Stock Markets May 7, 2026 04:53 PM

Barclays' Semiconductor Picks Center on AI Infrastructure and Data Center Demand

Bank highlights Nvidia, Broadcom, Credo Technology and MACOM as top sector exposures tied to AI compute and optical connectivity

By Ajmal Hussain NVDA AVGO CRDO MTSI

Barclays has published its shortlist of top names within semiconductors and semiconductor capital equipment, driven by demand for AI compute infrastructure and data center technology. The bank ranks Nvidia first, followed by Broadcom, Credo Technology and MACOM Technology Solutions, citing leadership positions, technological moats and exposure to secular growth areas tied to AI, networking and optical interconnects.

Barclays' Semiconductor Picks Center on AI Infrastructure and Data Center Demand
NVDA AVGO CRDO MTSI

Key Points

  • Barclays ranks Nvidia, Broadcom, Credo Technology and MACOM as its top semiconductor and semiconductor capital equipment picks, prioritizing firms tied to AI infrastructure and data center demand.
  • Nvidia is cited for its dominant AI market position and CUDA-based moat, with active supply-chain and ecosystem investments and partnerships including IREN Limited; Goldman Sachs has reiterated a Buy rating on the company.
  • Broadcom is noted for a diversified AI infrastructure customer base and product breadth across ASICs and networking, while Credo and MACOM are highlighted for optical and analog roles in data center and communications applications.

Barclays has identified four semiconductor and semiconductor capital equipment companies it views as best positioned to capture demand driven by artificial intelligence infrastructure and data center upgrades. The firm’s selections emphasize market leadership, proprietary technology and customer exposure to large-scale AI compute projects.

Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) tops Barclays’ list. The bank describes Nvidia as the world’s largest AI company and highlights the firm’s pervasive role across AI development. Barclays points to Nvidia’s dominant market share and a defensible moat anchored by CUDA, and says the company is concentrating on supply-chain efforts and investments across its ecosystem as it prepares for future technology transitions that it expects Nvidia to lead.

Barclays also notes strategic commercial activity involving Nvidia, including a partnership with IREN Limited to deploy AI infrastructure and collaborations with other chipmakers on a new protocol intended for AI training clusters. The bank’s view on Nvidia is accompanied in the market by continued analyst support - Goldman Sachs has reiterated a Buy rating on the company.

Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) is ranked second by Barclays. The bank underscores Broadcom’s diversified set of customers within AI infrastructure. Barclays reports that Broadcom expects Anthropic to account for 3 gigawatts, OpenAI to contribute more than 1 gigawatt, and Alphabet to represent the majority of the remainder, with Meta and two additional customers splitting a minority share. In total, Barclays references six customers and highlights Broadcom’s established portfolio spanning ASICs and networking as a key alternative for those seeking diversification away from the Nvidia ecosystem.

Recent product and platform activity at Broadcom cited by Barclays includes the release of VMware Cloud Foundation 9.1, positioned as an infrastructure platform for production AI workloads, and the launch of three Wi-Fi 8 chips targeted at residential broadband gateways.

Credo Technology (NASDAQ: CRDO) appears third on Barclays’ ranking. The bank points to Credo’s leading share in the AEC market and its positioning to capture electrical interconnect opportunities. Barclays also highlights the ramp of Credo’s ZF Optics product line as part of an expanding addressable market.

Credo Technology Group disclosed a definitive agreement to acquire DustPhotonics, a developer of silicon photonics technology. Following that announcement, several firms updated their views: Jefferies and Mizuho raised price targets, and Rothschild Redburn initiated coverage with a Buy rating, according to the information included in Barclays’ overview.

MACOM Technology Solutions (NASDAQ: MTSI) is listed fourth. Barclays emphasizes MACOM’s exposure to several secular growth areas, including AI data centers, satellite communications (SATCOM) and defense. The bank points to the need in data centers for faster optical connections and re-timed links, where MACOM’s analog components are described as helping to clean up signal integrity.

On the financial front, MACOM reported second-quarter results that exceeded expectations, with revenue of $289 million and adjusted earnings per share of $1.09, results Barclays references in its assessment of the company’s positioning.


Takeaway - Barclays’ roster of semiconductor picks is concentrated on companies with direct lines into AI compute and the supporting infrastructure stack: silicon to networking and optical interconnects. The bank’s emphasis is on market share, technology differentiation and customer exposure to large AI projects.

Risks

  • Customer concentration and execution risk in AI infrastructure contracts - Barclays notes that a handful of large customers (for example as listed for Broadcom) account for the bulk of anticipated gigawatt deployment, which could create revenue sensitivity tied to those relationships.
  • Technology and integration risk for companies pursuing new product lines or acquisitions - Credo’s planned acquisition of DustPhotonics and the ramp of new optical products represent execution points that will influence outcomes.
  • Market demand variability for data center and AI infrastructure spend - Barclays’ picks are explicitly tied to ongoing demand for AI compute and data center upgrades, and any slowdown in that spending would affect companies across the semiconductor and equipment stack.

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