Stock Markets July 24, 2026 08:54 AM

Analysts Cut Ratings on Infosys After Earnings Miss, Guidance Trim and CEO Shift

JPMorgan and HSBC lower recommendations as the IT services firm reports slower revenue momentum and trims FY2027 growth outlook

By Hana Yamamoto
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JPMorgan and HSBC downgraded Infosys following a first-quarter earnings shortfall, a second consecutive reduction to fiscal 2027 revenue guidance and an announced CEO succession plan. Both firms point to weaker demand, contract-specific headwinds and AI-related pricing pressure as drivers of a softened near-term growth outlook even as large-deal activity and margin guidance showed resilience.

Analysts Cut Ratings on Infosys After Earnings Miss, Guidance Trim and CEO Shift
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Key Points

  • JPMorgan downgraded Infosys to Neutral from Overweight and cut its price target to 7,050 from 7,200; HSBC downgraded to Hold from Buy and reduced its target to 7,110 from 7,340.
  • Infosys trimmed FY2027 constant-currency revenue growth guidance to 1.5%-3.0% (from 1.5%-3.5%) and set organic growth at -0.2% to 1.3%, while maintaining FY2027 EBIT margin guidance of 20%-22%.
  • Analysts cited weaker demand, AI-driven pricing deflation, contract-specific headwinds in the Energy, Utilities, Resources and Services segment, and reduced work from a manufacturing client as key near-term growth pressures; the company reported $3.6 billion in large-deal total contract value for the quarter.

Overview

Two major brokerages, JPMorgan and HSBC, revised down their assessments of Infosys after the company reported first-quarter results that fell short of analyst expectations, trimmed its fiscal 2027 revenue outlook for a second straight quarter and disclosed a planned change at the chief executive post. The moves underscore investor and analyst caution about slowing top-line momentum at the IT services provider.


Brokerage actions and price targets

JPMorgan lowered its rating on Infosys to Neutral from Overweight and reduced its price target to 7,050 from 7,200. HSBC shifted its recommendation to Hold from Buy and cut its target to 7,110 from 7,340. Both firms signaled that despite relatively modest valuations, the firm's short-term growth outlook has deteriorated.

Drivers cited by analysts

JPMorgan and HSBC attributed their downgrades to several factors disclosed by the company. These include weaker demand broadly, pricing deflation tied to AI-related competitive dynamics, and contract-specific challenges. The latter comprised a contract termination in the Energy, Utilities, Resources and Services segment and a reduction in work from a manufacturing client. Analysts also pointed to slower revenue conversion from recently announced large deals, which has constrained near-term revenue generation despite continued deal flow.

Guidance and financial details

Infosys reduced its FY2027 constant-currency revenue growth guidance to a range of 1.5% to 3.0%, down from a prior 1.5% to 3.5%. The company's organic growth outlook was revised to -0.2% to 1.3%. JPMorgan characterized the guidance cut as more pronounced than it had anticipated and said it now expects Infosys to underperform key peers on growth during the year. HSBC warned that the revised guidance could still be insufficiently conservative, citing management comments that suggested weakness may extend into the second quarter.

While both brokerages noted that first-quarter revenue expansion missed expectations, they also observed that operating margins held up and that the company reaffirmed its FY2027 EBIT margin target of 20% to 22%. The firm disclosed $3.6 billion in large-deal total contract value during the quarter, reflecting ongoing demand even as revenue realization lagged.

Leadership succession

Separately, Infosys named Ashiss Kumar Dash, who currently leads its Energy, Utilities, Resources and Services business, to succeed Salil Parekh as chief executive effective April 2027. Both JPMorgan and HSBC viewed the selection of an internal candidate as likely to ease the transition. JPMorgan nevertheless cautioned that wider management turnover could continue in the near term.


Implications

The combination of an earnings miss, a reduced growth outlook and a leadership change prompted the two downgrades, reflecting heightened scrutiny on demand, contract stability and AI-related pricing dynamics within the IT services sector. At the same time, resilient margins and significant large-deal signings suggest pockets of continued strength even as revenue recognition lags.

Risks

  • Slower revenue conversion from large deal wins could delay expected top-line growth, affecting revenue recognition in the near term - relevant to IT services and enterprise software spending.
  • Contract-term disruptions, including a termination in the Energy, Utilities, Resources and Services segment and reduced manufacturing client work, pose execution and revenue risks for sector exposures tied to those end markets.
  • AI-related pricing deflation may erode service pricing and margins over time if competitive pressures intensify, impacting profitability dynamics across the IT services sector.

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