Politics August 5, 2026 01:28 PM

Senate Confirmation for Todd Blanche Remains Unsettled After Collins Opposes Nomination

One GOP defection already confirmed; written assurances secured key backers while uncertainty lingers ahead of Senate recess

By Sofia Navarro
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President Trump’s nominee for attorney general, Todd Blanche, faces a fragile path to Senate confirmation after Republican Senator Susan Collins announced she will oppose him. With Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell out indefinitely, Blanche can afford only one additional Republican defection. Written commitments won support from two GOP senators, but questions remain about elements of the related settlement that secured that backing. Senate leaders aim for a vote before a scheduled month-long recess.

Senate Confirmation for Todd Blanche Remains Unsettled After Collins Opposes Nomination
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Key Points

  • Senator Susan Collins announced she will vote against Todd Blanche, tightening the margin for confirmation; with Mitch McConnell absent, Blanche can only tolerate one more Republican defection - sectors impacted: government and legal.
  • Blanche obtained written pledges that Trump’s $1.8 billion "anti-weaponization" fund is dead and that a tax-immunity agreement covers only past returns, securing support from John Cornyn and Thom Tillis - sectors impacted: legal services, compliance.
  • Senate Republican Leader John Thune seeks to hold a confirmation vote before a month-long recess scheduled to start this week; timing places pressure on leaders to resolve remaining objections - sectors impacted: political risk and markets tied to regulatory certainty.

President Donald Trump’s pick for attorney general, Todd Blanche, encountered renewed doubt over his Senate confirmation on Wednesday after Republican Senator Susan Collins said on Tuesday she would vote against him, narrowing the margin for approval.

With Republican Senator Mitch McConnell out of Washington indefinitely, Blanche’s tally is thin: he can withstand only one more Republican defection. A handful of other senators have voiced concern about the nomination, underscoring how precarious the final vote remains.

Senators Bill Cassidy and Lisa Murkowski, who had previously signaled reservations about Blanche, declined on Wednesday to say how they will vote. Their positions, along with those of other undecided senators, are now the focus of intensive discussions among Republican leaders.

Blanche, who is serving in the role of acting attorney general, secured the publicly known support of Republican holdouts John Cornyn and Thom Tillis by providing written assurances. Those written pledges stated that President Trump’s $1.8 billion "anti-weaponization" fund would be ended and that a related tax-immunity agreement would apply only to past tax returns. Both elements arise from a settlement of the president’s $10 billion lawsuit against the IRS.

Despite those commitments, questions persist about whether the fund could later be revived and why the president would receive a deal from his own administration that could save him millions of dollars. Those unresolved issues have contributed to hesitation among some members of the Senate.

Senate Republican Leader John Thune said he wants to finalize Blanche’s confirmation before the Senate departs for a month-long recess scheduled to begin this week, and indicated a vote could occur within days.

"We’re having conversations with folks, the small number of people who will be undecided in this, and I’m hopeful we’ll get there," Thune told reporters on Wednesday. "But again, it’s a work in progress, and we’re not there yet."

A Justice Department spokesperson did not immediately respond to a request for comment.


Context and next steps

The immediate timeline for a final confirmation vote is compressed by the approaching Senate recess, and Republican leaders are working to resolve the outstanding concerns of a small group of undecided senators. The written assurances that gained Cornyn and Tillis’ support clarify the scope of two settlement-related provisions, but do not resolve broader questions some senators continue to raise.

Risks

  • A single additional Republican defection would imperil Blanche’s confirmation, creating continued uncertainty about leadership at the Justice Department - impacts government operations and legal sector planning.
  • Uncertainty remains over whether the $1.8 billion fund could be revived in the future, leaving unresolved questions about the stability of the settlement terms - impacts legal and tax-advisory services.
  • Questions about why the president would receive a deal that could save him millions underscore political and reputational risks that could influence legislative dynamics and market perceptions of policy stability - impacts political risk assessment for investors.

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