Commodities June 24, 2026 08:40 PM

Oil Slides to Pre-Conflict Levels as Hormuz Shipping Returns to Near-Normal

Brent and WTI decline for a fourth day as Strait of Hormuz flows recover and U.S. inventory data paint a mixed picture

By Nina Shah
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Oil prices dropped for a fourth straight session, reaching levels not seen since before the onset of the U.S.-Iran conflict. Improved transit through the Strait of Hormuz and signals that Iranian exports could resume under temporary sanctions relief trimmed a large portion of the geopolitical risk premium, even as U.S. fuel stock data showed mixed trends.

Oil Slides to Pre-Conflict Levels as Hormuz Shipping Returns to Near-Normal
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Key Points

  • Brent and WTI futures fell for a fourth consecutive session, with Brent at $73.38 and WTI at $70.14 as of 20:24 ET (00:24 GMT). Both had dropped nearly 4% in the previous session.
  • Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has largely resumed, with about 20 million barrels exiting the strait over the past 24 hours under military protection, easing the geopolitical premium on oil prices.
  • U.S. Energy Information Administration data showed a 6.1 million-barrel draw in commercial crude inventories for the week ended June 19 to 412.1 million barrels - the lowest since January 2025 - while gasoline and distillate inventories rose.

Oil futures extended losses on Thursday, with Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) both slipping for a fourth consecutive session as transport through the Strait of Hormuz moved closer to normal and market concerns about prolonged Middle East supply disruptions eased.

As of 20:24 ET (00:24 GMT), Brent Oil Futures expiring in August had declined 0.5% to $73.38 per barrel. WTI crude futures were down 0.3% at $70.14 per barrel. Both benchmarks had tumbled by nearly 4% in the prior session.

Brent traded at its lowest level since Feb. 27 - the day before the U.S.-Iran conflict began - effectively removing much of the geopolitical premium that had been built into prices earlier in the crisis.


Market participants remained focused on the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow waterway through which roughly a fifth of global oil consumption transits. Activity in the strait is considered a direct barometer of the risk premium attached to Middle East crude supplies.

U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright reported that crude flows through the strait were close to normal levels, noting that roughly 20 million barrels had exited the waterway over the previous 24 hours under military protection. Shipping data cited in industry reports showed a rising number of vessels restarting transit through the strait after weeks of interruptions, and several tankers that had been stranded in the Gulf restarted their voyages.

Those shifts, combined with expectations that Iranian oil exports may recover following temporary U.S. sanctions relief and an easing of regional hostilities, helped calm investor fears of an extended supply squeeze.


The recent slide represents a marked reversal from the peak of the crisis earlier this year, when closures and disruptions to Hormuz traffic contributed to Brent surging above $120 per barrel at the height of the turmoil.

Still, analysts warned that underlying risks remain. Any renewed escalation between Iran and the United States could quickly restore supply concerns and push prices higher.

Adding to the immediate selling pressure were mixed readings from U.S. stockpiles reported by the Energy Information Administration. For the week ended June 19, U.S. commercial crude inventories fell by 6.1 million barrels to 412.1 million barrels - the lowest level since January 2025 and a larger-than-expected draw. Stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub fell by about 1.1 million barrels to their lowest level since 2014.

Offsetting those draws, however, U.S. gasoline inventories rose by 2.1 million barrels, while distillate stocks - which include diesel and heating oil - increased by 3.1 million barrels, tempering the bullish implications of the crude drawdown.


With flows through Hormuz appearing to normalize and a partial restoration of Iranian export prospects factored into the market, prices have retraced a substantial portion of earlier gains. Traders and investors, however, remain vigilant for any change in regional tensions or unexpected supply developments that could reverse the recent decline.

Risks

  • A renewal of tensions between Iran and the United States could swiftly reintroduce supply fears and drive prices higher - impacting oil producers, shipping services, and energy markets.
  • Despite crude inventory draws, rises in gasoline and distillate stocks could mute upward pressure on refined product markets - affecting refiners and fuel distributors.
  • Reversal of the recent normalization in Strait of Hormuz traffic would increase volatility across the oil complex and could disrupt trade routes that carry roughly a fifth of global oil consumption.

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