Stock Markets January 27, 2026

Texas Instruments Sees Q1 Revenue Above Estimates, Signaling Improving Analog Demand

Chipmaker issues upbeat sales guidance as shares climb and investors await clarity on tariffs and inventory normalization

By Ajmal Hussain
Texas Instruments Sees Q1 Revenue Above Estimates, Signaling Improving Analog Demand

Jan 27 - Texas Instruments projected first-quarter revenue that exceeds consensus estimates, suggesting a recovery in demand for its analog semiconductors after an extended downturn. The company’s shares jumped in after-hours trading and its results are being watched closely as an industry barometer amid lingering tariff confusion and geopolitical uncertainty.

Key Points

  • Texas Instruments forecast first-quarter revenue between $4.32 billion and $4.68 billion, above a $4.42 billion estimate compiled by LSEG.
  • Shares rose nearly 5% in extended trading after the guidance; the stock is up more than 13% year-to-date following a greater-than-7% drop in 2025.
  • TI’s results are seen as a barometer for demand across various industries due to the widespread use of its analog chips, and its report is one of the first among major U.S. chipmakers for the September quarter.

Jan 27 - Texas Instruments on Tuesday issued first-quarter revenue guidance that sits above Wall Street expectations, a sign the U.S. firm sees improving demand for its analog chips following a prolonged market slump.

The company gave a revenue range of $4.32 billion to $4.68 billion for the first quarter, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.42 billion compiled by LSEG. The guidance helped push Texas Instruments shares up by nearly 5% in extended trading.

Investors have already shown renewed appetite for the stock: after a drop of more than 7% in 2025, the shares have climbed over 13% so far this year. That movement reflects hopes that a years-long oversupply in analog chips is easing after elevated customer inventories accumulated during periods of excessive buying in the pandemic.

Texas Instruments is closely watched as one of the first major U.S. chipmakers to report earnings for the September quarter, and its results are often treated as a gauge of demand across multiple industries because of the broad adoption of its analog products.

For the fourth quarter, the company reported revenue of $4.42 billion, which missed an estimate of $4.44 billion.

Policy developments have complicated the outlook for the semiconductor sector. Earlier in January, U.S. President Donald Trump imposed a 25% tariff on certain artificial intelligence chips. Those duties, however, do not apply to chips and derivative devices imported for U.S. data centers, startups, non-data center consumer applications and non-data center civil industrial applications.

Despite the carve-outs, analysts at Stifel cautioned ahead of the results that confusion over how tariffs apply to analog chips - together with broader geopolitical uncertainty - remains a material hurdle for the company.


Context and market implications

  • TI’s guidance exceeding estimates points to an improving demand cadence for analog components.
  • Stock gains reflect investor optimism that customer inventory normalization is underway following pandemic-era overbuying.
  • Policy ambiguity around tariffs and geopolitical risks continue to cloud the outlook for analog chipmakers and related industrial and technology markets.

Risks

  • Confusion over the scope and application of recent U.S. tariffs - including a 25% duty on certain AI chips - could affect demand and cross-border trade for semiconductor products, impacting technology and industrial markets.
  • Geopolitical uncertainty remains a significant obstacle for Texas Instruments and the broader semiconductor sector, potentially disrupting supply chains and customer ordering patterns.
  • Elevated customer inventory levels accumulated during pandemic-era overbuying contributed to a multi-year supply glut; the pace of inventory normalization is uncertain and could influence future revenue trends for analog chip suppliers.

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