Stock Markets April 7, 2026

US Futures Surge as Trump and Iran Signal Two-Week Ceasefire Window

Stocks rally in after-hours trade and oil collapses after US delays strikes; chip sector leads modest onshore gains amid continued regional hostilities

By Derek Hwang AVGO NVDA INTC
US Futures Surge as Trump and Iran Signal Two-Week Ceasefire Window
AVGO NVDA INTC

U.S. stock index futures climbed sharply on Tuesday evening after President Donald Trump announced a two-week postponement of planned strikes on Iran and Iranian officials indicated openness to a temporary halt to hostilities. The move sent S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and Dow futures higher while oil prices plunged more than 12%. Onshore equity trading had been muted, with gains concentrated in chipmakers even as the broader conflict remained unresolved.

Key Points

  • U.S. futures surged after Trump delayed planned strikes on Iran by two weeks to pursue a ceasefire, lifting S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and Dow futures.
  • Oil prices plunged by over 12% on expectations of reduced regional escalation and lower supply risks tied to a potential pause in hostilities.
  • Onshore equity trading was muted, with semiconductor stocks leading gains - Broadcom, NVIDIA and Intel saw notable strength amid sector bargain buying.

U.S. stock index futures rallied in after-hours trading on Tuesday following signals from President Donald Trump and Iranian officials that a short-term ceasefire may be possible. The announcement that planned U.S. strikes have been delayed by two weeks to allow negotiations to proceed prompted sharp gains in futures and a steep drop in oil prices.

By 19:38 ET (23:38 GMT), S&P 500 Futures had risen 2.2% to 6,804.75 points. Nasdaq 100 Futures gained 2.7% to reach 25,029.50 points, and Dow Jones Futures were up 2% at 47,760.0 points. At the same time, crude oil prices tumbled by over 12% in response to the de-escalatory signals.


Political developments that moved markets

President Trump said on Tuesday evening that he would suspend planned military strikes on Iran for two weeks, citing an opportunity to broker a ceasefire after diplomatic efforts led by Pakistan. Trump indicated the United States is open to stopping further hostilities against Iran, provided that Tehran re-opens the Strait of Hormuz.

He added that a ceasefire agreement would be worked out in the coming weeks. The President framed the delay as occurring just hours before a late-Tuesday deadline for severe attacks on Tehran and credited Pakistani diplomacy for enabling the temporary de-escalation.

Iran’s Foreign Minister, Seyed Aragchi, said Tehran would stop its "defensive operations" if attacks against the country were halted, and that safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz would be possible. Despite the statements pointing toward a pause, hostilities between Iran, Israel and neighboring Gulf states continued into late-Tuesday, and the conflict had entered its sixth consecutive week.


Onshore market session: muted gains, chipmakers lead

Earlier in the trading day, U.S. equities were largely subdued, with sector rotation producing uneven results. The S&P 500 closed up 0.1% at 6,616.84 points, and the NASDAQ Composite also finished 0.1% higher at 22,017.85 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.2%, closing at 46,584.46.

Semiconductor stocks were the brightest spot, helping the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) jump by more than 1%. Broadcom Inc experienced a rally after expanding an artificial intelligence chips agreement with Google and Anthropic. NVIDIA Corporation advanced 0.3% and Intel Corporation rose 4.2%, while other chipmakers saw some bargain buying after steep losses in March.

Traders noted that April trading had shown tentative gains as bargain hunters returned following a notable sell-off in March. Still, mixed signals on the possibility and durability of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire kept volatility elevated as market participants weighed the likelihood that hostilities could truly be paused.


Implications for markets and commodities

  • Equity futures responded positively to the temporary de-escalation, signaling potential near-term upside should negotiations hold.
  • Energy markets reacted sharply to the expectation of lower supply risk, with oil prices falling more than 12% on the ceasefire signals.
  • Semiconductor names outperformed in the cash session, supported by sector-specific developments and bargain-driven flows.

While the after-hours moves reflected renewed hope for a diplomatic resolution, the continuation of hostilities late on Tuesday kept uncertainty elevated. Market participants remained focused on whether the announced pause would lead to a negotiated cessation of attacks or whether fighting could resume.

Risks

  • Uncertainty over whether the announced two-week pause will result in a durable ceasefire - this could reintroduce volatility if talks break down (impacts energy and broader equities).
  • Hostilities between Iran, Israel and neighboring Gulf states continued into late-Tuesday despite the pause signals - ongoing conflict could keep energy and market volatility elevated (impacts oil markets and risk assets).
  • Mixed signals and conditional terms tied to reopening the Strait of Hormuz leave market outcomes uncertain - energy prices and regional trade could be affected depending on developments (impacts shipping, energy, and global markets).

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