinds - affecting FX and leveraged positions.

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