Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

364 total articles

Trump to Reveal Nominee to Succeed Powell on Friday Morning

Trump to Reveal Nominee to Succeed Powell on Friday Morning

President Donald Trump told reporters he will unveil his selection to replace Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday morning. The comment, made at a documentary premiere on Thursday evening, confirmed a decision after months of consideration but did not identify a nominee. Speculation about possible candidates has intensified amid concern ov…

Trump Sues IRS and Treasury for $10 Billion Over Alleged Tax-Record Leak

Trump Sues IRS and Treasury for $10 Billion Over Alleged Tax-Record Leak

Former President Donald Trump, joined by his sons and the Trump Organization, filed a federal suit in Florida seeking $10 billion in damages from the Internal Revenue Service and the U.S. Treasury. The complaint alleges the agencies failed to protect confidential tax return data, enabling a former IRS contractor to access and leak the information t…

Dollar Set for Second Weekly Drop as Geopolitical Strains Weigh on Demand

Dollar Set for Second Weekly Drop as Geopolitical Strains Weigh on Demand

The U.S. dollar looked headed for a second consecutive weekly decline as new tariff threats related to Cuba and rising tensions across multiple geopolitical fronts eroded demand for U.S. assets. Reports that the White House is considering strikes on Iran spurred an oil price jump and put additional pressure on the dollar index. Domestic development…

U.S. Issues License to Broaden Oil Operations in Venezuela

U.S. Issues License to Broaden Oil Operations in Venezuela

The U.S. Treasury has issued General License No. 46, expanding permission for American oil companies to conduct activities tied to Venezuelan crude exportation and refining. The authorization, limited to pre-established U.S. entities, enables shipping and logistics arrangements but keeps strict bans on dealings with designated foreign actors and bl…

U.S. Treasury Says Recent Won Weakness Exceeded South Korea’s Fundamentals

U.S. Treasury Says Recent Won Weakness Exceeded South Korea’s Fundamentals

The U.S. Treasury said recent declines in the South Korean won outpaced the country’s underlying economic strength, according to its semi-annual currency report. The assessment pointed to a spike in depreciation pressures in late 2024 tied to a policy rate cut and domestic political instability, and noted further weakening into late 2025. South Kor…

CIBC: U.S. Pulling Ahead as Capital-Intensive Manufacturing Surges

CIBC: U.S. Pulling Ahead as Capital-Intensive Manufacturing Surges

CIBC economists Benjamin Tal and Katherine Judge find a widening divergence in North American manufacturing, with U.S. output and capital intensity rising well above Canadian levels. U.S. manufacturing GDP is now almost 10% above pre-pandemic figures while Canadian output remains below its 2019 baseline. The bank's analysis highlights a sharp incre…

BRB Faces Potential Near-1 Billion Dollar Hit Tied to Banco Master Transactions

BRB Faces Potential Near-1 Billion Dollar Hit Tied to Banco Master Transactions

A central bank official told investigators that state-run Banco de Brasília (BRB) may need to allocate in excess of 5 billion reais to cover dealings with failed lender Banco Master. The estimate is significantly higher than an earlier provision and follows probes into large transfers and questions over the nature of assets involved in the transact…

GM Reduces Oshawa Production as Up to 1,200 Jobs Are Put at Risk

GM Reduces Oshawa Production as Up to 1,200 Jobs Are Put at Risk

General Motors enacted a reduction in operations at its Oshawa assembly plant by eliminating a production shift, moving the facility to a two-shift model. The change, effective Friday, threatens as many as 1,200 positions in the region, including about 500 direct GM employees, and will affect the plant's supply chain. Union leaders say months of ne…

Allies Find Ways to Insulate Trade from U.S. Policy Shocks

Allies Find Ways to Insulate Trade from U.S. Policy Shocks

Allies of the United States are increasingly pursuing trade diversification and bilateral deals to 'de-risk' economic ties with Washington. While military and technological dependence on the U.S. endures, recent agreements and corporate moves indicate goods trade can be reconfigured relatively quickly at manageable economic cost. Constraints includ…

U.S. Trade Deficit Nears $57 Billion in November as Capital Goods Imports Surge

U.S. Trade Deficit Nears $57 Billion in November as Capital Goods Imports Surge

The U.S. trade deficit almost doubled in November 2025 to $56.8 billion as imports climbed sharply, led by record capital goods purchases tied to computers and semiconductors. Exports retreated, particularly in goods, intensifying the goods trade shortfall and raising the odds that fourth-quarter GDP growth estimates will be revised down.

Kyiv and SpaceX Collaborate to Curb Use of Starlink on Russian Long-Range Drones

Kyiv and SpaceX Collaborate to Curb Use of Starlink on Russian Long-Range Drones

Ukraine has opened talks with U.S. satellite operator SpaceX to address reports that Russian long-range unmanned aerial vehicles are carrying Starlink terminals, the country’s defence minister said. The move follows social media posts from a defence ministry adviser showing wreckage of drones, including Shaheds, with Starlink equipment attached. Ky…

Trump Renewed Criticism of Powell, Urges U.S. Rates Be Cut to Global Lows

Trump Renewed Criticism of Powell, Urges U.S. Rates Be Cut to Global Lows

President Donald Trump used a Truth Social post to sharply criticize Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for holding interest rates steady, arguing the United States should have substantially lower rates and the lowest rates in the world. His remarks followed the Fed's decision to leave benchmark rates unchanged and reiterated claims that tariffs b…

India Revises CPI Basket, Reduces Food Weighting to 36.75% in New Series

India Revises CPI Basket, Reduces Food Weighting to 36.75% in New Series

India will rebase its consumer price index to 2024 and reduce the share of food in the CPI basket to 36.75% under a revamped series. The statistics ministry said the update expands major spending groups from six to 12, introduces an overlapping year in 2025 for statistical conversion, and brings new items such as e-commerce prices into inflation tr…

Brazilian Bank Credit Expands 10.2% in 2025, Outpacing Central Bank Forecast

Brazilian Bank Credit Expands 10.2% in 2025, Outpacing Central Bank Forecast

Official figures show total bank lending in Brazil climbed 10.2% in 2025, surpassing the central bank's December projection. The stronger-than-expected gain was led by household credit, supported by recently announced government measures to broaden payroll-deductible loans and extend subsidized home purchase programs to middle-income families. The …

Blackstone Tops Q4 Estimates as Dealmaking and Data Centers Lift Results

Blackstone Tops Q4 Estimates as Dealmaking and Data Centers Lift Results

Blackstone reported fourth-quarter distributable earnings and results that exceeded analysts' forecasts, buoyed by active dealmaking, asset sales and gains in its infrastructure portfolio led by data center operator QTS. The firm raised substantial new capital and expanded its purchase commitments during the period, while its stock performance and …

Lazard Tops Q4 Earnings Estimates as Advisory and Asset Management Accelerate

Lazard Tops Q4 Earnings Estimates as Advisory and Asset Management Accelerate

Lazard reported adjusted fourth-quarter results that exceeded analyst expectations, driven by growth in both its financial advisory and asset management divisions. The investment bank also appointed longtime executive Tracy Farr as chief financial officer effective Feb. 1, while reporting a rise in assets under management alongside an equity market…

Markets Price Later Rate Cuts as Fed Pauses Easing Ahead of Leadership Change

Markets Price Later Rate Cuts as Fed Pauses Easing Ahead of Leadership Change

The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at the conclusion of its two-day meeting, prompting investors to assume the central bank’s easing cycle will be on hold through the remainder of Chair Jerome Powell’s term, which ends in May. Market participants are now relying on rate reductions expected under a successor, with futures pointing to …

Ireland’s Economy Shrinks 0.6% in Q4 2025 After Earlier Surge

Ireland’s Economy Shrinks 0.6% in Q4 2025 After Earlier Surge

Preliminary figures released Thursday show Ireland's GDP fell 0.6% in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared with the prior quarter. The decline follows an earlier sharp rise driven by a spike in pharmaceutical exports to the United States. The Irish government continues to warn that headline GDP can be distorted by multinational corporate activity an…