Economy May 8, 2026 01:48 AM

RBC Raises S&P 500 Year-End Target to 7,900 Citing AI-Driven Earnings Strength

Firm points to resilient profit revisions and strong demand for AI infrastructure while trimming weight on U.S. healthcare

By Ajmal Hussain

On May 8, RBC Capital Markets lifted its year-end S&P 500 target to 7,900 from 7,750, driven by upbeat earnings revisions concentrated in technology and AI-linked firms and robust demand for AI infrastructure. The new target implies roughly a 7.7% upside from the index's close on Thursday. RBC said large-cap growth stocks remain the market leaders even as the rally persists amid sticky inflation, uncertain timing for U.S. rate cuts, and ongoing geopolitical risks. The firm also downgraded U.S. healthcare to market weight due to earnings revisions, fund outflows and policy uncertainty.

RBC Raises S&P 500 Year-End Target to 7,900 Citing AI-Driven Earnings Strength

Key Points

  • RBC raised its S&P 500 year-end target to 7,900 from 7,750, implying a 7.7% upside from the index's Thursday close of 7,335.66.
  • The upgrade is attributed to positive earnings revisions led by technology and AI-linked firms and strong demand for AI infrastructure, keeping leadership in large-cap growth stocks.
  • RBC downgraded U.S. healthcare to market weight from overweight due to earnings revisions, fund outflows and policy uncertainty despite still-attractive valuations.

May 8 - RBC Capital Markets raised its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 7,900 from 7,750 on Friday, citing a combination of resilient earnings growth and continued momentum in sectors tied to artificial intelligence.

The Canadian brokerage said the new target implies about a 7.7% upside from the benchmark index's Thursday close of 7,335.66. U.S. equities have advanced to fresh record levels in recent weeks, supported by ongoing investor enthusiasm for AI-related investment and expectations of solid profit growth.

RBC noted that last month the S&P 500 recorded its largest monthly percentage gain since November 2020, underscoring the recent strength in equity markets. The firm said positive earnings revisions, largely driven by technology and other AI-linked companies, along with strong demand for AI infrastructure, have underpinned valuations and helped sustain momentum.

According to RBC, U.S. companies have displayed resilience to higher input costs and geopolitical pressures, which has kept market leadership concentrated among large-cap growth names. The strategists emphasized that the rally has continued even as the macroeconomic backdrop remains challenging - characterized by sticky inflation, uncertainty over when U.S. interest rate cuts might occur, and lingering geopolitical risks.

RBC's move to lift its S&P 500 target follows similar adjustments by other major Wall Street brokerages. The firm cited peers such as J.P. Morgan and Barclays, which raised their index targets last month, noting easing geopolitical concerns and improving earnings momentum as shared rationales.

Separately, RBC adjusted its sector stance for U.S. healthcare, downgrading the group to market weight from overweight. The bank pointed to earnings revisions, fund outflows and policy uncertainty as drivers of the downgrade, even while valuations in the sector remain attractive by some measures.

RBC's assessment frames the current market advance as one propelled by concentrated strength in technology and AI-related investment, while acknowledging macroeconomic and policy-related uncertainties that could influence performance going forward.

Risks

  • Sticky inflation may weigh on corporate margins and investor sentiment - impacts broad market and sectors sensitive to input costs.
  • Uncertainty over the timing of U.S. rate cuts could disrupt market expectations and valuations - particularly affects interest-rate sensitive sectors.
  • Lingering geopolitical risks could create volatility and dampen risk appetite - relevant for global-facing companies and overall equity markets.

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