Stock Markets July 30, 2026 06:05 AM

Cigna Lifts 2026 Profit Outlook as Evernorth Growth Offsets Rising Medical Costs

Pharmacy and specialty drug demand propels Evernorth revenue even as medical loss ratio widens and company retreats from government-backed plans

By Nina Shah
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Cigna raised its 2026 adjusted profit forecast after beating second-quarter earnings and revenue estimates, driven by growth in its Evernorth Health Services unit. The insurer is reducing participation in government-backed programs and concentrating on employer-sponsored coverage and its pharmacy benefits business, while its medical loss ratio increased versus the prior year.

Cigna Lifts 2026 Profit Outlook as Evernorth Growth Offsets Rising Medical Costs
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Key Points

  • Cigna raised its 2026 adjusted profit forecast by $0.10 to at least $30.45 per share after beating second-quarter earnings and revenue estimates.
  • Evernorth Health Services revenue rose 6% to $61.47 billion, supported by greater use of specialty drugs for complex conditions; total company revenue increased 7% to $71.67 billion.
  • The company is reducing participation in government-backed insurance markets, having exited Medicare Advantage last year and planning to stop offering ACA plans at the end of 2026; medical loss ratio widened to 84.5% from 83.2% a year earlier.

Overview

Cigna on Thursday raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast for 2026 after producing second-quarter results that topped analysts' expectations. The upside was powered by stronger-than-expected performance in the companys Evernorth Health Services segment, which houses its pharmacy benefit management (PBM) operations and specialty pharmacy.

Evernorth performance and drivers

Adjusted revenue at Evernorth rose 6% in the quarter to $61.47 billion. The company attributed part of that growth to increased utilization of specialty medications used to treat complex conditions such as cancer, multiple sclerosis and rheumatoid arthritis. PBMs work on behalf of employers and health plan clients to negotiate drug prices and coverage arrangements with manufacturers, and Evernorth's scale in those activities contributed materially to the quarters top-line surprise.

Quarterly results and guidance

On an adjusted basis, Cigna reported earnings of $7.78 per share for the second quarter, above consensus of $7.60 per share. Total revenue for the quarter increased 7% to $71.67 billion, versus analysts' estimates of $70.34 billion. Following the stronger results, the company raised its 2026 adjusted profit forecast by $0.10 to at least $30.45 per share. Market analysts were, on average, modeling annual earnings of $30.41 per share.

Cost trends and underwriting metrics

Cigna's medical loss ratio - the share of premiums paid out for medical care - widened to 84.5% in the quarter, up from 83.2% a year earlier. That outcome was slightly higher than the 84.46% that analysts were expecting, according to data compiled by LSEG. The company noted that the prior-year quarter had benefited from elevated risk-adjustment payments in its individual and family plans business; such payments compensate plans that cover a disproportionately sicker population.

Strategic positioning - retreat from government-backed books

In response to elevated medical costs, Cigna has been trimming its exposure to government-backed health insurance markets. The company exited Medicare Advantage last year and has announced it will cease offering plans under the Affordable Care Act at the end of 2026. Management has signaled a reallocation of focus toward its core traditional employer-sponsored healthcare business and its PBM operations.

Implications

The quarter shows a business mix shifting toward pharmacy and specialty drug services, which supported revenue and profitability in the near term. At the same time, the higher medical loss ratio highlights ongoing cost pressures in medical care, which remain a key underwriting and margin consideration for the insurer.


This report presents the companys results, specific segment figures and stated guidance. It does not add information beyond the numbers and comments provided by the company and data cited in the quarters reporting.

Risks

  • Elevated medical costs - reflected in a higher medical loss ratio (84.5% vs 83.2% a year ago) - pose a pressure on underwriting margins and could affect profitability; this primarily impacts the health insurance and employer-sponsored coverage sectors.
  • Contraction of government-backed business - exiting Medicare Advantage and planned withdrawal from ACA plans increases concentration in employer-sponsored and PBM lines, creating strategic and market risks for the insurer and affecting the health insurance and benefits administration sectors.
  • Rising use of specialty drugs - greater utilization of expensive specialty medications is a driver of Evernorth's revenue but also represents a cost and pricing risk that influences pharmacies, PBMs, and employer healthcare spending.

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