Economy June 23, 2026 07:36 AM

UK tax underpayments total £59.2 billion in 2024/25, government data shows

Shortfall equals 6.4% of owed tax with small businesses accounting for the bulk; welfare fraud and error decline but overpayments persist

By Priya Menon
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Government figures show Britons paid £59.2 billion less tax than due in the 2024/25 financial year, equal to 6.4% of total liabilities. Small businesses contributed most to the gap. The government has set a target to cut the shortfall by £10 billion by 2029/30 even as progress on underpayment rates has been limited over two decades. Separate official data also show a fall in welfare fraud and error but continued overpayments in universal credit.

UK tax underpayments total £59.2 billion in 2024/25, government data shows
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Key Points

  • Tax underpayments reached £59.2 billion in 2024/25, equal to 6.4% of total tax liabilities; small businesses were responsible for most of the shortfall.
  • The government aims to reduce the shortfall by £10 billion by 2029/30, but the underpayment rate has fallen only one percentage point over 20 years.
  • Welfare fraud and error fell to 3.2% in 2025/26; overall welfare overpayments were £10.3 billion, with £7.4 billion linked to universal credit.

The UK tax authority says taxpayers paid £59.2 billion less than they were due to in the 2024/25 fiscal year, a shortfall equivalent to 6.4% of total tax liabilities. Most of that gap was attributed to small businesses, according to the government's summary released on Tuesday.

Officials have set a goal to shrink the shortfall by £10 billion by the 2029/30 fiscal year. However, the authorities acknowledged that progress in reducing underpayments has been slow: the overall rate of tax underpayment has fallen by only one percentage point over the past 20 years.

The tax shortfall arrives against a background of large public borrowing. Britain ran a budget deficit of £128 billion, or 4.2% of gross domestic product, in the last financial year. Finance minister Rachel Reeves has been given a fiscal constraint of £24 billion as she works toward the government's stated objective of balancing day-to-day spending with tax receipts by 2029/30.


Alongside the tax figures, the Office for Budget Responsibility published related numbers on the welfare system. It reported that fraud and error across benefits, including pensions, fell to 3.2% in 2025/26 from a peak of 4.3% in 2021/22 during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The OBR estimated total welfare overpayments of £10.3 billion in 2025/26. Of that sum, £7.4 billion related to universal credit, the benefit paid to people who are unemployed or on low incomes. The OBR noted that more than a quarter of new universal credit claims during the COVID-19 period were incorrect, but that the error and fraud rate for the benefit has been reduced back to pre-COVID levels of just under 10%.

The Department for Work and Pensions broke down the causes of universal credit overpayments in the most recent year: 81% were attributed to suspected claimant fraud, 10% to inadvertent errors by claimants and 9% to errors made by officials.


The tax authority provided a breakdown of reasons behind tax underpayments. It estimated that 35% stemmed from taxpayer carelessness or negligence, 16% from errors, and 12% from deliberate tax evasion. Corporation tax and value-added tax were identified as the most frequently unpaid tax types.

The report reiterated the scale of the fiscal challenge facing ministers. With a sizeable budget deficit and a finite fiscal margin, the government faces constrained options as it pursues the target of eliminating the mismatch between routine spending and tax revenue by 2029/30.

Exchange-rate information included with the data put the conversion at $1 = 0.7567 pounds.

Risks

  • Limited fiscal headroom - With a budget deficit of £128 billion (4.2% of GDP) and only £24 billion of leeway to meet the 2029/30 balance target, failure to reduce tax shortfalls could constrain public spending and fiscal plans. (Impacts public finances and government borrowing.)
  • Persistent welfare overpayments - Continued overpayments in universal credit (estimated at £7.4 billion) and prior high error rates during the pandemic signal risk to social safety-net budgets and program administration. (Impacts welfare delivery and Department for Work and Pensions operations.)
  • Slow structural improvement in compliance - The small decline in the overall underpayment rate over two decades suggests entrenched compliance challenges, affecting revenue collection from corporation tax and VAT in particular. (Impacts tax administration and small-business sectors.)

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