Commodities July 27, 2026 12:39 PM

Baker Hughes Sees Slight Drop in Global Oil and Gas Spending

Regional gains offset by pullbacks in Europe and the Middle East as geopolitical tensions weigh on drilling activity

By Sofia Navarro
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Baker Hughes expects a modest overall decline in capital and operating outlays by oil and gas producers this year. Company executives said growth in Latin America, offshore Africa, and North America land will be balanced by reduced spending in Europe and the Middle East, where elevated geopolitical tensions have prompted a more cautious approach from operators.

Baker Hughes Sees Slight Drop in Global Oil and Gas Spending
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Key Points

  • Baker Hughes expects a modest overall decline in global oil and gas producer spending this year, with regional growth in Latin America, offshore Africa, and North America land offset by reductions in Europe and the Middle East.
  • The company reported that IET orders doubled year-over-year to a record $7.1 billion, and its shares rose more than 6% after beating quarterly profit estimates.
  • Baker Hughes forecasts third-quarter IET revenue between $3.17 billion and $3.47 billion, below analysts' expectation of $3.79 billion; the IET segment may face a 1%-2% revenue hit from Middle East disruptions.

Baker Hughes (NYSE:BKR) said on Monday that total spending by oil and gas producers worldwide is expected to fall modestly this year, with gains in some regions counterbalanced by cutbacks in others.

The company pointed to growth in Latin America, offshore Africa, and North America land as positive contributors to spending, while Europe and the Middle East are likely to see lower activity. Baker Hughes noted that the conflict in the Middle East has been a dominant influence on energy markets throughout the year, with recurring tensions between the U.S. and Iran prompting producers to be more cautious rather than accelerating drilling programs.

"Customers remain focused on maximizing production from existing assets while preserving flexibility to respond to evolving market conditions," CEO Lorenzo Simonelli said on a conference call with analysts after Baker Hughes released its earnings on Sunday.

Market reaction to the company's quarterly report was favorable. Shares of the oilfield services firm rose by more than 6% after Baker Hughes exceeded quarterly profit estimates. Order intake for the company's industrial and energy technology unit doubled year-over-year, reaching a record $7.1 billion.

Despite the strong order performance, Baker Hughes cautioned that the IET segment is expected to absorb a modest revenue impact from regional disruptions. The company said the IET business could see a 1%-2% revenue hit attributable to the conflict.

For the third quarter, Baker Hughes projected revenue for the IET segment in a range between $3.17 billion and $3.47 billion. That guidance falls short of analysts' consensus expectations of $3.79 billion, based on data compiled by LSEG.

"While the overall impact from Middle East disruptions should remain modest, we expect some increase in logistics and inflationary pressures at our regional facilities during the third quarter," CFO Ahmed Moghal said, noting that the effect of the Iran war is expected to be offset by strength in regions outside the Middle East.

The company emphasized that the net effect on its global operations should be limited, but flagged heightened logistical challenges and inflationary pressures at facilities in affected regions during the current quarter.


Looking ahead, Baker Hughes will monitor evolving market conditions and regional dynamics that are influencing producer capital allocation. Management highlighted a continuing emphasis among customers on extracting value from existing assets while maintaining the ability to adapt if market conditions change.

Risks

  • Ongoing conflict in the Middle East and recurring U.S.-Iran tensions could continue to suppress drilling and spending activity, particularly affecting European and Middle Eastern markets - impacting upstream services and regional supply chains.
  • Logistics disruptions and rising inflationary pressures at regional facilities could weigh on the industrial and energy technology segment's near-term revenue and margins.
  • Guidance for third-quarter IET revenue is below analyst expectations, introducing execution and market risk for investor sentiment in the industrial and energy technology sector.

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