World March 24, 2026

Iran Raises Demands as Mediation Moves Forward, Say Tehran Sources

Revolutionary Guards gain influence as Tehran signals major concessions would be required to secure a ceasefire with Washington

By Hana Yamamoto
Iran Raises Demands as Mediation Moves Forward, Say Tehran Sources

Senior sources in Tehran say Iran's negotiating stance has hardened since the outbreak of war, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps exerting increased sway over decision-making. Officials indicated that if mediation advances to substantive talks with the United States, Iran will press for wide-ranging and politically sensitive concessions - including guarantees against future strikes, compensation for losses, and formal control over the Strait of Hormuz - and will not accept limits on its ballistic missile programme.

Key Points

  • Iran has hardened its negotiating position since the war began, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps exerting greater influence over decisions.
  • Tehran would demand an end to the war plus guarantees against future military action, compensation for wartime losses, and formal control of the Strait of Hormuz; it would refuse limits on its ballistic missile programme.
  • Mediation channels involve Pakistan, Turkey and Egypt as intermediaries; possible direct talks in Islamabad could occur, with Iran likely to send Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi, though final decisions rest with the Revolutionary Guards.
  • Sectors affected: energy (shipping and oil markets via Strait of Hormuz risk), defence and regional security, and geopolitical risk considerations for global markets.

Three senior sources inside Tehran told reporters that Iran's position toward any negotiated end to the conflict has become markedly more rigid since hostilities began, and that the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has assumed a larger role in shaping those positions. They said Tehran would insist on major concessions from Washington if mediators succeed in arranging formal talks.

According to the sources, any substantive discussions with the United States would need to secure not only an immediate halt to the fighting but also guarantees that would prevent future military action against Iran. Tehran would seek recompense for wartime losses and insist on formal control of the Strait of Hormuz as part of any settlement, the sources said. They stressed that Iran would not be willing to negotiate restrictions on its ballistic missile programme, which had been treated as a red line by Tehran during prior talks that were underway when the United States and Israel launched their strikes last month.

Public statements from the United States and Iran have been inconsistent. U.S. President Donald Trump said on Monday that Washington had already held "very, very strong talks" with Tehran more than three weeks into the war, a claim Iran has publicly denied. The three senior Tehran sources clarified that Iran's contacts so far had been preliminary and limited to discussions with potential mediators - Pakistan, Turkey and Egypt - to assess whether the basis existed for direct engagement with the United States on ending the war.

A European official said there had been no direct negotiations between Iran and the United States, and that Egypt, Pakistan and Gulf states were acting as intermediaries relaying messages. A Pakistani official and a second source indicated that direct talks aimed at ending the conflict could be held in Islamabad this week.

If such talks proceed, the three Iranian sources said the delegation would include Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi. They cautioned, however, that any final decisions would rest with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.

Israeli officials have expressed scepticism about the prospects for an agreement. Three senior Israeli officials told reporters that although the U.S. president appeared intent on securing a deal, they considered it unlikely that Tehran would accept the kinds of demands they expected Washington to press - demands they believed would encompass an end to Iran's ballistic missile and nuclear programmes.

Iran's deployment of ballistic missiles and its capacity to threaten closure of the Strait of Hormuz - a chokepoint through which about a fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas normally passes - have been among Tehran's most potent responses to U.S.-Israeli strikes, the sources said. Analysts cited by the sources argue that Iran could not agree to surrender those capabilities without leaving itself vulnerable to further attacks.

The sources also said Iranian strategists remained wary of relying on agreements with the United States and Israel after experiencing attacks following an earlier deal last year, even while they were engaged in talks at that time. They pointed to continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon and Gaza after declared ceasefires as part of the context shaping Tehran's reluctance to place trust in guarantees.

Domestic factors within Iran, the senior Iranian sources added, have narrowed Tehran's room for manoeuvre in any negotiations. These constraints include the growing influence of the Revolutionary Guards, uncertainty at the top of the political system given that the newly appointed Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has not yet appeared in official photographs or video since his appointment, and a publicly cultivated narrative of resilience in the conflict.

For now, mediators appear to be carrying messages and exploring whether direct talks are feasible. The Iranian sources framed any future engagement with the United States as contingent on significant concessions that Tehran considers essential to its security and sovereignty, and they warned that the Revolutionary Guards will be decisive in approving any agreement.

Risks

  • Negotiations may be stalled or fail due to Tehran's insistence on sensitive concessions - energy markets could be disrupted if the Strait of Hormuz becomes contested.
  • Domestic political constraints inside Iran, including the enhanced role of the Revolutionary Guards and uncertainty around top leadership, could limit Tehran's flexibility in talks - this raises uncertainty for defence and regional stability.
  • Mixed or conflicting signals between Washington and Tehran about whether direct talks have occurred create ambiguity that could prolong the conflict and increase volatility for commodity and security-sensitive markets.

More from World

US Citizen Detained Among Three Over Arson at Czech Defence Maker, Police Say Mar 24, 2026 Hospital Strike in East Darfur Leaves 70 Dead; WHO Says Medical Centre Disabled Mar 24, 2026 German Foreign Minister Calls U.S. Claim of Talks With Iran a Potential Turning Point Mar 24, 2026 Confirmed Deaths Across the Middle East After U.S. and Israeli Strikes on Iran: Reported Totals as of March 23 Mar 24, 2026 U.S. Pushes for Iran Deal as Israeli Officials Doubt Success Mar 24, 2026