Stock Markets June 24, 2026 08:48 AM

Paychex Posts Slight EPS Beat, Matches Revenue; Issues Softer Revenue Outlook for Fiscal 2027

Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.32 tops estimates by a penny as revenue of $1.61 billion meets expectations; stock falls after company projects lower growth for the year ahead

By Maya Rios
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Paychex reported fiscal fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.32, narrowly above the $1.31 analyst consensus, while revenue of $1.61 billion matched estimates and rose 12% from the prior-year quarter. The results included a full quarter contribution from the Paycor HCM acquisition. For fiscal 2027 the company is guiding 5% to 6% revenue growth and 7% to 9% adjusted diluted EPS growth, prompting a roughly 4% pullback in the stock after the announcement.

Paychex Posts Slight EPS Beat, Matches Revenue; Issues Softer Revenue Outlook for Fiscal 2027
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Key Points

  • Paychex reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.32, beating the $1.31 analyst consensus, and revenue of $1.61 billion, matching estimates and up 12% year-over-year.
  • Fiscal 2027 guidance calls for total revenue growth of 5% to 6% and adjusted diluted EPS growth of 7% to 9% (implying $5.90 to $6.01), which the company notes is below the recent quarterly growth pace.
  • Management Solutions revenue rose 14% to $1.2 billion (with Paycor contributing approximately 8%), PEO and Insurance Solutions revenue increased 9% to $369.7 million, operating income climbed 40% to $604.7 million, and adjusted operating income grew 17% to $675.8 million.

Paychex Inc. reported fourth-quarter results that slightly outperformed earnings expectations while meeting revenue forecasts, but the stock declined following the release.

For the quarter ended May 31, 2026, the HR and payroll services provider posted adjusted earnings per share of $1.32, compared with the analyst consensus of $1.31. Revenue for the period came in at $1.61 billion, matching estimates and representing 12% growth from $1.43 billion in the same quarter a year earlier. The company said the results reflected a full quarter of revenue from Paycor HCM, which Paychex acquired in April 2025, versus only a partial quarter in the prior-year period.

Following the quarterly report, shares declined about 4%.


Looking ahead, Paychex issued guidance for fiscal 2027 calling for total revenue growth of 5% to 6%. The company noted the midpoint of that range, 5.5%, is below the pace implied by the 12% growth delivered in the fourth quarter.

Paychex also projected adjusted diluted earnings per share growth of 7% to 9% for fiscal 2027, which the company said would equate to a range of $5.90 to $6.01, based on fiscal 2026's adjusted EPS of $5.51.

"We finished fiscal 2026 with strong momentum, delivering double-digit revenue and earnings growth while accelerating organic revenue growth throughout the year," stated John Gibson, President and Chief Executive Officer.


Segment results provided additional detail on the drivers of the quarter. Management Solutions revenue rose 14% to $1.2 billion, with Paycor contributing roughly 8 percentage points of that increase. PEO and Insurance Solutions revenue increased 9% to $369.7 million, supported by growth in average PEO worksite employees.

On the profitability side, operating income rose 40% to $604.7 million, while adjusted operating income grew 17% to $675.8 million.

For the full fiscal year 2026, Paychex reported adjusted diluted earnings per share of $5.51, an 11% increase from $4.98 in fiscal 2025. During the year the company returned $2.2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.


The results combine a narrow earnings beat and revenue in line with expectations with a fiscal 2027 revenue trajectory that is notably below the company’s most recent quarterly growth rate. Investors reacted to the outlook by selling the stock, producing the reported decline in the share price after the announcement.

Risks

  • Fiscal 2027 revenue growth guidance of 5% to 6% has a midpoint materially below the 12% year-over-year growth reported in Q4, introducing the risk of decelerating revenue expansion for the HR and payroll services sector.
  • The market reaction - a roughly 4% decline in the stock after the results and guidance - highlights potential near-term share price volatility for investors in Paychex and related payroll and HR services equities.
  • Reliance on the contribution from the Paycor HCM acquisition to Management Solutions growth could affect comparisons to prior periods, since the company noted a full quarter of Paycor revenue versus a partial quarter a year earlier.

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