Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
4,092 total articles
S&P Global Ratings has cut its forecast for China’s 2026 property sales, now expecting a 10% to 14% decline versus its October projection of a 5% to 8% drop. The agency flagged entrenched oversupply, further price declines, weakening buyer confidence and continued developer construction that has left new completed housing unsold for the sixth succe…
Brazil's central bank chief Gabriel Galipolo said policy 'calibration' is crucial as policymakers prepare to begin easing in March. While the inflation outlook has improved, he warned the labour market and broader economy remain more resilient than expected under restrictive rates of 15%, and flagged concern about inflation expectations staying abo…
Mexico’s headline consumer price inflation rose to 3.79% year-on-year in January, in line with but slightly below market estimates, while core inflation accelerated to 4.52%. The readings support the Bank of Mexico’s unanimous decision to maintain its key rate at 7% and push back its forecast for when inflation will return to target to the second q…
Market forecasters in a recent poll expect Brazil's annual inflation rate to have risen modestly to 4.44% in January from 4.26% in December, keeping it below the 4.50% upper bound of the central bank's target range for a third consecutive month. The median view, compiled from 20 economists polled between February 4 and 9, also points to a 0.32% mon…
Francois Villeroy de Galhau, governor of the Bank of France since 2015 and a member of the European Central Bank's Governing Council, has told staff he will step down in June, more than a year before his term was due to expire. He plans to take up leadership of a Catholic foundation serving vulnerable youth and families. The early departure creates…
Argentina has issued a dollar-denominated Treasury bill totaling $1.228 billion that will be issued on February 13, 2026 and mature on February 19, 2027. The instrument is zero-coupon, will be placed directly with the national public sector, is non-transferable and will not be listed on local or international markets.
U.S. seaports handled 6.8% fewer container imports in January versus the prior year, according to Descartes Systems Group. The month saw 2,318,722 TEUs overall, a figure above the historical average that Descartes attributes to steadier demand rather than the frontloading that drove January 2025’s record. Imports from China fell 22.7% to 771,093 TE…
Spain’s far-right Vox party doubled its seat total in the Aragon regional election, rising to 14 seats from seven with 18% of the vote. The governing People’s Party, which called a snap election in December after budget talks collapsed hoping to strengthen its position, remains the largest party with 26 seats but is now further from a majority and …
Bank of America analysts say Kevin Warsh, President Trump's nominee for Federal Reserve Chair, would likely encounter substantial obstacles in shrinking the Fed's sizable bond portfolio unless that effort is paired with tighter financial conditions or changes to bank liquidity rules. While Warsh has consistently criticized the Fed's asset purchases…
Supporters of President Trump say they remain broadly satisfied with his first year in office but want him to shift emphasis toward domestic issues in year two. In conversations with 20 voters tracked monthly over the past year, priorities that repeatedly surfaced included immigration reform that creates legal pathways for long-standing residents, …
Bank of America analysts say proposed adjustments to the Eurosystem’s repurchase facility, intended to broaden access to euro liquidity, are unlikely to make the European Central Bank the main funding avenue for non-euro area residents buying euro assets. While the changes aim to make euros cheaper and more accessible and to shore up confidence in …
Brad Karp, who led Paul Weiss for more than a decade and transformed the firm into a global legal powerhouse, resigned as chairman this week after the U.S. Justice Department released emails revealing his communications with Jeffrey Epstein. The disclosures followed a turbulent period beginning with the 2024 election and included a negotiated deal …
Summary: European Central Bank policymaker Martin Kocher told reporters that the euro is increasingly seen as a safe-haven currency and that Europe must bolster its financial infrastructure to accommodate a potentially larger international role for the euro. The ECB recently moved to broaden access to euro liquidity facilities and plans to present …
This week’s markets are likely to be dominated by delayed U.S. jobs data for January and fresh inflation statistics, with corporate tech earnings and political events in Japan and the U.K. adding further complexity. Investors will parse the numbers for signs of a stabilizing labor market and muted inflation, while earnings commentary on AI and the …
Barclays strategists argue that the economic effects of artificial intelligence extend beyond technology stock valuations to influence productivity, monetary policy, employment and public debt dynamics. While markets appear to have priced in strong AI-related earnings growth, the bank cautions that evidence of broad-based productivity gains remains…
Denmark's economy appears resilient despite geopolitical jitters over Greenland and a sharp market correction for Novo Nordisk, according to a senior official at the Danish central bank. Governor Ulrik Nødgaard told attendees at the Warwick Economic Summit that the central bank's outlook remains broadly intact, with the 2% growth forecast from Sept…
U.S. stock futures opened modestly higher as traders brace for a heavy calendar of corporate earnings and delayed economic releases. Chipmaker Onsemi is scheduled to report after Monday’s close. In Asia, markets gained following a commanding parliamentary victory for Japan’s Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. Commodities were mixed, with gold and silve…
South Korea's Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) warned that an accidental distribution by exchange Bithumb of more than $40 billion in bitcoin to customers highlights structural vulnerabilities in cryptocurrency systems and reinforces the need for tougher regulatory measures as digital assets are integrated into the mainstream financial framework…
Japan’s landslide parliamentary victory for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s Liberal Democratic Party gives her a strong political foothold to pursue an expansionary economic agenda. Markets reacted with equity rallies but have held back decisive moves in bonds and the yen pending clarity on how new measures will be funded and whether policymakers w…
A private survey shows Japan saw a rise in corporate bankruptcies in January, driven in part by higher labour costs and worsening labour shortages among smaller businesses. Separate government data indicated real wages fell 0.1% in December from a year earlier, improving from a steeper drop in November. Policymakers face a dilemma: lift pay to sust…
Goldman Sachs has upgraded its projection for India’s real GDP growth in 2026 by 20 basis points to 6.9% year-on-year, attributing the revision to a substantial reduction in U.S. tariffs under an interim trade agreement. The pact lowers duties on a wide swath of Indian exports, includes commitments on Indian purchases of U.S. goods, and prompts Gol…
South Korea's National Assembly has established a 16-member special committee to accelerate passage of legislation tied to Seoul's $350 billion investment commitments in the United States. The move follows a late-January announcement by U.S. President Donald Trump threatening to raise tariffs on South Korean goods, which Seoul says prompted urgent …
Japan's $1.4 trillion foreign currency reserves have emerged as a potential funding source after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi vowed to pursue a two-year suspension of the 8% tax on food sales without issuing new debt. Officials and economists warn the reserves - intended for currency stability and largely invested in U.S. Treasuries - should not b…
Markets face a busy calendar after Japan’s snap election produced a sweeping victory for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s coalition, lifting equities and reshaping perceptions of fiscal policy in Tokyo. At the same time, investors are increasingly sorting winners and losers in the AI trade, while a backlog of major U.S. economic releases - postponed…
A survey of economists indicates that Chinese banks probably extended roughly 5 trillion yuan of net new yuan loans in January, a sharp increase from December's subdued reading and close to the strong pace recorded a year earlier. Analysts cite a steady bill discount rate and government policy efforts to boost consumption as supporting factors, whi…
