Stock Markets April 28, 2026 04:22 PM

Seagate Raises Guidance as AI-Driven Storage Demand Lifts Outlook

Company cites robust enterprise spending on AI workloads; forecasts revenue and profit well above Street estimates

By Maya Rios STX
Seagate Raises Guidance as AI-Driven Storage Demand Lifts Outlook
STX

Seagate Technology issued guidance for its fiscal fourth quarter that exceeded Wall Street expectations, citing strong demand for storage systems as enterprises accelerate adoption of artificial intelligence. The company reported a solid third quarter and detailed revenue and earnings targets that outpaced analyst forecasts, while noting an intensely competitive supplier landscape.

Key Points

  • Seagate forecast fiscal fourth-quarter revenue of $3.45 billion, plus or minus $100 million, above LSEG estimates of $3.16 billion.
  • The company expects adjusted EPS of $5.00, plus or minus $0.20, versus analyst expectations of $3.97; third-quarter revenue was $3.11 billion with EPS of $3.27.
  • Stronger enterprise investment in storage tied to AI adoption and a sharp sequential rise in memory chip prices have supported rallying investor interest in the storage sector.

Seagate Technology on Tuesday set fourth-quarter targets for revenue and adjusted profit that surpassed market forecasts, attributing the upbeat outlook to heightened enterprise spending on storage as companies deploy artificial intelligence. The stock reacted positively, trading about 10% higher in extended trading following the updated guidance.

Executives said customers moving to integrate AI into business processes have also invested in storage capacity to support the large data sets required to train and run modern models. That demand backdrop underpins Seagate's confidence despite a crowded supplier field.


Guidance and recent results

For the fiscal fourth quarter, Seagate projected revenue of $3.45 billion, plus or minus $100 million. That range compares with consensus estimates of $3.16 billion compiled by LSEG. The company also forecast adjusted earnings per share of $5.00, plus or minus $0.20, versus analysts' expectations of $3.97.

Seagate reported third-quarter revenue of $3.11 billion, above consensus of $2.96 billion, and posted earnings per share of $3.27, up from $1.57 a year earlier.


Market reaction and broader drivers

Investors have rewarded Seagate this year amid an AI-led surge in demand for data-storage hardware. The company's shares have doubled so far this year after more than tripling in 2025, reflecting enthusiasm about storage market prospects and a related jump in memory chip prices. According to Counterpoint Research data from February, memory chip prices rose between 80% to 90% sequentially in the first quarter of this year.

Still, Seagate operates in a highly competitive market. Rivals such as Western Digital are accelerating capacity build-outs and production increases to capture cloud-provider contracts, intensifying the race for large-scale customers.


What this means for markets and sectors

  • Storage hardware and data-center supply chains are central to the demand story as enterprises scale AI deployments.
  • Memory chip price movements are a notable dynamic tied to sector margins and investor sentiment.
  • Competition among storage suppliers and cloud-provider procurement will shape contract wins and capacity allocation.

This guidance positions Seagate ahead of consensus for the quarter, reflecting management's assessment of sustained enterprise spending on the storage needed for AI workloads. At the same time, competitors' capacity expansions and the volatility in memory pricing remain elements that market participants are watching closely.

Risks

  • Intense competition from peers such as Western Digital, which are ramping production and building capacity to secure cloud-provider contracts - impacts storage suppliers and cloud procurement dynamics.
  • Future demand is linked to enterprises continuing to adopt AI and invest in associated storage capacity - affects storage hardware and data-center sectors.
  • Large swings in memory chip prices, such as the 80% to 90% sequential increase reported for the first quarter, introduce uncertainty for component costs and market sentiment - impacts semiconductors and storage margins.

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