Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
4,092 total articles
Brad Karp, who led Paul Weiss from a respected New York litigation shop to a global legal powerhouse, resigned as chairman after Justice Department disclosures revealed extensive communications with the late financier Jeffrey Epstein. His resignation follows a turbulent period that began with the 2024 presidential election and included a controvers…
Across five speeches on the economy since December, the president repeatedly claimed inflation was defeated and prices were coming down, but those assertions contrast with persistent price increases for many grocery items, modest declines in headline inflation, and voter sentiment showing unease about the cost of living. Republican strategists warn…
Morgan Stanley analysts warn that a slowdown in U.S. population growth - driven primarily by reduced immigration - could pull the country’s potential economic output down toward pre-pandemic rates. Census Bureau data show the slowest rise in population since 2021, and the bank’s economists say absent faster productivity gains the pace of potential …
India's recently concluded free-trade agreement with the European Union grants preferential treatment across the vast majority of EU tariff lines and nearly the entire bilateral trade value, according to ING Economics. Economists view the pact as a potential inflection point in India's external trade orientation as regional supply chains are being …
The White House issued an executive order on Feb. 6 establishing the "America First Arms Transfer Strategy," directing federal agencies to shift U.S. weapons sales toward partners that spend more on defense and hold strategic importance in their regions. The order aims to speed delivery of U.S.-made systems to prioritized allies and to use foreign …
SpaceX has told investors it will put a crewed lunar return ahead of an immediate Mars mission, aiming for an uncrewed landing on the moon in March 2027 and delaying its previously stated plan to reach Mars by the end of 2026. The announcement follows a major corporate deal that set valuations for the rocket and satellite firm and an affiliated art…
The developer of Notepad++ and multiple cybersecurity firms reported that a long-active, Chinese-linked cyberespionage group compromised the software's update delivery to install a custom backdoor and other malware on a subset of users. The intrusion began in June 2025, with access to the update server lasting until September 2, 2025, and some cred…
The United States and India released an interim trade framework that outlines tariff reductions, deeper economic cooperation and adjustments to energy trade as both governments seek to realign supply chains and deepen strategic economic ties. The joint statement reaffirms commitment to negotiate a broader bilateral trade agreement while leaving key…
The White House has issued an executive order eliminating a 25% Russia-related surcharge on Indian goods, effective Feb. 7, as part of a broader trade and security framework that ties tariff changes to India’s commitments to reduce ties with Russian energy and expand defense cooperation with the United States. The arrangement introduces a new recip…
President Donald Trump issued an executive order rescinding a 25% punitive duty on all imports from India, the White House said. The action follows a trade agreement that reduced U.S. tariffs on Indian goods and included provisions tied to New Delhi's purchases of Russian oil and the lowering of trade barriers.
Market liquidity in recent months appears driven more by activity in derivatives markets and speculative short-volatility strategies than by Federal Reserve balance sheet expansion, according to Tom Essaye of Sevens Report. While the Fed injected massive liquidity at the start of the COVID-19 crisis and expanded its balance sheet through 2022, the …
San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly said she is open to one or two more interest rate reductions to address growing strains in the labor market. While she backed the Fed's recent decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, Daly warned that weakening job market signals - including difficulty for recent graduates and real wa…
San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly said she is open to one or two interest rate cuts to address strains in the labor market, noting workers are facing shrinking real wages and fewer job opportunities. Daly supported the recent decision to hold the policy rate at 3.50%-3.75% but said there was a case for trimming policy further if inf…
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told senators that President Donald Trump was speaking in jest when he suggested he might sue his Federal Reserve chair nominee, Kevin Warsh, if interest rates are not cut. Bessent made the clarification during questioning at a Senate Banking Committee hearing and cited a prior CNBC interview in which he said t…
A Reuters survey of economists projects an acceleration in Mexico's January inflation, with headline inflation seen at 3.82% year-on-year and core inflation at 4.49%. Analysts attribute the rise to higher food costs after tax changes and other fiscal measures. The central bank paused its easing cycle and adjusted its inflation outlook and target ti…
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson expressed cautious optimism about the U.S. economic outlook for 2026, expecting growth to remain slightly above trend, the labor market to stabilize, and inflation to resume its descent toward the Fed’s 2% target. Speaking at a Brookings Institution event, Jefferson described the current policy stance as …
San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said in a LinkedIn post that firms are displaying cautious optimism driven by growth, consumer spending and productivity gains, while households appear more uncertain about the outlook. She highlighted survey evidence of weaker job expectations among workers, noted inflation remains above the Federal Open Marke…
The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 57.3 in early February from a revised 56.4 in January, marking a modest improvement. Short-term inflation expectations eased to 3.5% while five-year expectations inched up to 3.4%. Survey respondents continue to voice concerns about high prices and job security despite the modest uptick …
Brazil's Finance Ministry has flagged gaps in banking rules that allow suspects to shield assets in pooled and escrow accounts, urging the central bank to tighten regulation after recent police operations and internal reviews revealed continued vulnerabilities. Authorities say existing rule changes only reduce, but do not eliminate, the risk to ass…
The European Union will propose mandating secure, tamper-resistant semiconductors in drone systems as part of a broader strategy to scale civilian and defense drone capabilities, improve resilience and coordinate member-state responses. The plan, expected next week, includes measures to accelerate a drone alliance with Ukraine, boost production, an…
The European Central Bank is preparing to widen access and relax terms for its euro repurchase agreement facility, known as Eurep, enabling central banks beyond the euro area to obtain emergency euro funding on more favourable conditions. The move is presented as part of a broader European strategy to bolster the single currency's international rol…
A Barclays survey of 342 investors managing $7.8 trillion indicates a shift away from U.S.-based hedge funds for the first time since 2023. Respondents said they plan to cut exposure to U.S. hedge funds by about 5% while boosting allocations to managers in Asia and Europe. Interest in Asia-Pacific and European managers has risen sharply, fees peake…
UBS has raised its projection for Eurozone growth in 2026 to 1.3% from an earlier estimate, responding to a stronger GDP outturn in 2025. The bank points to unexpectedly resilient fourth-quarter momentum, driven in part by domestic demand, and expects fiscal stimulus for defence and infrastructure - notably in Germany - to provide a further boost t…
Canada’s January labour report showed a net drop in employment of 24,800 positions even as the unemployment rate fell to 6.5%. The fall in participation - concentrated in Ontario - and a large reduction in part-time work contrasted with gains in full-time jobs and pockets of sectoral strength, producing ambiguous signals for the Bank of Canada.
European Central Bank policymaker Gabriel Makhlouf identified two primary risks to the euro zone outlook: a slowing of economic growth and the possibility that inflation remains below the ECB’s 2% target in a more persistent way. He noted that long-term inflation expectations remain anchored at 2% but said wage growth trends will be watched closely…
