Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

4,092 total articles

Taiwan Presses On After Presidential Trip Halted by Airspace Denials

Taiwan Presses On After Presidential Trip Halted by Airspace Denials

Taipei says Beijing influenced the abrupt revocation of flight permissions in the Seychelles, Mauritius and Madagascar that forced President Lai Ching-te to cancel a diplomatic mission, marking the first time a sitting Taiwanese president has scrapped an entire trip for lack of airspace access. Beijing has denied direct involvement but praised the …

Strait of Hormuz crisis intensifies as U.S. blockade halts commercial traffic

Strait of Hormuz crisis intensifies as U.S. blockade halts commercial traffic

The standoff between Washington and Tehran has pushed the Strait of Hormuz into a pronounced shutdown, with commercial movements dropping to almost nothing. What began as a U.S. naval blockade intended to pressure Iran has become a broader maritime paralysis, disrupting crude flows, gas markets and fertilizer supplies and leaving shipping operators…

Cancelled Envoy Mission Forces Trump to Rework Approach to Iran Standoff

Cancelled Envoy Mission Forces Trump to Rework Approach to Iran Standoff

A planned diplomatic mission by U.S. envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff to Pakistan was cancelled by President Trump after the White House labelled Tehran's initial proposal as "substandard." Officials say Iran submitted a subsequent, more promising offer that reportedly addresses nuclear weapon concerns, but entrenched mutual demands - notably…

Kevin Warsh’s Inflation Metric Choice Rekindles Debate Over Fed Signaling

Kevin Warsh’s Inflation Metric Choice Rekindles Debate Over Fed Signaling

Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve governor, signaled a preference for using Trimmed PCE to evaluate inflation during a recent Congressional hearing. The choice has drawn criticism because Trimmed PCE sits below core PCE, which some say could be interpreted as limiting rate-cut flexibility. KB Securities analysts argue Warsh’s comments sounded h…

Tax Refunds Lift Households but Rising Fuel Costs Erode the Gain

Tax Refunds Lift Households but Rising Fuel Costs Erode the Gain

Tax season has delivered larger refunds compared with last year, but a surge in gasoline prices is cancelling much of that benefit. Goldman Sachs calculates that near-term real consumption growth will be weak as tax relief from last year’s fiscal package roughly offsets higher capital gains tax payments and rising energy costs create a sizable inco…

AI Poised to Rewire Travel Distribution as Suppliers Link Directly to Platforms

AI Poised to Rewire Travel Distribution as Suppliers Link Directly to Platforms

The travel distribution landscape is shifting as major hotel groups and technology vendors move to connect inventories directly to AI platforms. While geopolitical concerns currently weigh on online travel agency shares, analysts warn that artificial intelligence could pose a material long-term threat if platform revenue models do not preserve comm…

EU Takes Lead on Ukraine Funding With €90 Billion Loan; Shortfall Looms

EU Takes Lead on Ukraine Funding With €90 Billion Loan; Shortfall Looms

The European Union this week approved a €90 billion ($105 billion) loan package to support Ukraine through the end of next year, stepping into a central financing role as U.S. backing recedes. Brussels officials and diplomats warn of an emerging fiscal gap and capability shortfalls that could require further funding rounds sooner than planned. Poli…

Trump to Speak at Private Crypto Gathering in Palm Beach, White House Says

Trump to Speak at Private Crypto Gathering in Palm Beach, White House Says

The White House said late on Thursday that President Donald Trump will address a cryptocurrency conference on Saturday at his private Mar-a-Lago Club in Palm Beach, Florida. The event, which lists Trump as keynote speaker and limits attendance to the top 297 holders of a meme coin named $TRUMP, has prompted criticism from some Democratic senators w…

AmEx Tops Profit Estimates as Card Spending Climbs to Three-Year High

AmEx Tops Profit Estimates as Card Spending Climbs to Three-Year High

American Express reported first-quarter results that exceeded analyst expectations as billed business grew 9% and overall revenue increased 10% on a foreign exchange-adjusted basis. Strong retail and airline spending among affluent customers helped push card use to a three-year peak, while the company kept credit provisions modest and reiterated it…

A Fragile Pause: Five Questions Facing the ECB as Energy Risks Linger

A Fragile Pause: Five Questions Facing the ECB as Energy Risks Linger

The European Central Bank meets next Thursday and is expected to hold its key rate at 2% after a temporary pullback in oil prices following an Iran war ceasefire. While the near-term inflation outlook has improved, elevated energy prices, weak business activity and unclear prospects for resumed flows through the Strait of Hormuz mean markets still …

Core CPI in Japan Remains Below BOJ Goal as Energy-Related Price Risks Rise

Core CPI in Japan Remains Below BOJ Goal as Energy-Related Price Risks Rise

Japan's core consumer price index rose 1.8% year-on-year in March, staying below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for a second month as fuel subsidies and softer food inflation countered energy-driven price pressures. Wholesale and services price gains, including a large jump in ocean freight costs after the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, …

Italy Set to Overtake Greece as Euro Zone’s Most Indebted Country

Italy Set to Overtake Greece as Euro Zone’s Most Indebted Country

New budget projections and confidential estimates indicate that Greece will relinquish its position as the euro zone country with the largest public-debt-to-GDP ratio by the end of this year, as Italian debt is forecast to remain slightly higher under Rome’s multi-year fiscal plan. The shift reflects divergent trajectories: a notable decline in Gre…

Beijing Signals Risks to Global Chip Supply as U.S. Export Bills Move Forward

Beijing Signals Risks to Global Chip Supply as U.S. Export Bills Move Forward

China's Ministry of Commerce has warned that new bipartisan export-control legislation in the U.S. Congress, aimed at curbing advanced AI and semiconductor technologies, risks destabilizing global supply chains. The statement comes after the House Foreign Affairs Committee advanced bills including the Multilateral Alignment of Technology Controls o…

Factional Rift in Tehran Threatens Prospects for Rapid Iran War Settlement

Factional Rift in Tehran Threatens Prospects for Rapid Iran War Settlement

Deepening divisions inside Iran's leadership are undermining momentum toward a quick end to the Iran war. Pragmatic members of the Iranian delegation have indicated willingness to negotiate on key issues, including the nuclear program, but their proposals face public resistance from ultraconservatives and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC…

AI Chip Boom Elevates Taiwan and South Korea Above UK in Global Market Value

AI Chip Boom Elevates Taiwan and South Korea Above UK in Global Market Value

A surge in valuations for companies supplying hardware for artificial intelligence has lifted Taiwan’s stock market past the United Kingdom and pushed South Korea close behind. The shift reflects investor demand for leading-edge chipmakers and a widening capital flow into semiconductor-focused benchmarks, while European indices remain dominated by …

State Department Orders Diplomatic Campaign Over Chinese AI 'Distillation' Claims

State Department Orders Diplomatic Campaign Over Chinese AI 'Distillation' Claims

The U.S. State Department has instructed diplomats worldwide to raise alarms about what it characterizes as large-scale efforts by Chinese AI companies to appropriate intellectual property from American research labs through model "distillation." A diplomatic cable, first reported by Reuters, urges warnings to foreign counterparts and signals possi…