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Latest Articles

McDonald's Upgrade: Time to Buy the Franchise Machine at a Discount

McDonald's Upgrade: Time to Buy the Franchise Machine at a Discount

We upgrade McDonald's (MCD) to a Buy. The shares trade near the 52-week low while the franchise model continues to generate robust free cash flow ($7.39B) and a 2.9% yield. We outline a long trade with an entry at $252.52, stop at $240.00 and a target of $310.00 over a long-term (180 trading days) horizon — a plan that balances upside from re-ratin…

SoFi's Next Moat: From Lender to Dollar Network — A Trade Idea

SoFi's Next Moat: From Lender to Dollar Network — A Trade Idea

SoFi's Q2 results showed 40% revenue growth, record profitability and a clear uptick in cross-buy behavior. The market sold off on reinvestment and unchanged profit guidance; we view that reaction as an opportunity. This trade targets the stock's recovery as SoFi scales SoFiUSD, paid memberships, and non-lending revenue streams that can meaningfull…

AeroVironment: Buy the Backlog, Trade Through the Earnings Hangover

AeroVironment: Buy the Backlog, Trade Through the Earnings Hangover

AeroVironment (AVAV) reported a soft quarter on the headline numbers, but the business still sits on strong program awards and a material backlog that should drive revenue recognition over the next 12-18 months. Valuation is reasonable relative to the company’s enterprise value and market cap; the stock offers an asymmetric payoff for traders willi…

CF Industries: A U.S. Nitrogen Champion with a Durable Cost Moat

CF Industries: A U.S. Nitrogen Champion with a Durable Cost Moat

CF Industries combines cash-rich operations, low-cost U.S. natural gas exposure and an aggressive push into low-carbon ammonia to create a structural advantage versus European peers. At ~ $133, the stock trades at single-digit P/E and low EV/EBITDA despite robust free cash flow and recent shareholder returns. This trade targets a mid-term rebound a…

Oracle: Buy the AI Backlog, But Watch the Cash Burn

Oracle: Buy the AI Backlog, But Watch the Cash Burn

Oracle's $638B cloud infrastructure backlog positions it to capture a multi-year AI revenue wave, and the shares at ~$150 present asymmetric upside versus historical peaks. However, FY2026 free cash flow of -$23.7B, large capex plans and a proposed $40B financing program mean this is a buy-with-caution trade rather than a momentum chase.

AutoZone: Solid Cash Flow, Valuation Reset - A Long Trade on the Dip

AutoZone: Solid Cash Flow, Valuation Reset - A Long Trade on the Dip

AutoZone's underlying business still generates strong free cash flow and mid-single-digit to high-single-digit sales growth in key segments, yet the stock sits near a 52-week low after multiple valuation compressions. This trade targets a mean-reversion in multiple backed by continued FCF, buybacks and the MegaHub rollout — entry $2,880, stop $2,50…

Buy Prada: Versace-Related Dilution Has Created a Tactical Value Entry

Buy Prada: Versace-Related Dilution Has Created a Tactical Value Entry

Prada's recent equity dilution tied to its Versace-related deal has produced a disproportionate market reaction. The sell-off offers an actionable long trade: buy at $32.00 with a $26.50 stop and a $40.00 target over a long-term horizon (180 trading days). The thesis rests on brand momentum, healthy margin leverage in luxury, and likely normalizati…

Entergy’s Data-Center Play: Funded Growth That’s Already on the Grid

Entergy’s Data-Center Play: Funded Growth That’s Already on the Grid

Entergy (ETR) has moved from being a defensive utility to a growth lever for investors thanks to large data-center contracts and a framework that shifts incremental costs to hyperscalers. The business mix, steady dividends and a clear revenue pathway support a long-term trade. We lay out an entry, stop and target tied to visible catalysts and the v…

Allegro MicroSystems: Three Tailwinds Point to a Mid-Trade Long

Allegro MicroSystems: Three Tailwinds Point to a Mid-Trade Long

Allegro MicroSystems (ALGM) sits at the intersection of motion sensing, power ICs and emerging AI-driven demand. With FY2026 revenue of $890 million (+23% YoY) and Q4 revenue of $243 million (+26% YoY), the company shows durable growth. Valuation is rich but not untenable given cash flow generation; this trade idea proposes a mid-term long entry at…

Seagate: Betting on a Prolonged HDD Shortage and Locked-In Cloud Demand

Seagate: Betting on a Prolonged HDD Shortage and Locked-In Cloud Demand

Seagate's FY2026 surge (34% revenue growth, $12.2B sales) and multiyear contract book create a structural supply/demand imbalance for nearline HDDs. Valuation is rich, but cash flow strength, allocated capacity and limited near-term supply response make a long trade attractive into a 180-trading-day horizon. Entry $830.28, target $1,100, stop $750.

Trump Says Iran Likely Behind Attack That Shut Saudi East-West Oil Pipeline

Trump Says Iran Likely Behind Attack That Shut Saudi East-West Oil Pipeline

Speaking in Dublin on Sept. 12, U.S. President Donald Trump said Iran was 'probably' responsible for an aerial strike that disabled Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline, a principal route for crude exports that bypasses the Strait of Hormuz. Trump also said he had spoken with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and relayed that Yemen’s Iran-aligned…

Bitcoin Hits Resistance Near $77,000 as Binance Reserves Surge

Bitcoin Hits Resistance Near $77,000 as Binance Reserves Surge

<p>Bitcoin remained above $77,000 but lacked the momentum to push substantially higher after a notable accumulation of coins on Binance raised questions about potential selling pressure. At the same time, multiple surveys signalled increasing appetite for crypto among wealth managers, financial advisers and institutional investors.</p>

Marvell: The High-Conviction Long Trade into the AI Factory Cycle

Marvell: The High-Conviction Long Trade into the AI Factory Cycle

Marvell has emerged as one of the most leveraged pure plays on the multi-year AI infrastructure buildout. Strong data-center exposure, strategic tie-ups with Nvidia, positive momentum indicators, and healthy cash generation create a tradeable setup. This note lays out a concrete entry, stop and target for a long trade over the next 180 trading days…