Stock Markets May 11, 2026 08:33 AM

Analyst Says Samsung’s Rally Still Leaves It Undervalued; 'Cheapest' Level Ahead

KB Securities keeps a Buy rating and a 360,000 won target, citing persistent memory tightness, a recovering foundry business and a planned humanoid robot launch

By Avery Klein

Despite a roughly 421% rise in Samsung Electronics shares over the past year, KB Securities analyst Jeff Kim maintains a Buy recommendation and a 360,000 won price target, arguing the stock is trading at what he calls the lowest valuation it will reach. Kim bases his bullish stance largely on sustained memory demand driven by AI workloads, while also flagging potential upside from a recovering foundry division and imminent commercialization of humanoid robots.

Analyst Says Samsung’s Rally Still Leaves It Undervalued; 'Cheapest' Level Ahead

Key Points

  • KB Securities maintains a Buy rating on Samsung with a 360,000 won target, implying ~26% upside despite a ~421% one-year share price gain.
  • The bullish forecast hinges primarily on memory - DRAM and NAND demand is expected to outpace supply through 2027, supported by strong AI compute growth and sizeable hyperscaler capex.
  • Secondary upside catalysts include a foundry business moving toward breakeven by 2027 and commercialization of humanoid robots in 2H26; sectors impacted include semiconductors, cloud/hyperscaler infrastructure and robotics.

Market context

Samsung Electronics has delivered an extraordinary run, with shares up about 421% over the last year. Even after that jump, KB Securities analyst Jeff Kim reiterated a Buy rating and left his 12-month target price unchanged at 360,000 Korean won, which implies roughly 26% upside from the most recent close.

Valuation view

Kim emphasized valuation in his note, writing that "Despite the recent rally, SEC is trading at 4.7x 2027E P/E, which we believe is the cheapest it will be." That metric underpins his view that the current share price still represents an entry point for investors prepared to look through the recent run-up.

Memory: the central driver

At the core of Kim's bullish case is Samsung's memory franchise. He forecasts that demand for DRAM and NAND will continue to outpace supply through 2027, a dynamic he attributes to rapid growth in AI-related compute consumption. Kim points to an example from Google, which reported token usage growth of 60% quarter-on-quarter; he notes that if that rate persisted, consumption would increase roughly 6.5 times within a year.

Kim also flagged hyperscaler spending as a structural support for memory demand, writing, "With hyperscalers' 2027E capex estimated at over $1tn and new chip production lines (P5) coming online in 2028-29, we expect memory demand to continue exceeding supply through 2027."

Financial projections

On fundamentals, Kim projects a substantial near-term improvement in profitability. He estimates Samsung's operating profit for the second quarter of 2026 will reach 84 trillion won, roughly 18 times the figure from the same quarter a year earlier, reflecting an operating margin near 50% for that period. For the full year, he models operating profit of 360 trillion won - more than eight times the 2025 figure - on revenue of 705 trillion won.

Foundry and robotics as secondary catalysts

Beyond memory, Kim identifies two additional potential growth engines. He expects Samsung's foundry business, which lost an estimated 7 trillion won in 2025, to approach breakeven by 2027. That improvement is predicated on an expected doubling of order intake in 2026 and the potential addition of major North American customers for its 2-nanometer process, with Apple and Qualcomm named as possible clients.

Separately, Samsung is forecast to begin commercializing humanoid robots in the second half of 2026, combining its AI software with hardware from affiliate Rainbow Robotics. Kim summarized the interplay of these drivers by saying, "SEC will have all three growth engines - memory, foundry, robot - running at once from 2H26."

Investor tools referenced

The note also references a model question often posed to investors: "Should you invest $2,000 in 005930 right now?" It mentions ProPicks AI as a tool that evaluates 005930 alongside thousands of companies each month using more than 100 financial metrics, aiming to identify attractive risk-reward names based on current data.

Outlook and watch points

Kim's case rests on a continuation of strong AI-driven memory demand, a recovery in foundry economics via higher order intake and customer additions, and successful commercialization of humanoid robots in late 2026. Each of those elements is central to the thesis and will be key items for market participants to monitor as the company progresses toward the timeframes Kim outlines.


This report presents the analyst's published projections and the company's near-term catalyst timeline as stated in the note.

Risks

  • The thesis depends on memory demand continuing to exceed supply through 2027; if AI-related consumption growth slows, memory sector dynamics and Samsung's outlook could be affected - impacts semiconductors and cloud infrastructure.
  • Foundry turnaround assumptions rely on a projected doubling of order intake in 2026 and the addition of major North American customers for its 2nm process; failure to secure these orders or slower demand would challenge the pathway to breakeven - impacts semiconductor foundry economics.
  • Commercialization of humanoid robots is expected in 2H26; delays or execution issues in bringing the product to market could reduce the near-term contribution from the robotics initiative - impacts robotics and adjacent hardware/software integration.

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