Currencies August 10, 2026 03:56 PM

Canadian dollar steadies near eight-week peak as oil climbs and jobs surprise to the upside

Loonie holds gains after stronger-than-expected employment data and a jump in crude amid Strait of Hormuz concerns

By Sofia Navarro
Share
Twitter Reddit Facebook LinkedIn

The Canadian dollar remained close to an eight-week high against the U.S. dollar on Monday, trading at 1.3940 per U.S. dollar (71.74 U.S. cents), as oil prices rose sharply and fresh jobs data for July pointed to stronger-than-anticipated labour market performance in Canada. The currency moved in a narrow intraday band following a recent surge to its strongest level since June 10.

Canadian dollar steadies near eight-week peak as oil climbs and jobs surprise to the upside
Summarize with
ChatGPT Perplexity Claude Grok Gemini

Key Points

  • Canadian dollar traded near 1.3940 per U.S. dollar (71.74 U.S. cents) and ranged between 1.3927 and 1.3964 during the session.
  • Friday's data showed Canada added more jobs than expected in July, helping push the currency to its strongest intraday level since June 10 at 1.3923.
  • Oil settled 5.05% higher at $82.13 a barrel after compensation-related exchanges between Iran and the U.S., which reduced the odds of reopening the Strait of Hormuz; energy and FX markets are both affected.

The Canadian dollar held near an eight-week peak against the U.S. dollar on Monday as upward pressure on oil prices combined with stronger-than-expected employment figures for July.

The loonie was little changed at 1.3940 per U.S. dollar, equivalent to 71.74 U.S. cents, and traded within a session range of 1.3927 to 1.3964.

On Friday the currency briefly strengthened to 1.3923, its most robust intraday showing since June 10. That move followed data showing Canada added more jobs than anticipated in July.

Market positioning had shown an increase in bearish wagers against the Canadian dollar in the weeks leading up to the U.S. announcement of new tariffs on Canada, with speculators holding the heaviest short exposure to the loonie among major currencies.

Separately, diplomatic and trade discussions between Ottawa and Washington were reported to be ongoing. According to a source familiar with the talks, Canada and the U.S. are exploring a potential arrangement in which Ottawa would meet a list of trade demands from the Trump administration in return for Washington dropping the threat to impose fresh tariffs.

Energy markets also played a role in the currency's performance. Oil, a key Canadian export, settled 5.05% higher at $82.13 a barrel on Monday. The rise in crude followed exchanges over demands for compensation between Iran and the U.S., a development that reduced the likelihood of a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.


Market context

The combination of firmer domestic employment data and a notable jump in oil prices supported the Canadian dollar's recent strength, while existing heavy short positions left the currency exposed to shifts in sentiment. Ongoing bilateral discussions over trade and the continued volatility in oil tied to geopolitical exchanges remain factors to watch.

Risks

  • Threat of new U.S. tariffs on Canada remains a source of uncertainty for trade-exposed sectors and FX - ongoing negotiations could influence market sentiment.
  • Large speculative short positions against the Canadian dollar raise the potential for rapid moves if sentiment or fundamentals change, impacting currency and financial markets.
  • Geopolitical tensions and compensation-related exchanges between Iran and the U.S. have driven oil higher and could sustain volatility in energy markets, affecting Canada’s export revenue and the loonie.

More from Currencies

Pound Edges Up as Weak U.S. Jobs Report Continues to Weigh on Dollar Aug 10, 2026 South Korean won Sinks as Dollar Firms; Yen Recedes After Intervention Gains Aug 10, 2026 Dollar Weakens After Weak Jobs Report; Yen Retains Post-Intervention Gains Aug 7, 2026 Canadian dollar seen steady near-term, modestly stronger over a year - poll Aug 6, 2026 Pound drifts lower as dollar holds firm ahead of U.S. jobs report Aug 6, 2026