Foreign exchange markets and global currency movements.
Coverage of currency markets including major pairs, central bank actions, interest-rate differentials, and geopolitical influences. This section highlights trends in FX markets that impact global trade, inflation, and cross-asset correlations.
450 total articles
The British pound was trading with modest strength as the week began, with market attention focused on testimony to a parliamentary committee by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and external member Megan Greene, and a by-election in Gorton and Denton. Traders are watching for any signals that could alter the priced likelihood of a March rate …
The U.S. dollar eased on Monday as renewed uncertainty over U.S. trade tariffs coincided with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The Dollar Index fell 0.3% to 97.487 after a recent weekly advance, while the euro and sterling ticked higher against the dollar. Market participants are parsing legal questions around new U.S. tariffs, their poten…
Analysts at BCA Research contend the Chinese yuan is undervalued and competitively priced, giving Beijing room to allow appreciation without undermining its export-led model. The strategists say a firmer currency could support a pivot toward domestic consumption, reduce the capital account deficit, and help China pursue greater financial sovereignt…
The U.S. dollar firmed on Friday and was positioned to post its strongest weekly advance since October, bolstered by a combination of a more hawkish Federal Reserve outlook, solid U.S. labour-market signals and renewed safe-haven demand amid tensions between the United States and Iran. The Dollar Index held near a one-month high, while major curren…
Asian foreign exchange markets were subdued as traders awaited the U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. The U.S. dollar held modest gains after reaching a one-month high and hawkish Fed minutes, while a softer-than-expected Japanese inflation report raised questions over the timing of …
The U.S. dollar retreated slightly Thursday but preserved the bulk of gains recorded after the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes signalled that rate cuts may be farther off than previously anticipated. The Dollar Index was down modestly early in the session after a strong overnight rise. Market attention remains on forthcoming economic releases, an…
Asian currencies broadly lost ground as a firmer U.S. dollar and hawkish signals from Federal Reserve officials put pressure on regional units. The South Korean won and Indian rupee were among the weakest, while the Australian dollar bucked the regional trend after jobs data pointed to a still-tight labor market. Thin trading ahead of and during Lu…
UBS has revised its USD/ZAR outlook, forecasting continued appreciation of the South African rand through 2026. The bank points to higher precious metal prices, anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts, resilient global growth and investor demand for non-U.S. assets as key supports. UBS has set a Q1 2026 target of 16.0 and consistent 15.8 targets for …
The U.S. dollar ticked slightly higher Wednesday as traders waited for the minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting. The modest advance followed a run of constructive U.S. economic releases and was accompanied by heightened geopolitical and diplomatic news. Sterling gained marginally even after U.K. consumer inflation slowed to 3.0%…
Most Asian currencies traded in narrow ranges on subdued volume during Lunar New Year holidays, with the New Zealand dollar slipping after the RBNZ left its official cash rate unchanged at 2.25% and signalled an accommodative path as inflation eases. The US dollar inched higher, Japanese export data surprised to the upside, and market attention tur…
Bank of America projects the EUR/SEK exchange rate will finish 2026 at 10.50, reflecting continued appreciation of the Swedish krona since late 2025. The bank says risks are skewed to the downside, meaning the krona could strengthen beyond its base forecast, while noting specific technical resistance and support bands and scenarios that could rever…
Bank of America projects the EUR/NOK currency pair will keep trending lower over the coming 12 months, even if brief recoveries occur. The bank points to recent, rapid strength in the krone versus its March 2026 forecast and identifies near-term technical levels to watch, while warning of several macro risks that could alter the outlook.
Bank of America analysts said the Pakistani rupee is unlikely to move significantly in either direction in the near term. They cite a balanced current account and a real effective exchange rate that is stable and close to historical averages, signalling no clear overvaluation. Authorities' apparent pro-growth policy bias is expected to keep the nom…
UBS says the Swedish krona has strengthened roughly 4% on a trade-weighted basis since November 2025, pushing EUR/SEK toward multi-year lows. The bank expects a near-term rebound in EUR/SEK toward 10.80 before the euro resumes weakening against the krona, and it forecasts EUR/SEK at 10.50 by end-2026, while flagging limited scope for further immedi…
The U.S. dollar nudged higher Tuesday as U.S. markets reopened after a holiday, with investors positioning ahead of a string of domestic economic releases including Federal Reserve minutes and the PCE price index. Sterling fell after U.K. labor-market data showed rising unemployment and slowing pay growth. Other currencies saw muted moves as Asian …
Most Asian currencies eased Tuesday as trading volumes were light across the region for Lunar New Year holidays and the dollar gained modestly ahead of a succession of U.S. economic releases, including Federal Reserve minutes and the key December PCE inflation reading later in the week. Major pairs showed mixed moves with the yen and some offshore …
Goldman Sachs continues to project Sterling underperformance for the year even as recent UK growth and activity indicators have shown resilience. The bank says broader drivers including global risk sentiment, regional macro themes and currency valuations inform its view, but recent GBP moves have been driven mainly by domestic developments. Goldman…
Goldman Sachs has raised its euro outlook, forecasting additional gains for the currency over coming months even as EUR/USD trades close to the bank's three-month target of 1.18. The firm points to a continued relationship between EUR/USD and the broader Dollar index, expects the euro to benefit from a weakening dollar rather than lead moves as it …
The U.S. dollar eked out only minor gains Monday in light, holiday-affected trading after U.S. inflation came in softer than expected, reinforcing expectations for interest-rate cuts later in the year. Liquidity remained thin with several major markets closed. The Japanese yen slipped after fourth-quarter GDP data showed much weaker growth than for…
Most Asian currencies traded in narrow bands amid low holiday volumes as the dollar remained relatively unchanged following mixed U.S. consumer inflation data. The Japanese yen weakened after fourth-quarter GDP unexpectedly disappointed, led by weak business investment and soft exports and consumption. Market attention now shifts to a busy U.S. dat…
The U.S. dollar is trading marginally higher intraday but is poised for a weekly loss, while Bank of America Securities reports investor underweight positioning in the dollar at levels not seen in its sample going back to January 2012. The bank's Feb. 13 note says the nomination of Kevin Warsh reduced worries over Fed independence but did not trans…
Bank of America's recent FX and rates sentiment survey shows investor positioning in the U.S. dollar has fallen to the lowest levels recorded in the bank's sample. The survey of 42 fund managers overseeing $702 billion conducted 6-11 February finds growing bearish exposure to the dollar, rising short-USD crowded trades, and expectations that the do…
The U.S. dollar inched up on Friday but was largely constrained as markets awaited the January consumer price index, a key input for the Federal Reserve's rate outlook. The Dollar Index was slightly higher intraday yet poised for a roughly 0.6% weekly drop. Traders are watching for any upside surprises in inflation after a pattern of stronger-than-…
Most Asian currencies eased on Friday while the U.S. dollar found some footing ahead of U.S. consumer inflation data for January. Despite the one-day softness, regional currencies were positioned to end the week with gains, led by the Japanese yen after renewed speculation about official intervention. Other notable moves included a rally in the Aus…
The U.S. dollar slipped modestly on Thursday and was poised for a weekly decline despite a stronger-than-expected January payrolls report. The Dollar Index fell 0.1% to 96.700 at 04:30 ET (09:30 GMT), putting it on track for about a 1% loss on the week. Investors pared back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts after the jobs data, but the cur…
