Stock Markets July 7, 2026 03:35 PM

Fitch Rates Amazon’s New Debt 'AA-' as Company Eyes Large Capex Push

Agency affirms 'AA' issuer rating with stable outlook while noting strong scale, cloud margins and rising leverage from planned investments

By Caleb Monroe
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Fitch Ratings has assigned an 'AA-' rating to Amazon.com Inc.'s proposed U.S. dollar-denominated unsecured notes and affirmed the company's Long-Term Issuer Default Rating at 'AA' with a Stable Outlook. The agency cited Amazon's dominant positions in e-commerce and cloud services, deep customer relationships and substantial scale, while flagging uncertainty around strategic direction and regulatory scrutiny. Amazon plans a marked increase in capital expenditures in 2026 to support AWS and AI investments, which Fitch says could pressure free cash flow but will leave EBITDAR leverage comfortably below its 2.5x threshold.

Fitch Rates Amazon’s New Debt 'AA-' as Company Eyes Large Capex Push
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Key Points

  • Fitch assigned an 'AA-' rating to Amazon's proposed USD unsecured notes and affirmed the company's Long-Term IDR at 'AA' with a Stable Outlook - impacts credit markets and corporate bond investors.
  • Amazon reported $162 billion in EBITDA in 2025 and has seen strong revenue and AWS growth, supporting financial flexibility - relevant to investors focused on cloud and e-commerce profitability.
  • Planned capex rises to $200 billion in 2026 to back AWS AI expansion and strategic investments, which may pressure free cash flow - significant for technology and AI investment sectors.

Fitch Ratings on Friday assigned an 'AA-' credit rating to Amazon.com, Inc.'s proposed U.S. dollar-denominated unsecured notes issuance. Proceeds from the planned debt sale are earmarked for general corporate purposes, including increased capital expenditures and targeted strategic investments. In the same action, Fitch affirmed Amazon's Long-Term Issuer Default Rating at 'AA' and maintained a Stable Rating Outlook.

The agency justified the decision by pointing to Amazon's leading roles in global e-commerce and cloud computing, close customer ties across its platforms and the company's substantial scale. Fitch highlighted Amazon's EBITDA of $162 billion in 2025 as evidence of robust profitability and scale that supports financial flexibility and an ability to continue investing while keeping EBITDAR leverage comfortably below 2.5x.

Fitch also identified areas of risk. The rating agency noted uncertainty about Amazon's long-term strategic path and referenced ongoing regulatory activity related to the company's market share and business practices as potential constraints on strategy and operations.


Growth, margins and forecasts

Amazon's top-line performance has been strong by the measures Fitch cited. The company's annual revenue recorded a compound annual growth rate of 13% over the past five years, while its high-margin Amazon Web Services business posted a 23% CAGR. EBITDA expanded from $48 billion in 2020 to $162 billion in 2025.

Looking ahead, Fitch expects revenue growth of about 13% in 2026 and roughly 10% in subsequent years. The agency forecasts EBITDA growth in the mid-to-high-teens as Amazon continues to grow AWS and build AI capabilities. Fitch reported an EBITDAR leverage ratio of 0.9x in 2025 and projects it will remain well under 2x.


Capex plans and cashflow implications

Amazon intends to sharply increase capital expenditures to $200 billion in 2026 from $132 billion in 2025. Fitch indicated much of the increase is aimed at supporting rapid AI growth within AWS. The company disclosed a strategic partnership with OpenAI announced in February that includes an investment commitment of up to $50 billion. In April, Amazon disclosed a $5 billion investment in Anthropic, with the potential for up to an additional $20 billion in the future, on top of $8 billion previously invested.

Fitch cautioned that the significant rise in capex could produce negative free cash flow of around $40 billion annually in both 2026 and 2027.


Balance sheet and liquidity

As of March 31, 2026, Amazon reported $101.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents and $41.3 billion in marketable securities. The company had approximately $121.8 billion of unsecured notes outstanding at that date, up from $68 billion as of Dec. 31, 2025. Additionally, on June 8, 2026, Amazon entered into a three-year, $17.5 billion senior unsecured Delayed Draw Term Loan facility.

Risks

  • Uncertainty around Amazon's long-term strategic path could affect future capital allocation and investment returns - relevant to corporate strategy and investment communities.
  • Ongoing regulatory activity concerning Amazon's market share and business practices presents a potential constraint on operations and expansion - relevant to e-commerce, cloud and antitrust monitoring.
  • A substantial increase in capital expenditures could drive negative free cash flow of roughly $40 billion annually in 2026 and 2027, affecting liquidity metrics and investor cash-return expectations - relevant to fixed income and equity markets.

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