Press Releases September 30, 2026 04:00 AM

Nearly US$100 trillion of investment will depend on decisions made under uncertainty, says new Willis report

Willis Towers Watson highlights decision-making challenges amid competing investments totaling nearly $100 trillion

By Derek Hwang
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Willis Towers Watson released a report emphasizing the complexity of strategic decision-making today, driven by overlapping investments in AI, electrification, and security competing for limited resources. The report offers a framework to improve leader's ability to recognize changing assumptions and act proactively to preserve value among nearly $100 trillion in prospective investments from 2026 to 2030.

Nearly US$100 trillion of investment will depend on decisions made under uncertainty, says new Willis report
WTW
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Key Points

  • Strategic decisions are increasingly difficult due to competing demands on shared infrastructure, skills, capital, and resources across sectors like technology, energy, and security.
  • The report introduces a practical framework to identify shifting assumptions and act before strategic options narrow, helping organizations maintain competitive advantage.
  • Nearly $100 trillion in investment is expected by 2030 across major economies, spotlighting significant economic impact in sectors such as AI, electrification, and workforce transformation.

LONDON, Sept. 30, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Strategic decisions are becoming harder to execute because the conditions required to deliver them are changing at the same time, according to the latest research by Willis, a WTW business (NASDAQ: WTW). Marking the 20th anniversary of the Willis Research Network (WRN), the report, “The decision advantage”, argues that competitive edge increasingly depends not on predicting the future, but on recognizing changing assumptions early enough to act before options narrow and value is lost. Intangible investment exceeded US$10 trillion in 2025 and investment across major economies could approach US$100 trillion between 2026 and 2030 if current patterns continue.

Drawing on two decades of WRN research, scenario work and practical risk experience, the report argues that organizations are not struggling to make decisions because of a lack of data, forecasts or insight. The challenge is recognizing when changing conditions should alter a strategic decision. AI deployment, electrification, workforce transformation and security-driven growth increasingly compete for the same infrastructure, skills, capital, resources and institutional capacity. Strategic opportunities can remain attractive while becoming harder to realize because the conditions required to deliver them are secured elsewhere first.

The report introduces a pathway to improve decision-making by helping leaders identify changing assumptions, assess what value is at stake, establish thresholds and triggers and generate evidence that actions improve outcomes. It also highlights the importance of assessing not only value that could be lost through disruption, but value that may never be realized because opportunities narrow, capacity becomes constrained or critical resources become unavailable.

Case studies are included in the report, focusing on four strategic decisions many organizations are facing today: AI-enabled growth, electrified growth, security-driven growth and adaptive capacity under pressure. Increasingly, these ambitions compete with each other for the same infrastructure, skills, capital, resources and institutional capacity, and changing conditions can influence whether strategic objectives are realized, delayed or abandoned.

Helene Galy, Managing Director, Willis Research Network said: "The Willis Research Network was established twenty years ago to contribute to the improvement of institutional decision-making, by connecting world-class research to real-world business challenges. This report captures that spirit by bringing together two decades of insight and translating it into a practical framework in a world where risks, opportunities and dependencies are increasingly interconnected.

The next 20 years will not be defined by a single technology, risk or disruption but by the interaction of multiple systems competing for the same infrastructure, resources, skills and capital. As organizations invest trillions of dollars in growth, transformation and resilience, competitive advantage will increasingly come from recognizing changing assumptions before they become constraints.

The organizations that succeed will not necessarily be those that predict the future most accurately. They will be those that create decision advantage by identifying what is changing, understanding what is at stake and acting before opportunities narrow or critical conditions become unavailable."

About the report

“The decision advantage” builds on insight from 20 years of WRN research and introduces a practical approach for helping leadership teams make better decisions under uncertainty. The report presents a signal-to-action pathway, examines six interconnected systems shaping strategic outcomes, and applies the framework through four case studies that test how major strategic decisions perform under different future conditions. The full report can be downloaded here.

About WTW

At WTW (NASDAQ: WTW), we provide data-driven, insight-led solutions in the areas of people, risk, and capital. Leveraging the global view and local expertise of our colleagues serving 140 countries and markets, we help organizations sharpen their strategy, enhance organizational resilience, motivate their workforce, and maximize performance. Working shoulder to shoulder with our clients, we uncover opportunities for sustainable success—and provide perspective that moves you.

Media Contacts

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Risks

  • Failure to recognize changing conditions timely may lead to lost value and missed opportunities, affecting sectors dependent on rapid innovation and infrastructure capacity.
  • Competition for scarce resources such as capital, skilled labor, and infrastructure can constrain strategic initiatives across industries including technology and energy.
  • Interconnected risks and dependencies mean disruptions in one sector could cascade, challenging organizational resilience and investment outcomes.

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