Foreign investors pulled nearly $50 billion out of Asian equities in October, marking the largest monthly outflow in four months, as concerns over hyperscalers' cash burn and fears of tougher AI regulations ahead of US midterm elections triggered a selloff in regional tech-linked stocks.
These investors withdrew a net $49.77 billion from equities in South Korea, Taiwan, India, Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam and the Philippines - the largest monthly net outflow since June - according to LSEG.
Democrats' victories in last week's US midterm elections, including in states where opposition to new data centres has grown, kept those concerns alive. So far this month, foreigners have offloaded a further $22.6 billion from these markets.
“The outflows reflect a retreat from AI-linked positions amid increased doubts about AI infrastructure spending and profitability,” said Wael Makarem, lead financial market strategist at brokerage firm Exness. “Ahead of the US midterm elections, tighter environmental reviews and regulations were seen as hindering data centre construction and chip demand.”
Foreign investors sold a net $30.68 billion of Taiwanese stocks last month, the most since at least January 2008, and a net $14.59 billion of South Korean shares. So far this month, the two markets have logged further foreign outflows of $19.76 billion and $8.32 billion, respectively.
Some analysts said foreign investors may be pulling money from Asia and reallocating it to developed markets, as the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index fell 6.91% in October, compared with a 1.69% decline in the MSCI All Country World Index.
“International investors may have been drawn to the relative resilience of the S&P 500 compared to the MSCI Asia ex-Japan during the month,” said Scarlett Liu, Asia-Pacific equity derivatives strategist at BNP Paribas. “Additionally, some investors may have increased allocations to US Treasuries as the 10y UST yield rose to 5.3% in early October.”
Indian stocks also recorded a second consecutive monthly foreign outflow, totaling $3.6 billion last month. However, cross-border investors have so far invested a net $5.68 billion in local equities this month.
“We upgrade India to overweight as we think it now offers resilient earnings and more reasonable valuations,” said Herald van der Linde, head of equity strategy for Asia Pacific at HSBC, in a note on Monday.
Meanwhile, Indonesian and Thai stocks saw outflows of $938 million and $199 million, respectively, while Vietnamese and Philippine stocks recorded inflows of $122 million and $109 million, respectively, last month.