Stock Markets February 5, 2026

Tonies Tops Its 2025 Goals as Revenue Rises 31% to €630M

North American demand lifts sales share while margins are set to approach 8.5% after Toniebox 2 release

By Caleb Monroe
Tonies Tops Its 2025 Goals as Revenue Rises 31% to €630M

Tonies reported preliminary fiscal 2025 results showing revenue up 31% year-over-year to €630 million, outpacing guidance. North America led growth with a 40% increase in constant currency and became the company's largest market, while adjusted EBITDA margin is expected near 8.5%. The full results will be published on April 14.

Key Points

  • Fiscal 2025 revenue rose 31% year-over-year to €630 million, surpassing guidance of more than 25% growth in constant currency.
  • North America led expansion with a 40% constant currency sales increase and became the largest region at 44% of total revenue; DACH grew 16% to €214 million and Rest of World jumped 64% to €141 million.
  • Fourth quarter sales increased 31% to €313 million, accounting for half of annual revenue and reflecting strength through Black Friday and Christmas trading.
  • Management expects adjusted EBITDA margin around 8.5%, a roughly 100 basis point improvement attributed to efficiency gains and a favourable product mix; Toniebox 2 launched in Q3 2025 is noted as a growth driver.

Tonies on Thursday disclosed preliminary financial results for fiscal year 2025, posting revenue of €630 million, a 31% increase versus the prior year and ahead of its guidance calling for more than 25% growth in constant currency.

Geographic performance was uneven but strong overall. North America recorded particularly rapid expansion, with sales rising 40% in constant currency and becoming the company's largest region at 44% of total revenue. The established DACH market - Germany, Austria and Switzerland - saw growth of 16%, generating €214 million. Sales in Rest of World territories surged 64% to €141 million.

The fourth quarter contributed disproportionately to the year, with sales up 31% to €313 million and representing half of annual revenue. Management highlighted that momentum carried through the key Black Friday and Christmas trading period.

On profitability, company executives signalled they expect adjusted EBITDA margin to reach the upper bound of prior guidance at about 8.5%. Management attributed the improvement - roughly a 100 basis point increase from earlier levels - to operational efficiency gains and a favourable product mix.

Product development played a role in results, with the introduction of Toniebox 2 during the third quarter of 2025 cited as a contributing factor to the year’s performance.

In the equity market, Kepler Cheuvreux kept a Buy rating on the company and set a target price of €11.50, which the firm said implies around 8.5% upside from the then-current share price of €10.60.

The company plans to publish the complete set of audited results on April 14.


Context and implications

  • Revenue growth outpaced guidance, driven by strong retail performance over the holiday quarter and sustained demand in North America.
  • Profitability is expected to improve via a mix of efficiency and product mix effects, with management targeting roughly an 8.5% adjusted EBITDA margin.
  • The roll-out of Toniebox 2 in Q3 2025 is cited as a material contributor to the company’s product momentum.

What remains to be seen

  • The market will receive full audited results on April 14, which will provide more detail on the drivers of growth and margin trends.

Risks

  • A significant portion of growth is concentrated in North America - any slowdown in that market could disproportionately affect overall revenue. This impacts consumer electronics, retail, and e-commerce sectors.
  • The company’s margin improvement is dependent on efficiency gains and a favourable product mix; failure to realize these improvements would affect profitability and has implications for consumer-facing and retail margin dynamics.
  • Full audited results are pending on April 14, leaving some details and potential volatility unresolved until the complete financials are released, which matters to investors and equity markets.

More from Stock Markets

Mixed Earnings Drive Narrow Premarket Moves; Big Tech and Chips Under Pressure Feb 5, 2026 ICE posts higher quarterly profit as trading volumes climb in volatile markets Feb 5, 2026 Captain Sentenced to Six Years After Fatal Collision Between Container Ship and Anchored Tanker Feb 5, 2026 Citi cuts Babcock rating to neutral, cites limited upside after recent rally Feb 5, 2026 Bristol Myers Sees Strong 2026; Eliquis Price Cut Positioned as Growth Engine Feb 5, 2026