World May 11, 2026 12:59 PM

Modi to Visit UAE and Four European Countries as Rising Oil Costs Weigh on India’s Reserves

Five-nation trip from May 15-20 will include discussions on energy cooperation as higher crude prices strain foreign exchange buffers

By Ajmal Hussain

Prime Minister Narendra Modi will travel to the United Arab Emirates and four European nations between May 15 and May 20. The foreign ministry said the trip comes amid pressure on India’s foreign currency reserves from rising global oil prices. Modi is expected to discuss energy cooperation with UAE President Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan and address bilateral, regional and international matters.

Modi to Visit UAE and Four European Countries as Rising Oil Costs Weigh on India’s Reserves

Key Points

  • Narendra Modi will visit the UAE on May 15 and then the Netherlands, Sweden, Norway and Italy from May 15-20.
  • Rising global oil prices have put pressure on India’s foreign currency reserves, given the country’s status as a net energy importer.
  • Modi and UAE President Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan will prioritize energy cooperation while also discussing broader bilateral, regional and international issues.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is scheduled to visit five countries from May 15 through May 20, the foreign ministry said on Monday. The itinerary begins in the United Arab Emirates on May 15 before continuing to the Netherlands, Sweden, Norway and Italy.

The ministry framed the trip against a backdrop of rising global oil prices that have put pressure on India’s foreign currency reserves. As a net energy importer, India faces an elevated risk from higher crude costs, which can affect external balances and domestic economic indicators.

Modi has recently urged measures aimed at reducing energy demand, including calls for fuel conservation, cutting back on imports and gold purchases, and curbing travel. Those appeals reflect concerns about the strain higher energy prices place on the nation’s foreign exchange position.

During his stop in the UAE, Modi will hold discussions with President Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan. The foreign ministry said bilateral ties - with an emphasis on energy cooperation - will be central to their talks, along with regional and international topics of mutual interest.

The foreign ministry statement linked the jump in global oil prices to the Middle East crisis, saying that higher energy costs have contributed to pressures on India’s foreign currency reserves. Officials have highlighted the potential consequences of sustained oil price increases for the country’s economic outlook.


Context and implications

Rising crude prices have the potential to widen India’s current account deficit, a risk explicitly noted by the foreign ministry. The statement also tied higher oil costs to the possibility of slower economic growth and an uptick in inflation - outcomes that would have ramifications across sectors dependent on energy and trade flows.

As the government seeks to limit external vulnerabilities, the prime minister’s trip includes a focus on energy partnership with a key Gulf supplier. Beyond energy, the meetings are intended to cover a range of bilateral, regional and international matters, as outlined by the ministry.

Risks

  • Higher oil prices could widen India’s current account deficit, affecting external balances - this impacts trade and finance sectors.
  • Sustained increases in energy costs may slow economic growth, which could weigh on overall market demand and sectors sensitive to GDP performance.
  • Rising energy prices can lead to higher inflation, influencing monetary conditions and sectors exposed to input-cost pressures such as transportation and manufacturing.

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