Stock Markets August 11, 2026 10:21 AM

Hesai Group Class B Shares Seen Potentially Moving 12% on Upcoming Earnings

Options market implies a double-digit swing for the August 18 report; historical earnings moves often outpaced those expectations

By Sofia Navarro
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Options pricing indicates Hesai Group Class B shares could swing as much as 12% when the company reports earnings on August 18 before markets open. Historical comparisons show the stock has frequently moved by amounts larger than those implied by options, with several past earnings releases producing outsized volatility relative to expectations.

Hesai Group Class B Shares Seen Potentially Moving 12% on Upcoming Earnings
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Key Points

  • Options data compiled by Bloomberg indicate an implied one-day move of about 12% for Hesai Group Class B shares when earnings are announced on August 18 before market open.
  • In six of the last eight earnings announcements, Hesai’s actual stock moves exceeded the options-implied moves, showing a pattern of outsized volatility around results.
  • Sectors affected include equities trading and options markets, as investors and traders in both arenas respond to earnings-driven volatility.

Hesai Group Class B shares may be set for a notable price swing around the company’s next earnings release on August 18, with options-market pricing pointing to a potential move of about 12% when the report arrives before the opening bell, according to options data compiled by Bloomberg.

Over the most recent eight earnings cycles, the stock has exceeded the single-session move implied by options in six instances. In the May 19 earnings report, Hesai’s shares dropped 8.1% while the options market had suggested an implied move of 10.4%. On March 24, the stock tumbled 18.0% versus an implied move of 12.3%.

Earlier results have also shown pronounced volatility. In August 2025, shares climbed 21.4% against an implied move of 16.6%. The stock rose 20.2% in May 2025, just below an implied 21.7% swing. In March 2025, the stock surged 34.5% while options had priced in a 20.0% move.

Some of the most dramatic outliers occurred in 2024. The largest single-session increase recorded in the series was a 68.1% jump in November 2024, set against an implied move of only 5.6%. That followed an August 2024 rise of 17.5% compared with an implied move of 5.3%.

The dataset also includes instances in which the actual market reaction did not surpass the options-implied expectation. One such case cited is November 2025, when shares declined 11.5% versus an implied move of 8.4%.

Given this history, market participants tracking Hesai ahead of the August 18 release will likely be weighing the options-implied 12% move against a record of frequent outsized reactions. The past pattern indicates episodes of both larger-than-expected gains and losses following earnings announcements.


Contextual note - The implied-move figure referenced here is derived from options pricing data compiled by Bloomberg and reflects the one-day range the market is pricing ahead of the August 18 earnings publication.

Risks

  • Actual post-earnings price action can deviate sharply from options-implied expectations in either direction, creating execution and risk-management challenges for equity and options traders.
  • Historical volatility around earnings means investors face uncertainty in short-term positions tied to the company, which can impact liquidity and pricing in both the stock and derivatives markets.

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