Politics

Political developments with market and economic implications.

Coverage of political events, elections, legislation, and regulatory changes that influence markets and economic policy. Focuses on political risk, fiscal decisions, and policy uncertainty relevant to investors.

Articles

515 total articles

BCA Sees Higher Odds of Democratic Senate Win if Energy Shock Persists

BCA Sees Higher Odds of Democratic Senate Win if Energy Shock Persists

BCA Research cautions that current prediction markets may be underestimating the risk that an Iran-related energy shock could alter U.S. midterm prospects. The firm says delayed second-round effects on consumer prices and demand could worsen Republican chances and lift the odds of a Democratic Senate sweep, with investment implications favoring Tre…

Northern New Jersey Special Election Could Shift Narrow GOP House Margin

Northern New Jersey Special Election Could Shift Narrow GOP House Margin

Voters in a northern New Jersey district will decide a special election on April 16 to fill the U.S. House seat vacated by Mikie Sherrill. Democrat Analilia Mejia leads Republican Joe Hathaway in fundraising and is widely viewed as the favorite. A Mejia victory would reduce the Republican House majority and comes amid recent resignations, a new GOP…

California Supreme Court Disbars John Eastman Over 2020 Election Effort

California Supreme Court Disbars John Eastman Over 2020 Election Effort

The California Supreme Court has revoked the law license of conservative attorney John Eastman, agreeing with a state bar court that he violated professional ethics in his attempts to overturn the 2020 presidential election. The court did not immediately publish its written opinion. Eastman plans to appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court, and his disbarm…

Trump Reposts Image of Jesus Embracing Him as Tensions with Pope Continue

Trump Reposts Image of Jesus Embracing Him as Tensions with Pope Continue

U.S. President Donald Trump reposted an apparently AI-generated image on Truth Social showing him and a figure of Jesus with eyes closed and foreheads touching, following the deletion of an earlier post that prompted accusations he had likened himself to Christ. The move comes amid an escalating public dispute with Pope Leo over the pontiff's comme…

Swalwell Exit Condenses Democratic Field Ahead of California Primary

Swalwell Exit Condenses Democratic Field Ahead of California Primary

Eric Swalwell’s decision to leave the California governor’s race and resign from Congress after multiple allegations of sexual misconduct has narrowed a crowded June primary field. The development could concentrate Democratic support around a smaller set of contenders and alter the dynamics of the June 2 jungle primary, with implications for debate…

Senate Set to Vote as Democrats Renew Push to Limit Trump’s Iran War Powers

Senate Set to Vote as Democrats Renew Push to Limit Trump’s Iran War Powers

Democratic leaders in the U.S. Congress are preparing another war powers resolution aimed at curbing President Donald Trump’s military authority in Iran, with a Senate vote possible as soon as Wednesday and a House vote expected on Thursday. Democrats say they will continue filing and bringing up such measures weekly while the conflict, which began…

Warsh Financial Disclosure Shows Unprecedented Wealth for Potential Fed Chair

Warsh Financial Disclosure Shows Unprecedented Wealth for Potential Fed Chair

Kevin Warsh, President Trump's nominee to head the Federal Reserve, reported personal assets valued between $131 million and $209 million in a filing with the U.S. Office of Government Ethics. The disclosure details large investments he has pledged to divest, consulting income, and liabilities, while raising political and procedural questions ahead…

State-Level Moves Mirror Portions of Trump Voting Package Ahead of Midterms

State-Level Moves Mirror Portions of Trump Voting Package Ahead of Midterms

The SAVE America Act is facing an uphill battle in Congress, but a Reuters analysis finds that 23 mostly Republican-led states have enacted or adopted measures that echo central provisions of the bill ahead of November's midterms. Changes include new proof-of-citizenship requirements for voter registration, tightened photo ID rules at polling place…

Bessent Urges Fed to Hold Off on Rate Cuts While Iran Conflict Unfolds

Bessent Urges Fed to Hold Off on Rate Cuts While Iran Conflict Unfolds

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the Federal Reserve should delay lowering interest rates while the conflict in Iran remains unresolved, praising the central bank for monitoring developments. He argued that recent price increases driven by higher oil and gas costs are unlikely to become entrenched in consumer expectations, while noting the …

Dozens Arrested in Manhattan Demonstration Against U.S. Arms Support for Israel

Dozens Arrested in Manhattan Demonstration Against U.S. Arms Support for Israel

Dozens of people were taken into custody during a New York City protest against U.S. arms sales to Israel and broader U.S. military backing. Demonstrators gathered near the Manhattan offices of two U.S. senators, voiced opposition to recent U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran and Israeli actions in Gaza and Lebanon, and included members of Jewish Voice fo…

Democrats Call for Swalwell’s Resignation as House Ethics Probe Opens

Democrats Call for Swalwell’s Resignation as House Ethics Probe Opens

A growing contingent of House Democrats urged Representative Eric Swalwell to step down from Congress on Monday as the House Ethics Committee opened an investigation into his conduct. Swalwell suspended his campaign for California governor and apologized for "mistakes in judgment" while denying allegations he called "serious but false." The controv…

Trump Brings DoorDash to Oval Office to Spotlight Tip Tax Cut

Trump Brings DoorDash to Oval Office to Spotlight Tip Tax Cut

President Donald Trump staged a White House delivery of McDonald’s on Monday to highlight reductions in taxes on tips, meeting a DoorDash driver who said she benefited from the change. The event came as higher fuel costs and geopolitical tensions have complicated efforts to sell a broader Republican tax-cut package ahead of the midterm elections.

Manhattan DA Confirms Probe of Sexual Assault Allegations Against Rep. Swalwell

Manhattan DA Confirms Probe of Sexual Assault Allegations Against Rep. Swalwell

The Manhattan district attorney's office has opened an investigation into sexual assault claims against U.S. Representative Eric Swalwell. A woman who once worked in his district office told media outlets she experienced two nonconsensual encounters with Swalwell, in 2019 and 2024, and said she was too intoxicated to consent on both occasions. Swal…

Manhattan Prosecutors Open Probe Into Sexual Assault Allegations Against Swalwell

Manhattan Prosecutors Open Probe Into Sexual Assault Allegations Against Swalwell

The Manhattan district attorney’s office has confirmed an active investigation into allegations that U.S. Representative Eric Swalwell committed sexual assault. The claims include two alleged nonconsensual encounters reported by a woman who formerly worked in Swalwell’s district office, one in 2019 and one in 2024, and additional accusations report…