Stock Markets August 3, 2026 09:03 PM

U.S. futures tick up as Iran statements and a slate of Q2 reports take center stage

Markets gain modestly after oil sells off and tech names recover; SpaceX and several blue-chips due to report this week

By Avery Klein
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U.S. stock index futures inched higher Monday evening as President Donald Trump maintained that talks with Iran were ongoing despite denials from Tehran. The move followed a positive cash session driven partly by a sharp fall in oil prices and rebounds in technology and AI shares. Attention now shifts to a heavy calendar of second-quarter earnings, highlighted by SpaceX's first quarterly report as a public company, and key July payrolls data later in the week.

U.S. futures tick up as Iran statements and a slate of Q2 reports take center stage
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Key Points

  • U.S. futures rose modestly Monday evening as traders reacted to mixed messages on talks with Iran and a positive cash-market session.
  • A sharp drop in oil prices after Washington said it cancelled a planned attack on Iran aided sentiment, while technology and AI stocks rebounded from prior losses.
  • A busy week of second-quarter earnings begins with SpaceX reporting its first quarterly results as a listed company; AMD, Caterpillar and Merck also report on Tuesday. Markets will also watch July nonfarm payrolls later in the week.

U.S. equity futures showed modest gains Monday evening after a late-afternoon rally on Wall Street, as investors weighed conflicting statements on diplomacy with Iran and prepared for a busy week of second-quarter corporate results.

Futures snapshot - At 20:14 ET (00:14 GMT) S&P 500 futures were up 0.07% at 7,634.25 points. Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.14% to 28,931.75 points, and Dow Jones futures gained 0.18% to 53,432.0 points.

Futures followed a positive session in the cash market, where a sharp decline in oil prices helped sentiment after Washington said it had canceled a major attack on Iran. Technology and artificial intelligence-related stocks recovered from significant losses recorded in the prior month, supporting the broader advance.

Among individual movers, Palantir Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:PLTR) outperformed in aftermarket trading, jumping nearly 14% after posting strong results for its June quarter.


Geopolitical headlines and market response - The market moved on a series of mixed signals about any diplomatic breakthrough with Iran. President Donald Trump asserted that talks with Iran were ongoing, a statement that helped lift risk sentiment. However, Tehran largely denied that direct discussions with Washington were taking place, according to state media. Iran did confirm it was speaking with Oman about the status of the Strait of Hormuz, yet traffic through the waterway remained light amid elevated U.S.-Iran military tensions.

Trump also threatened Iran to accept a deal, according to comments reported later on Monday. Separately, markets took some comfort from a weekend remark by Trump that he had called off a major planned attack on Iran, a development that coincided with the sharp drop in oil prices and provided relief to investors.

The S&P 500, the NASDAQ Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average each posted gains on Monday, advancing between 1% and 2.3%.


Earnings and data to watch - Attention now turns to a number of significant corporate reports and key economic data. SpaceX (NASDAQ:SPCX) is scheduled to release its first quarterly earnings report as a public company on Tuesday. Other major companies slated to report on Tuesday include chipmaker AMD (NASDAQ:AMD), industrial heavyweight Caterpillar Inc (NYSE:CAT) and drugmaker Merck & Company Inc (NYSE:MRK).

Later in the week, markets will focus on the July nonfarm payrolls report, which is expected to offer further cues on economic momentum and the likely path for interest rates.


Market context - The combination of geopolitical ambiguity, a rapid move lower in oil prices and a rebound in tech and AI stocks drove the recent market action. With a packed earnings schedule and the labor-market snapshot ahead, investors are positioning for potential volatility tied to corporate results and macroeconomic data.

Risks

  • Conflicting public statements about talks with Iran create geopolitical uncertainty that could weigh on energy and broader market sentiment.
  • Continued low traffic through the Strait of Hormuz amid heightened military tensions could keep oil-market volatility elevated, impacting energy and industrial sectors.
  • Upcoming economic data, particularly July nonfarm payrolls, could shift expectations for interest rates and influence rate-sensitive sectors if results diverge from current expectations.

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