Options contracts tied to YETI Holdings Inc. indicate the market is pricing in a 9.3% potential move for the stock when the company reports earnings on Aug. 13 before the opening bell, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
That implied move is a measure derived from current options prices and is commonly used by traders and analysts to gauge the magnitude of expected price swings around corporate events. The options market has a strong recent record in forecasting the size of YETI’s post-earnings moves: in seven of the last eight quarterly reports, the actual change in YETI’s stock price did not exceed the options-implied movement.
There is one notable outlier. On Aug. 7, 2025, YETI shares dropped 12.3% following its earnings release, while the options-implied move at the time was 11.1% - the only occasion in the recent eight-quarter sample where the actual price change surpassed the options-based forecast.
The most recent earnings period demonstrates the range between implied and realized moves. For the May 14 announcement, options data suggested an 8.4% move, yet the stock ultimately declined 4.2%. Earlier in the year, on Feb. 19, options signaled a 7.9% potential swing while the actual price change registered as a 0.8% decline.
These comparisons reflect how options pricing has tracked YETI’s earnings-related volatility across multiple reporting cycles. The implied 9.3% move for the upcoming Aug. 13 release represents the market’s current expectation of the magnitude of movement, based on the pricing of puts and calls ahead of the report.
Investors looking at YETI around the earnings date will be observing whether the actual price reaction aligns with this implied figure or again diverges, as occurred in the August 2025 example. The historical record provided by the options data gives a recent performance backdrop for interpreting the options-implied estimate ahead of the next release.
Summary
- Options prices compiled by Bloomberg imply a 9.3% potential move in YETI stock for the Aug. 13 pre-market earnings report.
- In seven of the past eight quarters, the options-implied movement matched or exceeded the actual post-earnings price change for YETI.
- The single exception occurred on Aug. 7, 2025, when YETI fell 12.3% versus an options-implied 11.1% move.
Context from recent quarters
- May 14 earnings - implied move: 8.4%; actual stock change: -4.2%.
- Feb. 19 earnings - implied move: 7.9%; actual stock change: -0.8%.