Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

4,092 total articles

EPD CEO Signals Bigger Supply Shock Risk from Strait of Hormuz Disruption

EPD CEO Signals Bigger Supply Shock Risk from Strait of Hormuz Disruption

Enterprise Products Partners Chief Executive Jim Teague told investors on an earnings call that markets are underplaying the potential global supply impact if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, estimating 12 million to 15 million barrels per day of crude, refined products, propane and petrochemical supplies could be constrained. The company also …

Lula to Roll Out Program to Rework Over 100 Billion Reais of Household Debt

Lula to Roll Out Program to Rework Over 100 Billion Reais of Household Debt

President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is preparing a program to renegotiate more than 100 billion reais ($20 billion) in household debt, offering discounts of up to 90% and refinancing the remainder with lower rates backed by the FGO. The initiative, which may also lean on FGTS resources, targets lower-income workers and comes as household debt climb…

Shell CEO Warns Oil and LNG Shortfalls Could Persist Into Next Year

Shell CEO Warns Oil and LNG Shortfalls Could Persist Into Next Year

Shell Plc Chief Executive Wael Sawan warned that disruptions tied to the Strait of Hormuz blockade have removed roughly 900 million barrels of oil production in recent months, a shortfall that has been met by stock drawdowns and risks keeping markets tight for months and possibly into next year. He said the disruption affects both crude and liquefi…

U.S. Orders Pause on Some Shipments to Hua Hong, Citing Advanced Chip Risks

U.S. Orders Pause on Some Shipments to Hua Hong, Citing Advanced Chip Risks

The U.S. Department of Commerce last week informed multiple chip equipment suppliers they must stop specified shipments to China’s second-largest chipmaker, Hua Hong, and its contract unit Huali Microelectronics. The letters, delivered to a handful of companies, target tools and materials U.S. officials say could enable production of China’s most s…

U.S. and Croatia Sign Protocol Modifying 2022 Income Tax Treaty

U.S. and Croatia Sign Protocol Modifying 2022 Income Tax Treaty

U.S. Ambassador to Croatia Nicole McGraw and Croatia's finance minister signed a protocol amending the 2022 income tax treaty between the United States and Croatia on the sidelines of the Three Seas Initiative Summit in Dubrovnik. The protocol makes three specific changes to the original treaty, will be transmitted with the treaty to the U.S. Senat…

Poland Sees 3.6% GDP Expansion in 2026, Budget Deficit Set to Narrow

Poland Sees 3.6% GDP Expansion in 2026, Budget Deficit Set to Narrow

Poland's Ministry of Finance projects real GDP to expand by 3.6% in 2026 under its baseline scenario. The government adopted draft projections for 2026-2030 showing a narrowed general government deficit of 6.8% of GDP, while public debt-to-GDP is forecast to rise to 65.1% this year from 59.7% in 2025. The ministry identified the war in the Middle E…

Pakistan mediators say Iran will resend peace proposal within days

Pakistan mediators say Iran will resend peace proposal within days

Mediators based in Pakistan expect Iran to deliver an updated proposal in the coming days aimed at ending the war, after U.S. President Donald Trump rejected an earlier draft. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Aragchi has returned to Tehran to consult with regime leaders, but progress is slowed by difficulties communicating with Supreme Leader Mojtaba…

Wright Says Safe Transit of Hormuz Possible Without Full Mine Clearance

Wright Says Safe Transit of Hormuz Possible Without Full Mine Clearance

U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright told reporters in Dubrovnik that not every mine Iran reportedly laid in the Strait of Hormuz must be removed for commercial vessels to resume transit. He said creating a navigable pathway into and out of the strait could be achieved quickly, even as U.S. defense officials estimate that a full clearance could take …

Regulators Fall Behind Banks on AI Adoption as Mythos Raises Oversight Questions

Regulators Fall Behind Banks on AI Adoption as Mythos Raises Oversight Questions

A new survey-led report from the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance, produced with multilateral partners, finds that financial regulators are adopting AI at a far slower pace than the firms they oversee and frequently lack basic data on industry AI deployment. The research flags Anthropic's recently released Mythos as an example of next-gener…

Overseas Investors Drive Sustained Demand for U.S. Investment-Grade Bonds, Favor Tech and Longer Maturities - Citi

Overseas Investors Drive Sustained Demand for U.S. Investment-Grade Bonds, Favor Tech and Longer Maturities - Citi

Citigroup said foreign purchases of U.S. investment-grade corporate bonds have been strong for 15 straight months as global investors shift allocations toward technology, media and telecom (TMT) debt and bonds maturing beyond 15 years, while trimming exposure to financial-sector issuance. The bank highlighted country-level inflows, rising Hong Kong…

Brazil’s Mid-April Prices Rise Less Than Forecast, Keeping Rate Cut Odds High

Brazil’s Mid-April Prices Rise Less Than Forecast, Keeping Rate Cut Odds High

Brazil's mid-April consumer-price gauge showed an annual rise of 4.37%, below economists' forecasts, and a monthly increase of 0.89%. The softer-than-expected outcome reinforces market expectations that the central bank will trim its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 14.50% at its upcoming meeting as policymakers weigh inflation pressur…

Citadel’s Ken Griffin to Meet New York Governor to Discuss City’s Direction

Citadel’s Ken Griffin to Meet New York Governor to Discuss City’s Direction

Ken Griffin, founder and CEO of Citadel, said he will meet New York Governor Kathy Hochul to discuss the 'future direction' of the city after objections from the Miami-based firm to a mayoral proposal that used his name in a tax campaign targeting non-resident owners of New York City homes. Griffin made the comment during a panel at a Norges Bank I…

Courts Push Back on Federal Bid for State Voter Rolls Ahead of Midterms

Courts Push Back on Federal Bid for State Voter Rolls Ahead of Midterms

Federal judges in several states have dismissed Justice Department lawsuits seeking access to unredacted state voter rolls, a setback for the administration's campaign to broaden federal oversight of elections. The rulings, issued in California, Massachusetts, Michigan, Oregon and Rhode Island, raise constitutional, privacy and statutory questions …

Canada’s Cooling Housing Market Blunts Consumer Gains From Record Stock Rally

Canada’s Cooling Housing Market Blunts Consumer Gains From Record Stock Rally

Canada’s prolonged housing downturn is weighing on household consumption even as the domestic stock market hits record highs and boosts aggregate household net worth by more than C$1 trillion in 2025. With house prices down sharply from their 2022 peak, the traditional wealth effect from housing is failing to materialize, limiting broader economic …

Bank of Russia Proposes Mandatory Yuan Reserves for Lenders to Curb Volatility

Bank of Russia Proposes Mandatory Yuan Reserves for Lenders to Curb Volatility

Russia's central bank is weighing a rule that would require commercial banks to hold mandatory yuan reserves, aiming to ease shortages of the Chinese currency in the foreign-exchange market and to rein in outsized yuan lending. Governor Elvira Nabiullina flagged the proposal after yuan swap rates surged above 40% in March due to heavy lending and d…

PBOC Urges Banks to Lift April Lending to Avert Credit Slump, Sources Say

PBOC Urges Banks to Lift April Lending to Avert Credit Slump, Sources Say

China's central bank held a meeting in late April instructing some commercial banks to expand lending in April and to ensure outstanding loan balances post positive month-on-month growth, according to people familiar with the matter. The guidance, described by sources who declined to be named, reflects policymakers' concern about slowing credit exp…