Stock Markets July 28, 2026 05:51 AM

Wolfe: Earnings Season Largely Positive Despite Tech Stock Headwinds

Financials, industrials and healthcare drive strong results even as investor worries weigh on mega-cap technology shares

By Sofia Navarro
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Wolfe Research reports broadly solid earnings from S&P 500 constituents this quarter, with financial, industrial and healthcare companies delivering notable results. Mega-cap technology names have seen weak share-price reactions, a trend Wolfe links to investor concerns about AI-related capital spending and not to underlying fundamentals. Upcoming reports from major tech firms could face muted market responses until capital-expenditure worries abate.

Wolfe: Earnings Season Largely Positive Despite Tech Stock Headwinds
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Key Points

  • Earnings have been strong among financial, industrial and healthcare companies, contributing to a generally solid season for S&P 500 firms.
  • Mega-cap technology stocks have shown weak price performance this quarter; only Micron outperformed the S&P 500 in the day after earnings among the five large tech firms that reported.
  • Market focus has shifted toward rising oil prices and potential effects on Federal Reserve rate expectations, which has reduced investor attention on some corporate earnings.

Wolfe Research said Tuesday that overall corporate earnings this season have been strong across several key sectors, with financial, industrial and healthcare companies registering robust results. The firm cautioned, however, that recent market attention has been diverted by other developments, limiting investor focus on some technology reports.

Wolfe highlighted last week’s quarterly results from Alphabet and Intel as examples of solid earnings that nonetheless attracted limited market reaction. The firm pointed to shifting investor attention toward rising oil prices and the implications those moves may have for Federal Reserve rate hike expectations as one reason market response was muted.

Attention this week centers on major technology names. Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) are slated to release second-quarter 2026 results on Wednesday, while Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) are due to report on Thursday.

Wolfe noted that mega-cap technology stocks have generally underperformed in price action this quarter. Of the five large tech companies that reported in the period to date, only one - Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), which reported on June 24 - outperformed the S&P 500 in the trading session following its results. The firm framed this pattern as one of weak share-price performance rather than weak earnings performance.

According to Wolfe, investor concerns are focused on the potential scale of artificial intelligence-related capital expenditures rather than on the companies’ reported fundamentals. The research house said that these companies still present strong growth prospects at valuations it regards as reasonable, but that scepticism about future capex levels must ease before quarterly reports translate into more positive stock moves.

Despite the uneven market responses among technology firms, Wolfe expects the earnings season overall to show solid results from S&P 500 companies. The firm’s outlook suggests a distinction between corporate earnings performance across sectors and near-term market reactions driven by investor sentiment about spending plans and macro developments such as commodity-price movements and interest-rate expectations.

Investors and market participants will be watching the upcoming technology earnings releases closely to see whether investor concerns about capital intensity diminish and whether that leads to more favorable stock reactions to quarterly results.

Risks

  • Investor concern over artificial intelligence-related capital expenditures may continue to suppress technology stock reactions to otherwise solid earnings - impact: technology sector.
  • Rising oil prices and their influence on interest-rate expectations could distract investors from corporate fundamentals and affect market sentiment - impact: energy and interest-rate sensitive sectors.
  • If investor worries about capex do not abate, strong reported fundamentals may not translate into positive share-price performance for large tech firms - impact: technology sector.

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