Commodities May 11, 2026 06:30 AM

Copper Climbs to Three-Month High as Supply Concerns Eclipse Iran War Demand Fears

Benchmark LME three-month copper posts sixth straight session of gains, trading at its strongest since late January

By Hana Yamamoto

Copper futures rose to their highest level in over three months as market anxiety about tightening supplies outweighed concerns about demand stemming from the stalemate in the Iran war. Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange advanced 1.3% to $13,573 a metric ton by 1030 GMT, extending a winning streak that is the longest since December.

Copper Climbs to Three-Month High as Supply Concerns Eclipse Iran War Demand Fears

Key Points

  • Three-month LME copper rose 1.3% to $13,573 a metric ton by 1030 GMT, the strongest level since January 29.
  • The metal is on track for a sixth straight session of gains, its longest winning streak since December, and has gained roughly 10% year-to-date.
  • Sectors likely affected by copper price moves include industrial and manufacturing users, construction, and electronics suppliers, as changes in input costs can influence margins and pricing decisions.

Copper prices climbed on Monday, reaching levels not seen since late January as supply shortage concerns took precedence over demand worries tied to the stalemate in the Iran war.

By 1030 GMT, the benchmark three-month copper contract on the London Metal Exchange had gained 1.3% to trade at $13,573 a metric ton. That price marked the strongest reading for the contract since January 29.

The metal was headed for a sixth consecutive session of gains, the longest run of consecutive rises since December. Year-to-date, copper has appreciated by roughly 10%.

Despite the recent rally, the metal's price remains well below the peak it reached in January. Market participants are weighing supply-side concerns more heavily than the demand-side uncertainty associated with the ongoing stalemate in the Iran war, and that balance has driven prices higher over the recent sessions.

Trading dynamics over the streak of gains reflect elevated attention to physical availability and potential shortfalls in copper supply. At the same time, the market continues to monitor demand signals that are tied to geopolitical uncertainty in Iran, which has weighed on sentiment in recent periods.

The combination of a supply-driven narrative pushing prices up and lingering demand questions related to the Iran war has produced the current market environment in which prices have strengthened but remain short of January highs.

Investors and industry participants will likely continue to track indicators of both availability and demand as the market processes these competing signals.


Data snapshot

  • Benchmark three-month LME copper: $13,573 per metric ton (up 1.3% by 1030 GMT)
  • Strongest level since: January 29
  • Consecutive sessions of gains: six (on track)
  • Year-to-date performance: approximately +10%

Risks

  • Demand uncertainty tied to the stalemate in the Iran war, which continues to weigh on market sentiment for copper-consuming sectors.
  • Ongoing supply shortage concerns that are currently supporting prices but could lead to volatility if resolved or if demand weakens.
  • Price remains well below the peak reached in January, indicating potential vulnerability to reversals if the balance between supply and demand shifts.

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