Stock Markets August 26, 2026 07:24 AM

Kohl’s Falls Short on Quarterly Sales as Consumers Trim Discretionary Spending

Tariff refunds lift profit outlook even as revenue slips and shoppers grow more selective

By Hana Yamamoto
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KSS TJX

Kohl’s reported second-quarter revenue that fell short of Wall Street expectations, reflecting cautious consumer demand for nonessential items. The retailer raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings outlook after receiving $150 million in tariff refunds and said it will resume a roughly $100 million share buyback program this year, while its shares slid about 5% in pre-market trading.

Kohl’s Falls Short on Quarterly Sales as Consumers Trim Discretionary Spending
KSS TJX
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Key Points

  • Kohl’s second-quarter revenue fell 0.9% to $3.32 billion, missing analyst expectations of a roughly 0.1% decline to $3.35 billion (LSEG data).
  • The company raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings guidance to $1.80–$2.40 per share from $1.00–$1.60 after receiving $150 million in tariff refunds and will resume about $100 million in share repurchases.
  • Softening demand for discretionary categories such as apparel and home goods, driven by deteriorating consumer sentiment and a July decline in retail sales, is weighing on both department stores and off-price retailers.

Kohl’s missed analysts’ estimates for second-quarter sales as consumers pulled back on discretionary purchases, outweighing progress from the company’s turnaround efforts. The stock reacted sharply, dropping about 5% before the open.

Management raised its full-year profit guidance after the company benefited from $150 million in tariff refunds during the quarter. Kohl’s also announced plans to resume roughly $100 million of share repurchases this year.

Quarterly revenue declined 0.9% to $3.32 billion compared with the year-ago period. That result came in below analyst expectations, which suggested a milder fall of about 0.1% to $3.35 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG.

The company updated its outlook for fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings to a range of $1.80 to $2.40 per share, up from a prior forecast of $1.00 to $1.60 per share.

Broader measures of consumer behavior during the period point to growing caution. U.S. consumer sentiment deteriorated in August, and retail sales fell in July for the first time in nine months. Together, those trends underscored a pattern of more selective buying among middle- and lower-income households, while higher-income shoppers remained largely resilient.

That selectivity has translated into softer demand for so-called nice-to-have categories, including apparel and home goods. The resulting pressure on discretionary spending has been felt across retail formats, from higher-end department stores such as Kohl’s to off-price chains like TJX.


Market reaction and context

Kohl’s stock traded lower in pre-market activity following the sales miss, even as management pointed to the tariff refunds and resumed buybacks as positives for earnings per share. The revenue shortfall, however, highlighted continuing headwinds facing retailers dependent on discretionary spending.


What management emphasized

  • Kohl’s attributed part of the improved profit outlook to $150 million in tariff refunds recognized in the quarter.
  • The retailer confirmed plans to restart approximately $100 million in share repurchases this year.
  • Management adjusted fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings guidance upward to $1.80-$2.40 per share from a previous $1.00-$1.60 range.

As retailers monitor consumer patterns, the mix of cautious spending among lower- and middle-income households and continued resilience among wealthier shoppers will remain a key factor for sales and margin outcomes in the months ahead.

Risks

  • Ongoing consumer caution on discretionary purchases amid deteriorating sentiment could continue to pressure revenues for department stores and off-price retailers.
  • A reversal or slowdown in retail spending, as indicated by the July drop in retail sales, presents uncertainty for sales and margin recovery in the retail and consumer discretionary sectors.
  • Concentration of selective spending among middle- and lower-income households may limit the pace of sales improvement outside higher-income customer cohorts.

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