Stock Markets June 30, 2026 05:07 PM

Burry Takes Short Position on Caterpillar, Extends Shorts to Nvidia, Tesla, Applied Materials and Semiconductor ETF

Investor cites what he sees as an overheated valuation tied to AI infrastructure spending as the trigger for his trades

By Caleb Monroe
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Michael Burry disclosed a new short position in Caterpillar, saying the construction equipment maker has become overvalued as investors treat it as a play on AI infrastructure spending. He said he shorted Caterpillar at $1,060.98 and also opened short positions in Nvidia, Applied Materials, Tesla and the iShares Semiconductor ETF. Burry pointed to record-high valuations and a multi-decade peak in Caterpillar’s price-to-sales ratio as reasons for his action.

Burry Takes Short Position on Caterpillar, Extends Shorts to Nvidia, Tesla, Applied Materials and Semiconductor ETF
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Key Points

  • Michael Burry announced he shorted Caterpillar at $1,060.98 and opened new short positions in Nvidia, Applied Materials, Tesla and the iShares Semiconductor ETF.
  • Burry flagged Caterpillar’s valuation as a concern, citing a price-to-sales ratio at its highest level in at least three decades while shares reached record highs.
  • Caterpillar gained 86% in the first half of 2026 and has been viewed by investors as a way to gain exposure to AI infrastructure spending; Burry sees that narrative as a driver of overvaluation.

Michael Burry disclosed on Tuesday that he has initiated a short position against Caterpillar Inc, arguing the construction-equipment manufacturer has become overpriced as markets treat it as a proxy for artificial intelligence infrastructure investment.

The investor said he shorted Caterpillar shares at $1,060.98. In the same disclosure he said he opened new short positions in Nvidia Corp, Applied Materials Inc, Tesla Inc and the iShares Semiconductor ETF.

Posting on SubStack on Tuesday, Burry singled out Caterpillar for attention. "Caterpillar jumped out at me," he wrote. "I have never shorted Caterpillar. It has always done great for me on the long side in the past."

He noted that Caterpillar finished the first half of 2026 with an 86% gain, placing it among the top performers in the S&P 500 for the period. Investors have increasingly used the company as a means of gaining exposure to what they view as global AI infrastructure development.

Burry said the stock’s valuation reached levels that prompted his trade. He shared a chart indicating that Caterpillar’s price-to-sales ratio climbed to the highest point in at least three decades as the share price hit record peaks.

"The proximate cause of today’s rally is big spending announced out of Korea. Well, I see that as the beginning of the end," Burry wrote. "It is only a matter of time now."

The moves extend beyond Caterpillar to names directly tied to AI hardware and electric vehicles. According to Burry’s disclosure, his new short positions include Nvidia, Applied Materials and Tesla, as well as the iShares Semiconductor ETF.

This disclosure highlights an investor response to valuation metrics and investor positioning: in Burry’s view, certain stocks have been bid up in part because the market is treating them as routes to play AI infrastructure spending. His commentary and charting were presented as the rationale for the short positions he established.


Contextual note: The information above is drawn from Burry’s public disclosure on SubStack and his commentary regarding valuation and a chart he shared; it reflects the positions and views he stated without additional interpretation or outside data.

Risks

  • Valuation risk for Caterpillar and related stocks if investor enthusiasm for AI infrastructure spending cools - impacts construction equipment and AI-related hardware sectors.
  • Concentration risk tied to market positioning: heavy investor interest in a small set of companies as proxies for AI infrastructure could amplify price swings in semiconductors and related technology stocks.
  • Uncertainty around the sustainability of recent rallies driven by specific spending announcements, such as those referenced from Korea - affects capital goods, semiconductor suppliers and EV manufacturers.

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