Trade Ideas

Actionable trade ideas with defined risk and time horizons.

Curated trade ideas across equities, options, and other instruments, featuring clear directional bias, time horizon, and risk considerations. Trade ideas are designed to align market context, technical structure, and risk management principles.

Articles

337 total articles

Buy CSIQ on AI-Driven Storage Demand; Expect a Gradual Rerating

Buy CSIQ on AI-Driven Storage Demand; Expect a Gradual Rerating

Canadian Solar (CSIQ) is positioned to monetize accelerating AI-related power needs through battery energy storage systems (BESS) and long-term project agreements. The market is only beginning to price that optionality; however, high cyclicality, execution risk in project development, and heavy short interest mean multiple expansion is likely to co…

Toyota Looks Cheap and Ready to Run: A Swing Trade With Upside to $245

Toyota Looks Cheap and Ready to Run: A Swing Trade With Upside to $245

Toyota (TM) is trading at a modest multiple, pays a 2.5% yield, and sits on clear near-term catalysts — from auto-show exposure to strengthening demand for fuel-cell and ICE hybrids. Technicals are mixed, but fundamentals and valuation give a favorable asymmetric trade. This idea outlines an entry at $219.00, a stop at $205.00 and a first target of…

Vistra Pullback: Accounting Optics, Not a Fundamental Reversal

Vistra Pullback: Accounting Optics, Not a Fundamental Reversal

Vistra (VST) appears to be experiencing a headline-driven retreat rather than a fundamental slowdown. Power contracts and cash flow remain intact, but accounting line items tied to asset closure and decommissioning can compress reported earnings and spook short-term holders. This trade targets a mean reversion back above the 50-day SMA with a clear…

Buy the Pullback: Franco-Nevada as a Lower-Risk Royalty Play

Buy the Pullback: Franco-Nevada as a Lower-Risk Royalty Play

Franco-Nevada (FNV) offers exposure to gold and other commodities through a large, diversified royalties and streams portfolio. The stock trades near 52-week highs after a 16% dividend bump and board succession news; fundamentals (free cash flow of $340.5M, market cap ~$51B) point to durable cash conversion but also very rich multiples. This trade …

Buy Unilever on Weakness: High-Quality Compounder Trading Near Support

Buy Unilever on Weakness: High-Quality Compounder Trading Near Support

Unilever (UL) is a diversified consumer staples compounder with a 3.27% yield, stable cash flow, and exposure to growing personal care and hygiene markets. The stock is trading close to near-term technical support (SMA50/$65.64 area) after recent firmness in fundamentals and category tailwinds. This trade idea outlines a buy-on-weakness entry, expl…

AURA: Trading the Tape While the Story Develops

AURA: Trading the Tape While the Story Develops

Aura Biosciences is a clinical-stage oncology name with a liquid balance sheet and a stock that’s acting like a moving target. Shares are drifting near the mid-$5s with bullish MACD momentum, while short interest remains elevated with a high days-to-cover. This trade idea leans long for a tactical move higher, using tight risk controls and well-def…

Prosperity Bancshares Looks Mispriced After a Sharp Reset

Prosperity Bancshares Looks Mispriced After a Sharp Reset

Prosperity Bancshares (PB) just took a hard leg down, but the selloff is starting to look like a valuation and positioning event more than a broken-business story. With PB trading under book (0.90x P/B), a 3.21% dividend yield, and a washed-out RSI near 35, the setup favors a defined-risk long that targets a mean reversion back toward the low-$70s.…

Palantir at $160: A Practical Framework for Pricing “Elite Growth” (and a Trade Setup Into Earnings)

Palantir at $160: A Practical Framework for Pricing “Elite Growth” (and a Trade Setup Into Earnings)

Palantir’s selloff has pushed shares to $160.88 with oversold technicals, but the valuation is still extreme: roughly $383B market cap, ~101x sales, and ~388x earnings. This trade idea focuses on valuing “elite growth” using a simple expectations framework, then pairing it with a defined-risk plan into the 02/02/2026 earnings catalyst. Setup favors…

Progressive: A Bounce Setup as Margin Anxiety Fades

Progressive: A Bounce Setup as Margin Anxiety Fades

Progressive has been treated like margins are about to roll over, but the stock is already pricing in a meaningful cooling. With PGR near the low end of its 52-week range, a reasonable P/E around 11x, and improving technical momentum off recent lows, the risk-reward looks skewed to the upside. This is a mid-term trade idea focused on a rebound towa…

Cheniere Energy: Contracted LNG Cash Machine With a Fresh Momentum Setup

Cheniere Energy: Contracted LNG Cash Machine With a Fresh Momentum Setup

Cheniere Energy (LNG) sits at the intersection of global LNG demand and rising electricity load growth tied to data centers and AI. The stock is pushing higher with bullish MACD and a mid-60s RSI, and the fundamentals screen well: about $45.0B market cap, ~11.4x P/E, EV/EBITDA ~7.9x, and $2.22B of free cash flow. This trade idea looks to ride a con…

Tilray’s Setup Looks Like the Post-Panic Base, Not the Top

Tilray’s Setup Looks Like the Post-Panic Base, Not the Top

Tilray has already absorbed the hype cycle, the dilution fears, and the post-rally hangover. With a sub-$1B market cap, price-to-book around 0.62, manageable leverage, and multiple near-term catalysts tied to medical expansion and U.S. policy momentum, TLRY is shaping into a defined risk/reward long trade. The plan is to buy near current levels, le…